Ried v LASK prediction

Bundesliga – Austria · · Innviertel Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Ried v LASK, Bundesliga – Austria on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ried host LASK in the Bundesliga – Austria on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 18:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Ried have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. LASK have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Ried are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Ried’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Ried’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Ried have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Ried have scored 19 goals, the fifth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Ried have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs.

Both teams scored in nine of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, LASK have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. LASK have scored 24 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). LASK have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Ried (sixth) and LASK (third) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have LASK the stronger side, 75 rating points above Ried (LASK 1718, Ried 1644, after at least 141 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 August 2026, finished LASK 4–1 Ried.

Team news

Predicted Ried XI (4-3-3): A. Leitner, S. Chukwudi, O. Steurer, D. Radonjic, L. Capan, Y. Maart, S. Schwab, M. Rasner, J. Rhodes, I. Kiese Thelin, N. Sissoko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Pomer (5.2 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and A. Bajić (4.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Ried’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ried (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Pomer averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 495 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. A. Bajić averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 793 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted LASK XI (3-4-1-2): L. Jungwirth, A. Andrade, X. Mbuyamba, Alemão, S. Horvath, R. Ljubičić, M. Bogarde, A. Schopf, D. Elfadli, S. Adeniran, C. Lang — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Andrade (4.6 per match over 16 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Samuel Adeniran (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, eight goals and three assists) have been LASK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for LASK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Andrade averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 2304 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Samuel Adeniran averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 768 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga – Austria · Innviertel Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ried 1 · draws 4 · LASK 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ried 3W 2D 0L · LASK 3W 0D 2L

Ried v LASK (Bundesliga – Austria): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.63
Corners
against 6.5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRied for / againstLineLASK for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5our book
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 19.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.25 against n 8

Ried

Ried Goalkeeper

Ried — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Leitner1190990 min373.4 /90121.1 /9000 /90
Ried — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ried before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Leitner n 890
3.88/6

Ried Defensive

Ried — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Chukwudi1190990 min111 /90111 /9070.6 /90676.1 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
O. Steurer1090900 min181.8 /90181.8 /9010.1 /90363.6 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
L. Malicsek1064642 min142 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90192.7 /90142 /9020.3 /90
O. Sorg758408 min102.2 /9071.5 /9030.7 /90224.9 /9040.9 /9000 /90
D. Radonjic678469 min71.3 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90163.1 /9010.2 /9000 /90
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Ried — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ried before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Chukwudi n 890
14/2
0.54/0
—
A. Leitner n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Y. Maart n 881
15/1
1.56/4
—
S. Schwab n 873.4
28/5
0.53/0
—
O. Steurer n 890
0.52/1
0.54/0
—
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Ried — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ried before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Chukwudi n 890
0.95/2
Y. Maart n 881
0.84/2
S. Schwab n 873.4
1.25/2
O. Steurer n 890
2.17/5
L. Malicsek n 857.8
1.25/1
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Ried Attacking

Ried — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. E. Aisowieren971642 min20.3 /9000 /90131.8 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9040.6 /90
J. Rhodes766461 min00 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /9081.6 /9071.4 /90
Niama Pape Sissoko754379 min20.5 /9000 /90143.3 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /90
I. Kiese Thelin436144 min42.5 /9000 /9053.1 /9053.1 /9010.6 /9021.3 /90
Joris Boguo432127 min00 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Ried — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ried before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Chukwudi n 890
15/3
0.32/0
A. Leitner n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Maart n 881
0.63/1
0.11/0
S. Schwab n 873.4
1.14/2
0.53/0
O. Steurer n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Ried — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ried before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Chukwudi n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Leitner n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Maart n 881
00/0
0.32/0
S. Schwab n 873.4
0.53/0
00/0
O. Steurer n 890
00/0
00/0
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LASK

LASK Goalkeeper

LASK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lukas Jungwirth15871312 min292 /90120.8 /9000 /90
T. Schützenauer13838 min24.7 /9000 /9000 /90
LASK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lukas Jungwirth n 885.3
2.25/4

LASK Defensive

LASK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
X. Mbuyamba15861285 min302.1 /90181.3 /9090.6 /90785.5 /90100.7 /9040.3 /90
A. Andrade15861284 min332.3 /90171.2 /90130.9 /90715 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
Alemão15841259 min282 /90292.1 /9070.5 /90765.4 /90221.6 /9020.1 /90
Y. Dibango765452 min122.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90275.4 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
M. Freckleton346138 min21.3 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9085.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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LASK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lukas Jungwirth n 885.3
00/0
0.32/0
—
X. Mbuyamba n 881.9
0.85/1
1.16/2
—
A. Andrade n 881.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
—
Alemão n 882
1.15/3
0.54/0
—
S. Horvath n 875.5
0.73/1
0.74/1
—
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LASK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
X. Mbuyamba n 881.9
1.86/3
A. Andrade n 881.9
2.68/5
Alemão n 882
2.38/6
S. Horvath n 875.5
0.63/1
R. Ljubičić n 868.1
1.85/3
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LASK Attacking

LASK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Lang1367875 min60.6 /9000 /90212.2 /90141.4 /90121.2 /9080.8 /90
M. Usor1162677 min20.3 /9030.4 /90222.9 /90111.5 /90172.3 /9091.2 /90
S. Adeniran1159648 min60.8 /9030.4 /90243.3 /90131.8 /9030.4 /9050.7 /90
F. Flecker953477 min30.6 /9020.4 /9091.7 /9040.8 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90
S. Kalajdzic849389 min20.5 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9040.9 /90
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LASK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lukas Jungwirth n 885.3
00/0
00/0
X. Mbuyamba n 881.9
14/2
0.32/0
A. Andrade n 881.9
1.64/4
0.31/1
Alemão n 882
1.16/2
0.11/0
S. Horvath n 875.5
0.95/1
0.43/0
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LASK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for LASK before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lukas Jungwirth n 885.3
00/0
00/0
X. Mbuyamba n 881.9
00/0
00/0
A. Andrade n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
Alemão n 882
00/0
00/0
S. Horvath n 875.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ried v LASK — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RiedWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LASKLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ried 1 · 4 draws · LASK 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-14 LASK 4–1 Ried
  • 2026-02-14 Ried 1–1 LASK
  • 2025-08-30 LASK 1–3 Ried
  • 2023-02-18 Ried 1–1 LASK
  • 2022-09-04 LASK 1–1 Ried
  • 2022-05-14 Ried 1–1 LASK
League standing · 2026/27
Ried#6 pos16 pts11 pl+1 GD
LASK#3 pos19 pts10 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Ried scored1.73
LASK scored2.4
Ried conceded1.64
LASK conceded1.2

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ried v LASK?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ried v LASK is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ried and LASK?
In their last 6 meetings, Ried won 1, LASK won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ried and LASK?
Recent form — Ried 3W 2D 0L; LASK 3W 0D 2L.

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