Bayer Leverkusen v VfL Wolfsburg result

Full-time · Bayer Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 14:30 BST · BayArena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · VfL Wolfsburg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayer Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg — Bayer Leverkusen won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 495 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayer Leverkusen: 4.71 to 2.55 in expected goals, 1.52 of it from penalties and 0.76 of VfL Wolfsburg’s from a penalty, from 25 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayer Leverkusen beat VfL Wolfsburg 6–3 at BayArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April. VfL Wolfsburg are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayer Leverkusen came from behind: VfL Wolfsburg led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — VfL Wolfsburg: Jonas Wind (16’, assisted by Konstantinos Koulierakis), J. Mæhle (31’) and C. Eriksen (38’ pen); Bayer Leverkusen: Álex Grimaldo (30’ pen; 44’, assisted by E. Fernández), Patrik Schick (53’ pen), Edmond Tapsoba (68’), Ibrahim Maza (73’, assisted by Exequiel Palacios) and Malik Tillman (90’, assisted by Ernest Poku).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s nine key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Edmond Tapsoba’s goal on 68 minutes.

Discipline

Martin Petersen, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bayer Leverkusen: Edmond Tapsoba (37’); VfL Wolfsburg: J. Mæhle (29’), Konstantinos Koulierakis (55’) and Denis Vavro (71’).

What it changes

Bayer Leverkusen stay sixth after this result (28 league matches played). Bayer Leverkusen have scored 66 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 43 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

VfL Wolfsburg stay 17th after this result (28 league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have scored 42 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 67 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 28, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Álex Grimaldo (Bayer Leverkusen) 12.3, Ibrahim Maza (Bayer Leverkusen) 9.9 and Exequiel Palacios (Bayer Leverkusen) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfL Wolfsburg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bayer Leverkusen next host SC Paderborn 07 on 21 November 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg next host Holstein Kiel on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg v Holstein Kiel, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Bayer Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga
Venue: BayArena · Leverkusen
Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bayer Leverkusen 4 · draws 2 · VfL Wolfsburg 0 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 0W 4D 1L · VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 4L

Bayer Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.5

Corners

against 3.75 / 7.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.9 yellows

Referee · Martin Petersen, Germany

22 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bayer Leverkusen for / against	Line	VfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.38 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.75 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany — 3.9 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 22 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Flekken	26	892310 min	933.6 /90	401.6 /90	00 /90
J. Blaswich	17	861470 min	482.9 /90	130.8 /90	00 /90

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 8	86.3	4.3 8/7
J. Blaswich n 8	90	3.9 6/6

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Andrich	37	823047 min	431.3 /90	401.2 /90	200.6 /90	1183.5 /90	381.1 /90	80.2 /90
J. Quansah	36	873137 min	320.9 /90	351 /90	160.5 /90	1333.8 /90	190.5 /90	80.2 /90
E. Tapsoba	34	893026 min	361.1 /90	310.9 /90	250.7 /90	1313.9 /90	331 /90	90.3 /90
L. Badé	25	791971 min	442 /90	261.2 /90	231.1 /90	1105 /90	170.8 /90	50.2 /90
J. Belocian	7	57398 min	71.6 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	143.2 /90	61.4 /90	00 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix García n 8	87.4	0.4 2/1	0.6 3/2	—
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.6 5/0	C. Eriksen
R. Andrich n 8	88.8	0.9 5/2	1 4/2	K. Koulierakis
E. Poku n 8	60.6	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0	—
J. Quansah n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.8 4/2	—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	87.4	1 6/2
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	2.1 7/4
R. Andrich n 8	88.8	0.6 4/1
E. Poku n 8	60.6	0.9 4/1
J. Quansah n 8	90	1.3 7/3
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Poku	37	622294 min	50.2 /90	50.2 /90	261 /90	120.5 /90	371.5 /90	401.6 /90
M. Tillman	34	652196 min	70.3 /90	00 /90	291.2 /90	130.5 /90	281.1 /90	150.6 /90
I. Maza	33	672207 min	30.1 /90	50.2 /90	401.6 /90	130.5 /90	291.2 /90	512.1 /90
P. Schick	32	682185 min	150.6 /90	40.2 /90	572.3 /90	321.3 /90	160.7 /90	130.5 /90
Christian Kofane	28	581615 min	60.3 /90	40.2 /90	422.3 /90	211.2 /90	211.2 /90	100.6 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	87.4	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.3 2/0
R. Andrich n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Poku n 8	60.6	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
J. Quansah n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
R. Andrich n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Poku n 8	60.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Quansah n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Grabara	27	902430 min	973.6 /90	572.1 /90	30.1 /90

