Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth result

Full-time · Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 10 May 2026 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hertha BSC · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Hertha BSC beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 10 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: SpVgg Greuther Fürth out-shot Hertha BSC 29 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 1.02 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Hertha BSC: K. Eichhorn (55’, assisted by F. Reese) and Michaël Cuisance (84’, assisted by Michał Karbownik); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Noel Futkeu (88’, assisted by S. Ltaief). J. Brekalo (32’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Eichhorn’s goal on 55 minutes.

Discipline

M. Bacher showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hertha BSC: Marten Winkler (72’), F. Reese (78’) and Tjark Ernst (90+3’); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: J. Dehm (37’).

What it changes

Hertha BSC stay sixth after this result (33 league matches played). Hertha BSC have scored 47 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Hertha BSC have conceded 44 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move down from 16th to 17th (33 league matches played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 49 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 68 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Eichhorn (Hertha BSC) 7.3, J. Eitschberger (Hertha BSC) 7.0 and S. Ltaief (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hertha BSC or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

Hertha BSC next travel to 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 31 October 2026.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hertha BSC: 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Referee: M. Bacher
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hertha BSC 3 · draws 1 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Hertha BSC 1W 1D 3L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4

Corners

against 4.88 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 1

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.29 yellows

Referee · M. Bacher

25.14 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hertha BSC for / against	Line	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Bacher — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 25.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Ernst n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Reese n 8	81.3	0.7 5/0	0.8 5/1	B. Hrgota
L. Gechter n 8	90	0.9 3/2	0.3 2/0	P. Ziereis
M. Cuisance n 8	73.9	2.6 8/6	1.5 6/4	B. Hrgota
M. Dárdai n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3	0.7 5/0	—
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Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Ernst n 8	90	0 0/0
F. Reese n 8	81.3	0.3 2/0
L. Gechter n 8	90	0.9 4/3
M. Cuisance n 8	73.9	1.5 7/2
M. Dárdai n 8	81.5	1.2 6/2
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Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Ernst n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Reese n 8	81.3	3.5 8/7	1.8 7/4
L. Gechter n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
M. Cuisance n 8	73.9	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
M. Dárdai n 8	81.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Ernst n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Reese n 8	81.3	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
L. Gechter n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cuisance n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Dárdai n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Hrgota n 8	88.8	1.6 6/4	2.7 7/7	M. Cuisance
N. Futkeu n 8	89.8	1.6 8/4	1.9 6/5	—
P. Ziereis n 8	89.6	0.6 4/1	0.5 4/0	L. Gechter
A. Keller n 8	43.8	1 2/1	0.8 3/0	—
J. Dehm n 8	74.4	1.1 6/1	0.8 4/1	—
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 8	88.8	2 6/6
N. Futkeu n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0
P. Ziereis n 8	89.6	1.8 6/3
A. Keller n 8	43.8	1.5 4/2
J. Dehm n 8	74.4	0.9 3/2
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 8	88.8	1.1 7/2	0.8 4/2
N. Futkeu n 8	89.8	2.1 6/5	1.3 5/3
P. Ziereis n 8	89.6	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Keller n 8	43.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dehm n 8	74.4	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
N. Futkeu n 8	89.8	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
P. Ziereis n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Keller n 8	43.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dehm n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hertha BSC		SpVgg Greuther Fürth
35%	Possession	65%
1.02	Expected goals (xG)	2.27
8	Shots	29
5	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	14
0	Blocked shots	12
4	Shots inside the box	19
2	Corners	18
3	Offsides	5
11	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
285	Passes	520
78%	Pass accuracy	86%

Hertha BSC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Ernst	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7
L. Gechter	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
N. Kolbe	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
M. Karbownik	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
M. Winkler	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.6
P. Seguin	89	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
M. Cuisance	89	1	0	3	2	0	1	0	7.5
J. Eitschberger	81	0	0	0	0	0	8	0	8.7
F. Reese	81	0	1	2	0	1	1	Y	6.7
K. Eichhorn	70	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
J. Brekalo	32	0	0	0	0	1	0	R	5.3
P. Klemens sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
T. Leistner sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Schuler sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Dudziak sub	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	–
D. Demme sub	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	–

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Prufrock	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Elvedi	90	0	0	2	0	0	4	0	6.9
Reno Münz	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
F. Klaus	90	0	0	4	0	5	0	0	6.2
B. Hrgota	90	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	7.6
N. Futkeu	90	1	0	3	2	1	0	0	7.2
J. Dehm	79	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.3
P. Will	70	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
A. Keller	70	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	6.3
P. Ziereis	60	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Dietz	60	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
F. Higl sub	30	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
S. Ltaief sub	30	0	1	1	0	4	1	0	7.3
J. Green sub	20	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	7
D. Srbeny sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
G. Itter sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hertha BSCWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

SpVgg Greuther FürthLDWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hertha BSC 3 · 1 draw · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-12-12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–3 Hertha BSC
2025-05-04 Hertha BSC 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2024-12-07 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 Hertha BSC
2024-02-11 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–2 Hertha Berlin
2023-08-26 Hertha Berlin 5–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2022-02-12 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Hertha Berlin

League standing · 2025/26

Hertha BSC#7 pos51 pts34 pl+3 GD

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#16 pos37 pts34 pl-19 GD

Goals per game

Hertha BSC scored1.38

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.44

Hertha BSC conceded1.29

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: In their last 6 meetings, Hertha BSC won 3, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: Recent form — Hertha BSC 1W 1D 3L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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