SpVgg Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn 07 result

Full-time · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga · · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SpVgg Greuther Fürth · SC Paderborn 07 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 — SC Paderborn 07 won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4945 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Paderborn 07 won 2–0 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 5 April. SC Paderborn 07 are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Paderborn 07: Stefano Marino (51’, assisted by Laurin Curda) and Filip Bilbija (86’, assisted by Steffen Tigges).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stefano Marino’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.90, SC Paderborn 07 1.32, from 16 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Erbst showed four yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: P. Ziereis (67’); SC Paderborn 07: Mattes Hansen (68’), Santiago Castañeda (84’) and Filip Bilbija (90+2’).

What it changes

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move down from 14th to 16th (28 league matches played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 49 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 68 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

SC Paderborn 07 move up from second to first (28 league matches played). SC Paderborn 07 have scored 59 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). SC Paderborn 07 have conceded 45 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Paderborn 07 have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Laurin Curda (SC Paderborn 07) 7.7, Steffen Tigges (SC Paderborn 07) 5.6 and Stefano Marino (SC Paderborn 07) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SpVgg Greuther Fürth or SC Paderborn 07 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3825 of 4945).

Next up

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

SC Paderborn 07 next travel to Borussia Mönchengladbach on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for SC Paderborn 07: Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · Fürth
  • Referee: L. Erbst
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 · draws 1 · SC Paderborn 07 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 1D 1L · SC Paderborn 07 3W 2D 0L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · L. Erbst
25.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSpVgg Greuther Fürth for / againstLineSC Paderborn 07 for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: L. Erbst — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 25.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Hrgota n 886.3
2.18/5
4.28/7
—
N. Futkeu n 868.4
28/4
27/4
—
P. Ziereis n 879.8
0.42/1
0.64/0
F. Götze
J. Dehm n 876.3
1.26/2
1.66/2
F. Götze
A. Keller n 863.4
0.42/0
1.15/1
—
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 886.3
2.77/7
N. Futkeu n 868.4
0.32/0
P. Ziereis n 879.8
1.14/2
J. Dehm n 876.3
1.25/2
A. Keller n 863.4
25/4
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 886.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
N. Futkeu n 868.4
15/1
0.73/1
P. Ziereis n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Dehm n 876.3
0.75/0
0.32/0
A. Keller n 863.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Hrgota n 886.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
N. Futkeu n 868.4
0.53/0
0.53/0
P. Ziereis n 879.8
00/0
00/0
J. Dehm n 876.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Keller n 863.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
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SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 Defensive

SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Seimen n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
M. Baur n 889.6
1.48/1
0.85/1
—
R. Obermair n 890
0.63/2
0.53/1
—
L. Curda n 888.3
1.46/4
1.38/1
—
F. Götze n 888.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Dehm
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SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Seimen n 890
00/0
M. Baur n 889.6
28/5
R. Obermair n 890
1.66/4
L. Curda n 888.3
1.35/3
F. Götze n 888.3
0.95/1
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SC Paderborn 07 Attacking

SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Seimen n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Baur n 889.6
1.46/3
0.53/1
R. Obermair n 890
0.42/1
0.31/1
L. Curda n 888.3
1.35/3
0.65/0
F. Götze n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Seimen n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Baur n 889.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Obermair n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Curda n 888.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Götze n 888.3
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SpVgg Greuther FürthSC Paderborn 07
57%Possession43%
0.90Expected goals (xG)1.32
16Shots15
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target8
5Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box9
3Corners4
5Offsides1
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
496Passes380
83%Pass accuracy79%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Prufrock9000000006.3
J. Elvedi9000000207.2
Reno Münz9000002106.6
P. Will9000000006.7
F. Klaus9000000006.5
B. Hrgota9000222207
N. Futkeu9000400006
P. Ziereis87000001Y6.9
M. Dietz7500003007.2
J. Dehm6400214106.5
S. Ltaief6400001107
A. Keller sub2600001006.9
Lukas Reich sub2600202206.9
M. John sub1500110106.5
Aiman Dardari sub900000006.5

SC Paderborn 07 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Seimen9000001007.7
F. Götze9000000207.2
C. Brackelmann9000001006.9
L. Curda9001104407.9
M. Baur9000102107.2
R. Obermair9000201007
T. Scheller8200000407.7
S. Marino8210410006.3
M. Hansen69000010Y6.5
S. Klaas6500111006.2
Ruben Müller6400101006.6
F. Bilbija sub26101100Y7.3
S. Tigges sub2501111207.2
S. Castañeda sub21000000Y6.6
N. Bätzner sub800000006.7
Jonah Benedict Sticker sub800000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn 07 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SpVgg Greuther FürthWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SC Paderborn 07WWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 · 1 draw · SC Paderborn 07 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2024-08-24 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 2023-07-30 SpVgg Greuther Furth 5–0 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2023-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth
League standing · 2025/26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth#16 pos37 pts34 pl-19 GD
SC Paderborn 07#3 pos62 pts34 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.44
SC Paderborn 07 scored1.74
SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded2
SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn 07?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn 07 was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SC Paderborn 07?
In their last 6 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 3, SC Paderborn 07 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SC Paderborn 07?
Recent form — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 1D 1L; SC Paderborn 07 3W 2D 0L.

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