Bayern München1. FC Köln

Bayern München v 1. FC Köln result

Full-time · Bayern München 5–1 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · 1. FC Köln · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayern München 5–1 1. FC Köln — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total corners total over 8.5.

Free pick
Total corners total over 8.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 2.82 to 0.88 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München beat 1. FC Köln 5–1 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 May. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Harry Kane (10’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich; 13’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich; 69’, assisted by L. Goretzka), Tom Bischof (22’, assisted by Lennart Karl) and Nicolas Jackson (83’, assisted by L. Díaz); 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (18’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Kane’s goal on 10 minutes.

Discipline

Deniz Aytekin, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (37’); 1. FC Köln: Joël Schmied (34’).

What it changes

Bayern München stay first after this result (34 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

1. FC Köln stay 14th after this result (34 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 34, across nine matches. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 14.3, Joshua Kimmich (Bayern München) 9.8 and Tom Bischof (Bayern München) 9.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with 1. FC Köln, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total corners total over 8.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayern München 5–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
  • Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 5 · draws 1 · 1. FC Köln 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 2W 2D 1L · 1. FC Köln 1W 2D 2L

Bayern München 5–1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 4.75
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · Deniz Aytekin, Germany
18.44 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
4.75our book
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
18.38 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
8.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 18.44 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer41883600 min892.2 /90451.1 /9000 /90
J. Urbig18851530 min523.1 /90211.2 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 884.4
3.25/3
J. Urbig n 884.4
47/5

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah49813961 min491.1 /90421 /90300.7 /901533.5 /90611.4 /90110.2 /90
K. Laimer47733436 min922.4 /90280.7 /90100.3 /901584.1 /90621.6 /90150.4 /90
D. Upamecano45773450 min1012.6 /90471.2 /90130.3 /901814.7 /90411.1 /9090.2 /90
J. Stanišić44773382 min551.5 /90330.9 /9090.2 /901333.5 /90150.4 /9040.1 /90
Kim Min-Jae26761984 min261.2 /90452 /90200.9 /90843.8 /90140.6 /9030.1 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 873.1
0.84/1
2.57/7
—
H. Kane n 873.1
0.96/0
0.93/2
—
J. Kimmich n 880.5
0.11/0
0.84/1
J. Kamiński
J. Tah n 873
1.14/3
00/0
K. Lund
L. Díaz n 865.6
1.76/2
2.16/4
S. El Mala
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.1
0.32/0
H. Kane n 873.1
0.53/0
J. Kimmich n 880.5
1.34/3
J. Tah n 873
0.63/1
L. Díaz n 865.6
1.24/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane54794243 min581.2 /9080.2 /901553.3 /901132.4 /90721.5 /90581.2 /90
N. Jackson23551272 min100.7 /9030.2 /90443.1 /90292.1 /90221.6 /90130.9 /90
M. Olise55774251 min250.5 /90280.6 /901262.7 /90841.8 /901352.9 /901392.9 /90
J. Kimmich52834295 min20 /90110.2 /90320.7 /90150.3 /901072.2 /90180.4 /90
L. Díaz49793885 min260.6 /90170.4 /901012.3 /90641.5 /90972.2 /901002.3 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.1
2.88/6
1.88/4
H. Kane n 873.1
2.67/5
1.87/3
J. Kimmich n 880.5
15/2
0.43/0
J. Tah n 873
0.21/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 865.6
1.96/3
1.45/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.1
0.85/0
0.21/0
H. Kane n 873.1
0.96/0
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 880.5
00/0
0.32/0
J. Tah n 873
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 865.6
0.53/0
0.31/1
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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe33902970 min922.8 /90581.8 /9020.1 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
1.83/2

