LASK v Sturm Graz prediction

Bundesliga – Austria · Sat, 30 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Raiffeisen Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: LASK · Sturm Graz · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for LASK v Sturm Graz, Bundesliga – Austria on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

LASK host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga – Austria on Saturday 30 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

13 of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

LASK have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, LASK have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.86. LASK have scored 30 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). LASK have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sturm Graz have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Sturm Graz have scored 19 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Sturm Graz have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

LASK have won their last three matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. LASK (third) and Sturm Graz (fourth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have LASK the stronger side, 72 rating points above Sturm Graz (LASK 1792, Sturm Graz 1721, after at least 305 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sturm Graz are unbeaten in the last three meetings with LASK. The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Sturm Graz 2–1 LASK.

Team news

Predicted LASK XI (5-3-2): L. Jungwirth, Alemão, X. Mbuyamba, A. Andrade, M. Freckleton, F. Flecker, R. Ljubičić, S. Horvath, M. Bogarde, S. Adeniran, S. Kalajdzic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Andrade (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Melayro Bogarde (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been LASK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for LASK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Andrade averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 2394 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Melayro Bogarde averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1151 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sturm Graz XI (3-4-2-1): A. Helac, J. Quarshie, P. Koller, A. Malic, J. Stankovic, L. Weinhandl, J. Hödl, L. Balbo, J. Heil, O. Diakité, S. Seidl — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Emran Soglo (5.1 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Oumar Diakité (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, 10 goals) have been Sturm Graz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sturm Graz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Emran Soglo averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Oumar Diakité averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 590 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Bundesliga – Austria · Raiffeisen Arena
Head-to-head (last 6): LASK 1 · draws 2 · Sturm Graz 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: LASK 4W 0D 1L · Sturm Graz 2W 2D 1L

LASK v Sturm Graz (Bundesliga – Austria): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.75

Goals

against 2 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 6.63

Corners

against 4.25 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.38

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	LASK for / against	Line	Sturm Graz for / against
Goals scored	2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.5 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

LASK

LASK Goalkeeper

LASK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Lukas Jungwirth	17	881492 min	352.1 /90	120.7 /90	00 /90
T. Schützenauer	1	3838 min	24.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90

LASK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lukas Jungwirth n 8	85.3	2.4 6/3

LASK Defensive

LASK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alemão	17	851439 min	291.8 /90	311.9 /90	70.4 /90	825.1 /90	231.4 /90	20.1 /90
X. Mbuyamba	17	851438 min	332.1 /90	251.6 /90	100.6 /90	845.3 /90	120.8 /90	40.3 /90
A. Andrade	16	861374 min	362.4 /90	181.2 /90	130.9 /90	775 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
M. Freckleton	4	57228 min	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	135.1 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
S. Horvath	16	771229 min	110.8 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90	392.9 /90	60.4 /90	30.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

LASK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lukas Jungwirth n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Alemão n 8	84.8	1.1 5/3	0.5 4/0	—
X. Mbuyamba n 8	78.5	0.9 5/1	0.9 5/1	—
A. Andrade n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. Horvath n 8	72.8	0.8 3/1	0.8 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

LASK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alemão n 8	84.8	2 7/5
X. Mbuyamba n 8	78.5	2 6/3
A. Andrade n 8	81.9	2.6 8/5
S. Horvath n 8	72.8	0.6 3/1
R. Ljubičić n 8	72.1	1.4 5/2
See more players · Pro

LASK Attacking

LASK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Lang	15	63951 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	252.4 /90	151.4 /90	131.2 /90	90.9 /90
M. Usor	13	60781 min	30.3 /90	40.5 /90	273.1 /90	141.6 /90	192.2 /90	111.3 /90
S. Adeniran	12	59711 min	70.9 /90	30.4 /90	263.3 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90
F. Flecker	10	54538 min	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	91.5 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
S. Kalajdzic	10	49493 min	20.4 /90	30.5 /90	142.6 /90	71.3 /90	112 /90	50.9 /90
See more players · Pro

LASK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lukas Jungwirth n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alemão n 8	84.8	1.1 6/2	0.4 3/0
X. Mbuyamba n 8	78.5	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
A. Andrade n 8	81.9	1.5 4/4	0.4 2/1
S. Horvath n 8	72.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

LASK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lukas Jungwirth n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alemão n 8	84.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
X. Mbuyamba n 8	78.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Andrade n 8	81.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Horvath n 8	72.8	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz Goalkeeper

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniil Khudyakov	13	861116 min	433.5 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90
A. Helac	7	86602 min	192.8 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	82.6	3.3 6/5
A. Helac n 7	86	2.8 5/4

Sturm Graz Defensive

Sturm Graz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Heil	16	851353 min	392.6 /90	251.7 /90	30.2 /90	795.3 /90	161.1 /90	50.3 /90
Albert Vallci	12	76906 min	202 /90	40.4 /90	70.7 /90	535.3 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
A. Malic	11	77849 min	222.3 /90	131.4 /90	60.6 /90	565.9 /90	151.6 /90	10.1 /90
Paul-Friedrich Koller	10	89890 min	60.6 /90	141.4 /90	70.7 /90	505.1 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
Joshua Quarshie	10	87869 min	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90	353.6 /90	161.7 /90	10.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	2 5/2	0.8 1/1	—
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	1 3/2	2.2 7/6	—
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.8 4/2	0.8 4/2	—
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.9 5/2	1.3 4/2	—
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.2 5/2	2.5 8/5	—
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	0.8 4/1
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	1.3 4/3
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.3 2/0
J. Heil n 8	87.1	2.2 8/4
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.8 7/3
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz Attacking

Sturm Graz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Seedy Jatta	10	64641 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.5 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90
Oumar Diakité	10	51511 min	101.8 /90	00 /90	284.9 /90	142.5 /90	30.5 /90	50.9 /90
B. Beganović	10	45451 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	102 /90	71.4 /90	51 /90	51 /90
S. Włodarczyk	9	50449 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90
Axel Kayombo	9	35317 min	00 /90	00 /90	72 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	72 /90
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	1.5 5/2	0.5 3/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	2.1 8/4	0.4 3/0
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	2.8 7/6	1.1 4/2
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.4 6/4	0.8 5/1
See more players · Pro

Sturm Graz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 1/1
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind LASK v Sturm Graz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LASKWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Sturm GrazWWDDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

LASK 1 · 2 draws · Sturm Graz 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-09-13 Sturm Graz 2–1 LASK
2026-04-22 Sturm Graz 1–1 LASK
2026-04-19 LASK 1–1 Sturm Graz
2025-11-23 Sturm Graz 1–3 LASK
2025-08-01 LASK 0–2 Sturm Graz
2025-03-16 Sturm Graz 4–2 LASK

League standing · 2026/27

LASK#3 pos25 pts12 pl+15 GD

Sturm Graz#4 pos19 pts11 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

LASK scored2.5

Sturm Graz scored1.73

LASK conceded1.25

Sturm Graz conceded1.18

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between LASK and Sturm Graz?: In their last 6 meetings, LASK won 1, Sturm Graz won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of LASK and Sturm Graz?: Recent form — LASK 4W 0D 1L; Sturm Graz 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.