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Grabara n 8	90	4.3 8/5

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Koulierakis	23	882025 min	341.5 /90	331.5 /90	140.6 /90	1004.4 /90	210.9 /90	40.2 /90
S. Kumbedi	20	761524 min	362.1 /90	160.9 /90	60.4 /90	764.5 /90	211.2 /90	20.1 /90
M. Jenz	19	891697 min	301.6 /90	120.6 /90	181 /90	965.1 /90	311.6 /90	80.4 /90
A. Zehnter	15	851279 min	130.9 /90	171.2 /90	60.4 /90	251.8 /90	20.1 /90	10.1 /90
K. Fischer	11	73803 min	202.2 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90	374.1 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Grabara n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Eriksen n 8	89.9	0.6 3/2	0.4 3/0	Álex Grimaldo
M. Amoura n 8	67.8	0.5 3/0	0 0/0	—
K. Koulierakis n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.1 1/0	R. Andrich
Lovro Majer n 8	40.9	3 7/4	1.4 4/1	—
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Eriksen n 8	89.9	1.8 7/6
M. Amoura n 8	67.8	1.3 3/2
K. Koulierakis n 8	90	1.9 6/4
Lovro Majer n 8	40.9	1.1 4/0
M. Arnold n 8	90	1 6/2
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Amoura	24	701680 min	80.4 /90	30.2 /90	432.3 /90	150.8 /90	261.4 /90	140.8 /90
A. Daghim	20	551105 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	121 /90	50.4 /90	131.1 /90	110.9 /90
D. Pejčinović	17	58984 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	282.6 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	50.5 /90
J. Wind	8	49388 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.6 /90	51.2 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90
K. Shiogai	7	40277 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Grabara n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Eriksen n 8	89.9	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
M. Amoura n 8	67.8	2.7 5/3	0.5 3/0
K. Koulierakis n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.4 3/0
Lovro Majer n 8	40.9	1.4 5/0	0 0/0
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Grabara n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Eriksen n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
M. Amoura n 8	67.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
K. Koulierakis n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Lovro Majer n 8	40.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayer Leverkusen		VfL Wolfsburg
69%	Possession	31%
4.52	Expected goals (xG)	2.01
25	Shots	11
11	Shots on target	5
10	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	1
17	Shots inside the box	7
12	Corners	2
2	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	11
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
623	Passes	283
87%	Pass accuracy	76%

Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Flekken	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Andrich	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Badé	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.7
E. Tapsoba	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.9
M. Culbreath	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.5
E. Palacios	90	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	7.9
Álex Grimaldo	90	2	0	4	4	4	1	0	9
I. Maza	90	1	0	3	2	3	2	0	8.9
Christian Kofane	88	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
N. Tella	81	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	7.3
E. Fernández	45	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
P. Schick sub	45	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	7
E. Poku sub	9	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.9
M. Tillman sub	9	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6

VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Grabara	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Belocian	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.6
D. Vavro	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	5.9
K. Koulierakis	90	0	1	1	1	2	2	Y	5.6
Vinicius Souza	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
J. Mæhle	90	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.3
M. Amoura	90	0	0	3	1	0	2	0	6.2
S. Kumbedi	82	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6
C. Eriksen	81	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
J. Wind	81	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.5
P. Wimmer	66	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	6.9
J. Lindstrøm sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
M. Arnold sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Pejčinović sub	9	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Svanberg sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDDDLD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

VfL WolfsburgLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 2 draws · VfL Wolfsburg 0 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-11-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen
2025-02-08 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer Leverkusen
2024-09-22 Bayer Leverkusen 4–3 VfL Wolfsburg
2024-03-10 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg
2023-10-21 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen
2023-04-16 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer Leverkusen

League standing · 2025/26

Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos59 pts34 pl+21 GD

VfL Wolfsburg#16 pos29 pts34 pl-24 GD

Goals per game

Bayer Leverkusen scored2

VfL Wolfsburg scored1.32

Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.38

VfL Wolfsburg conceded2.03

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bayer Leverkusen 4.71 xG from 25 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 2.55 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bayer Leverkusen (attacking right)VfL Wolfsburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Bayer Leverkusen	25	6	4.71
VfL Wolfsburg	11	3	2.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bayer Leverkusen 1.87, VfL Wolfsburg 1.67, including 1.52 from a penalty. At full time, Bayer Leverkusen led on xG, 4.71 to 2.55, 1.52 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of VfL Wolfsburg’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.16 xG to Bayer Leverkusen, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Bayer Leverkusen 4.71 xGVfL Wolfsburg 2.55 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfL Wolfsburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfL Wolfsburg was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg?: In their last 6 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, VfL Wolfsburg won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg?: Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 0W 4D 1L; VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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