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lund33702313 min371.4 /90261 /9060.2 /901264.9 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
S. Sebulonsen32812606 min451.6 /90140.5 /9050.2 /901043.6 /90120.4 /9050.2 /90
C. Özkacar25721793 min311.6 /90231.2 /90140.7 /901075.4 /90100.5 /9020.1 /90
J. Schmied16761216 min120.9 /90110.8 /90110.8 /90463.4 /90151.1 /9040.3 /90
R. van den Berg13871128 min141.1 /90141.1 /90121 /90433.4 /90100.8 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.64/1
14/3
J. Kimmich
S. El Mala n 880.1
15/2
1.16/2
L. Díaz
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
K. Lund n 872
0.52/1
1.16/1
J. Tah
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
—
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.64/1
S. El Mala n 880.1
0.84/2
K. Lund n 872
1.96/4
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
1.86/3
E. Martel n 883.3
26/4
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache29631814 min80.4 /9050.2 /90432.1 /90241.2 /90311.5 /9090.4 /90
M. Bülter27591595 min40.2 /9030.2 /90321.8 /90160.9 /90241.4 /9060.3 /90
L. Waldschmidt1543643 min30.4 /9040.6 /90162.2 /90101.4 /90111.5 /9071 /90
F. Schenten24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
J. Kamiński35883084 min70.2 /9030.1 /90441.3 /90270.8 /90541.6 /90230.7 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
1.55/3
1.24/2
S. El Mala n 880.1
2.78/5
1.37/1
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 872
0.21/0
00/0
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
0.63/1
0.32/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. El Mala n 880.1
0.64/0
0.11/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 872
00/0
0.21/0
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern München1. FC Köln
69%Possession31%
3.05Expected goals (xG)0.98
19Shots9
7Shots on target2
7Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box8
5Corners5
5Offsides1
6Fouls4
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
724Passes327
91%Pass accuracy81%

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Upamecano9000001207.5
J. Tah9000000007.3
T. Bischof9010111408.5
J. Kimmich9002104208.3
L. Díaz9001323007.3
H. Kane90304311010
L. Goretzka8301001107.2
J. Musiala7000101306.3
L. Karl6101203007.2
M. Neuer6000000006.2
K. Laimer45000004Y6.5
J. Stanišić sub4500001106.9
J. Urbig sub3000000006.9
M. Olise sub2900000007.5
Raphaël Guerreiro sub2000100006.5
N. Jackson sub1210110007.7

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Schwäbe9000000005.5
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000105.9
C. Özkacar9000001205.9
E. Martel9000100307.3
S. Sebulonsen9000001005.2
K. Lund9000000206.2
J. Kamiński8900001106.2
M. Bülter8100101206.3
S. El Mala8010110208
A. Castro-Montes6900002106.2
J. Schmied45000000Y5.3
L. Maina sub4500101006.3
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson sub2100110006.3
J. Thielmann sub1000000006.2
Youssoupha Niang sub900000006.5
F. Kainz sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
1. FC KölnWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayern München 5 · 1 draw · 1. FC Köln 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-14 1. FC Köln 1–3 Bayern München
  • 2025-10-29 1. FC Köln 1–4 Bayern München
  • 2024-04-13 Bayern Munich 2–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-11-24 1. FC Köln 0–1 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-05-27 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-01-24 Bayern Munich 1–1 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2025/26
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3.59
1. FC Köln scored1.44
Bayern München conceded1.06
1. FC Köln conceded1.85

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bayern München 2.82 xG from 19 shots, 1. FC Köln 0.88 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Luis Díaz 42' · 0.50 xGJamal Musiala 43' · 0.30 xGHarry Kane 43' · 0.16 xGLennart Karl 27' · 0.15 xGMichael Olise 91' · 0.13 xGEric Martel 66' · 0.11 xGRaphael Guerreiro 89' · 0.08 xGMarius Bülter 58' · 0.08 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 66' · 0.08 xGLennart Karl 52' · 0.07 xGJoshua Kimmich 84' · 0.06 xGLuis Díaz 25' · 0.06 xGLeon Goretzka 77' · 0.06 xGEric Martel 48' · 0.05 xGJamal Musiala 63' · 0.04 xGLuis Díaz 64' · 0.04 xGJakub Kaminski 48' · 0.04 xGLinton Maina 46' · 0.04 xGJahmai Simpson-Pusey 48' · 0.03 xGHarry Kane 1' · 0.02 xGLeon Goretzka 26' · 0.02 xGÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 87' · 0.01 xGHarry Kane 9' · 0.44 xG · goalSaid El Mala 17' · 0.44 xG · goalNicolas Jackson 82' · 0.44 xG · goalHarry Kane 12' · 0.16 xG · goalTom Bischof 21' · 0.06 xG · goalHarry Kane 68' · 0.02 xG · goal
Bayern München (attacking right)1. FC Köln (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bayern München1952.82
1. FC Köln910.88

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 1.87 to 0.44. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 2.82 to 0.88. The widest gap was 1.94 xG to Bayern München, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bayern München 9 minGoal - Bayern München 12 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 17 minGoal - Bayern München 21 minGoal - Bayern München 68 minGoal - Bayern München 82 min
Bayern München 2.82 xG1. FC Köln 0.88 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayern München v 1. FC Köln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v 1. FC Köln was Total corners total over 8.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 5, 1. FC Köln won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — Bayern München 2W 2D 1L; 1. FC Köln 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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