SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg result

Full-time · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga · · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4945 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1–1 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 3 May. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SpVgg Greuther Fürth, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Noel Futkeu (13’); 1. FC Nürnberg: Fabio Gruber (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fabio Gruber’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.58, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.48, from 13 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: F. Klaus (52’) and D. Arifi (90’); 1. FC Nürnberg: A. Marhiev (15’) and J. Fernandez (76’).

What it changes

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move up from 17th to 16th (32 league matches played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 49 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 68 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg stay eighth after this result (32 league matches played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 47 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 45 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fabio Gruber (1. FC Nürnberg) 8.3, Noel Futkeu (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 6.4 and P. Will (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SpVgg Greuther Fürth or 1. FC Nürnberg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3825 of 4945).

Next up

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · Fürth
  • Referee: S. Storks
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · draws 2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 1D 3L · 1. FC Nürnberg 2W 2D 1L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 4.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSpVgg Greuther Fürth for / againstLine1. FC Nürnberg for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: S. Storks.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Hrgota n 889.3
1.87/4
3.48/8
—
N. Futkeu n 880.4
1.88/4
1.76/4
J. Justvan
P. Ziereis n 889.6
0.64/1
0.43/0
Berkay Yilmaz
A. Keller n 843.6
0.31/0
0.52/0
—
J. Dehm n 874
1.16/1
1.44/2
—
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 889.3
26/6
N. Futkeu n 880.4
00/0
P. Ziereis n 889.6
1.86/3
A. Keller n 843.6
1.54/2
J. Dehm n 874
0.93/2
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 889.3
1.17/2
0.95/2
N. Futkeu n 880.4
2.15/4
1.14/2
P. Ziereis n 889.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
A. Keller n 843.6
00/0
00/0
J. Dehm n 874
0.84/1
0.53/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 889.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
N. Futkeu n 880.4
0.84/1
0.32/0
P. Ziereis n 889.6
00/0
00/0
A. Keller n 843.6
00/0
00/0
J. Dehm n 874
0.21/0
00/0
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1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Reichert31902790 min902.9 /90411.3 /9010 /90
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 890
2.55/3

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Berkay Yilmaz30902699 min622.1 /90291 /9060.2 /901856.2 /90260.9 /9070.2 /90
L. Lochoshvili30892680 min682.3 /90341.1 /90130.4 /901956.5 /90331.1 /9060.2 /90
F. Gruber28902520 min481.7 /90240.9 /90220.8 /902007.1 /90190.7 /9070.3 /90
T. Janisch1456786 min91 /9050.6 /9030.3 /90303.4 /90121.4 /9040.5 /90
J. Justvan30842523 min291 /9070.2 /9040.1 /90983.5 /90291 /9030.1 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Berkay Yilmaz n 890
15/2
2.98/7
P. Ziereis
L. Lochoshvili n 890
1.56/4
15/2
—
J. Justvan n 880.8
1.17/1
1.36/2
N. Futkeu
F. Gruber n 890
0.42/1
0.63/2
—
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Berkay Yilmaz n 890
2.98/6
L. Lochoshvili n 890
1.48/2
J. Justvan n 880.8
1.36/3
F. Gruber n 890
1.66/3
M. Zoma n 880.3
0.32/0
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Grimaldi1749835 min00 /9020.2 /90101.1 /9060.6 /9070.8 /9030.3 /90
S. Telalović740280 min00 /9000 /9072.3 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9061.9 /90
Artem Stepanov558288 min00 /9000 /9082.5 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
J. Justvan30842523 min70.2 /9070.2 /90391.4 /90220.8 /90562 /90271 /90
M. Zoma27802160 min110.5 /9040.2 /90361.5 /90190.8 /90291.2 /90482 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
Berkay Yilmaz n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
L. Lochoshvili n 890
0.83/2
0.52/1
J. Justvan n 880.8
1.45/3
0.84/2
F. Gruber n 890
00/0
00/0
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
Berkay Yilmaz n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Lochoshvili n 890
0.31/1
00/0
J. Justvan n 880.8
0.31/1
0.11/0
F. Gruber n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
42%Possession58%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.48
13Shots20
6Shots on target6
3Shots off target6
4Blocked shots8
9Shots inside the box13
4Corners5
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves5
289Passes404
72%Pass accuracy84%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Prufrock9000000007.3
J. Elvedi9000111307.2
P. Ziereis9000000006.2
Reno Münz9000001106.7
F. Klaus90001122Y7
A. Keller9000000206.9
N. Futkeu9010220107.3
P. Will8600111306.9
B. Hrgota8600101306.6
J. Dehm7500001207
F. Higl5800101006.3
D. Arifi sub32000002Y6.9
D. Srbeny sub1500111006.6
S. Ltaief sub1000100006.3
J. Consbruch sub900000006.5

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Reichert9000000008.3
H. Koudossou9000003106.3
F. Gruber9010110307.9
L. Lochoshvili9000320307
Berkay Yilmaz9000114106.3
A. Marhiev90000016Y7.3
J. Justvan9000412006.6
J. Fernandez88000001Y6.5
F. Becker8800213106.7
Rafael Lubach7500102206.6
A. Grimaldi5800000006.6
P. Scobel sub3200001006.3
R. Nzingoula sub1500000006.7
T. Baack sub800000006.7
Marko Soldic sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SpVgg Greuther FürthLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
1. FC NürnbergWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 2 draws · 1. FC Nürnberg 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-07 1. FC Nürnberg 2–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2025-03-16 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2024-10-20 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–4 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2024-02-25 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 FC Nurnberg
  • 2023-09-15 FC Nurnberg 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 2023-02-04 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–0 FC Nurnberg
League standing · 2025/26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth#16 pos37 pts34 pl-19 GD
1. FC Nürnberg#8 pos46 pts34 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.44
1. FC Nürnberg scored1.38
SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded2
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg?
In their last 6 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg?
Recent form — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 1D 3L; 1. FC Nürnberg 2W 2D 1L.

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