Bayern München v Holstein Kiel result

Full-time · Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel

Bundesliga · Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT · Allianz Arena

Updated 8 May 2026, 04:56 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · Holstein Kiel

Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bayern München beat Holstein Kiel 4–3 at Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 1 February. Holstein Kiel have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bayern München: Jamal Musiala (19’, assisted by Michael Olise), Harry Kane (45’, assisted by K. Coman; 46’, assisted by Raphaël Guerreiro) and Serge Gnabry (54’); Holstein Kiel: F. Porath (62’, assisted by Timo Becker) and S. Skrzybski (90’, assisted by Timo Becker).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bayern München 3.44, Holstein Kiel 1.85, from 29 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Exner showed two yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (78’); Holstein Kiel: D. Zec (81’).

What it changes

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 20, across nine matches. Bayern München have won their last three matches in all competitions. Holstein Kiel are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jamal Musiala (Bayern München) 9.8, Timo Becker (Holstein Kiel) 8.7 and Harry Kane (Bayern München) 8.6 led the match.

Next up

Bayern München next host Arsenal on 21 October 2026.

Holstein Kiel next host Dynamo Dresden on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga
Venue: Allianz Arena · München
Referee: F. Exner
Head-to-head (last 2): Bayern München 1 · draws 1 · Holstein Kiel 0 · 5.5 goals/game
Recent form: Bayern München 4W 0D 1L · Holstein Kiel 2W 1D 2L

Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 2

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.71 / 3

Corners

against 2 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

7.86 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 2.43 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 2.75

Cards

against 2.29 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 January 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 January 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bayern München for / against	Line	Holstein Kiel for / against
Goals scored	2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.71 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	24.71 for · 6.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.86 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Bayern München

Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Gnabry n 8	27.5	2.9 4/2	0.8 2/0	—
K. Laimer n 8	67	2 4/3	1 4/1	—
A. Pavlović n 8	57	1.8 6/2	0.2 1/0	—
M. Tel n 8	33.4	1.7 3/2	1.3 3/1	—
João Palhinha n 8	48	1.2 3/2	0.9 3/1	—

Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Coman n 8	39.1	3.5 7/3	2 6/1
S. Gnabry n 8	27.5	3.3 6/2	1.6 4/0
H. Kane n 8	78.9	3 7/5	2 7/4
M. Tel n 8	33.4	3 4/2	1.7 3/2
L. Sané n 8	73.1	2.6 7/6	1.2 5/2

Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Stanišić n 8	48	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
L. Sané n 8	73.1	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
J. Musiala n 8	61	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
H. Kane n 8	78.9	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
Thomas Müller n 8	51.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0

Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Laimer n 8	67	3.4 7/5
João Palhinha n 8	48	3 4/4
S. Boey n 8	45.9	2.9 5/3
A. Pavlović n 8	57	2.8 6/3
S. Gnabry n 8	27.5	2.5 4/2

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	84.5	2.4 4/3
M. Neuer n 8	90	1.4 3/2

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Harres n 8	80.9	2.8 8/7	1.1 4/2	—
B. Pichler n 8	20	2.8 5/0	2.8 4/1	—
J. Arp n 8	32	2.5 4/1	1.4 2/1	—
A. Bernhardsson n 8	57.6	2.3 7/3	0.6 3/0	—
M. Knudsen n 8	55.6	1.8 6/3	0.4 2/0	—

Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Arp n 8	32	2.1 6/0	1.8 5/0
P. Harres n 8	80.9	1.9 6/4	1.3 5/3
A. Kelati n 5	46.6	1.9 2/2	1.2 1/1
B. Pichler n 8	20	1.7 2/1	0.6 1/0
A. Bernhardsson n 8	57.6	1.4 5/2	0.6 2/1

Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Pichler n 8	20	0 0/0	1.1 2/0
P. Harres n 8	80.9	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
D. Javorček n 8	24.8	0 0/0	0.9 2/0
A. Kelati n 5	46.6	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
S. Machino n 8	61.4	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0

Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Bernhardsson n 8	57.6	2.9 6/4
L. Rosenboom n 8	68	2.8 7/6
M. Geschwill n 8	75.5	2.7 5/5
M. Komenda n 8	61	2.4 6/3
M. Knudsen n 8	55.6	2.4 6/3

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Weiner n 8	90	2.5 7/5

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern München		Holstein Kiel
71%	Possession	29%
3.44	Expected goals (xG)	1.85
29	Shots	10
12	Shots on target	6
9	Shots off target	4
8	Blocked shots	0
19	Shots inside the box	9
12	Corners	1
2	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	10
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	7
743	Passes	298
92%	Pass accuracy	81%

Bayern München player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Neuer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Laimer	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	7
D. Upamecano	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.2
Kim Min-Jae	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
J. Kimmich	90	0	0	1	0	5	0	0	8.2
J. Musiala	90	1	0	4	3	4	1	0	8.7
Raphaël Guerreiro	85	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.3
A. Pavlović	58	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.2
K. Coman	58	0	1	2	0	4	0	0	7.7
H. Kane	58	2	0	4	4	0	0	0	8.6
M. Olise	45	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	8
S. Gnabry sub	45	1	0	4	2	2	2	0	7.2
L. Sané sub	32	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Thomas Müller sub	32	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
João Palhinha sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6

Holstein Kiel player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Weiner	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
T. Becker	90	0	2	1	0	3	3	0	7.5
D. Zec	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.5
M. Komenda	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
F. Porath	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
L. Holtby	90	0	0	1	1	0	5	0	6
P. Harres	83	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Tolkin	82	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
L. Rosenboom	71	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6
A. Gigović	61	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
D. Javorček	61	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
M. Knudsen sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
S. Skrzybski sub	29	2	0	2	2	1	0	0	8.3
J. Arp sub	19	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.3
A. Kelati sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Ivezić sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v Holstein Kiel — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bayern MünchenWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Holstein KielWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Bayern München 1 · 1 draw · Holstein Kiel 0 · 5.5 goals/game

2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 Bayern München
2021-01-13 Holstein Kiel 2–2 Bayern Munich

League standing · 2024/25

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Bayern München#1 pos82 pts34 pl+67 GD

Holstein Kiel#17 pos25 pts34 pl-31 GD

Goals per game

Bayern München scored2.91

Holstein Kiel scored1.44

Bayern München conceded0.94

Holstein Kiel conceded2.35

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and Holstein Kiel?: In their last 2 meetings, Bayern München won 1, Holstein Kiel won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and Holstein Kiel?: Recent form — Bayern München 4W 0D 1L; Holstein Kiel 2W 1D 2L.

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