This Matchweek

Bayern München v RB Leipzig result

Full-time · Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · · Allianz Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · RB Leipzig · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.24 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 268 landed (95% range 72.6–82.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 171 of 259 times (66%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 5.02 to 0.70 in expected goals, from 29 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 11th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 6–1 at Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: L. Díaz (12’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich; 47’, assisted by Harry Kane; 69’, assisted by Michael Olise), Aleksandar Pavlović (26’, assisted by L. Díaz), Michael Olise (34’, assisted by Harry Kane) and Harry Kane (53’, assisted by Nathaniel Brown); RB Leipzig: A. Maksimović (90’, assisted by Brajan Gruda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Díaz’s goal on 12 minutes.

Discipline

Tobias Stieler, Germany showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (51’).

What it changes

Bayern München move up from second to first (six league matches played). Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig move down from fifth to seventh (six league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 6, across nine matches. Bayern München have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Díaz (Bayern München) 16.4, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 11.6 and Michael Olise (Bayern München) 11.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with RB Leipzig, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (209 of 268).

Next up

Bayern München next travel to Atletico Madrid on 3 November 2026.

RB Leipzig next host Manchester City on 4 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: Atletico Madrid v Bayern München, Tuesday 3 November — the preview. Next for RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig v Manchester City, Wednesday 4 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Allianz Arena · München
  • Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 5 · draws 1 · RB Leipzig 0 · 4.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 3W 2D 0L · RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L

Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.5 / 2.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 4.5
over 8 matches
9.5 / 6.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
9.25 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · Tobias Stieler, Germany
18.58 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
3.5 for · 1 against n 8
4.5our book
2.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
9.5 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
23.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
19.5standard
19.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
9.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 18.58 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer689531 min111.9 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Urbig390270 min31 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
2.25/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
2.65/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Davies864515 min101.7 /9081.4 /9000 /90437.5 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Tah782576 min81.3 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90243.8 /9060.9 /9000 /90
D. Upamecano777540 min142.3 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90396.5 /9061 /9020.3 /90
J. Stanišić764446 min51 /9010.2 /9030.6 /90193.8 /9030.6 /9000 /90
N. Brown755382 min40.9 /9000 /9000 /90153.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Kane n 881.6
0.43/0
1.14/1
—
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.74/1
A. Nusa
M. Olise n 880.4
0.74/1
3.18/6
—
L. Díaz n 875.1
1.35/4
0.94/2
—
A. Davies n 864.4
0.32/0
1.43/3
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 881.6
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 880.6
15/1
M. Olise n 880.4
1.45/2
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.62/2
A. Davies n 864.4
1.75/3
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane982734 min81 /9040.5 /90323.9 /90151.8 /90172.1 /9081 /90
S. Gnabry12323 min00 /9000 /9027.8 /9013.9 /9027.8 /9000 /90
J. Kimmich981726 min00 /9030.4 /9070.9 /9020.2 /90162 /9010.1 /90
M. Olise980724 min81 /9030.4 /90344.2 /90222.7 /90364.5 /90334.1 /90
L. Díaz976682 min20.3 /9000 /90141.8 /90101.3 /90152 /90162.1 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 881.6
3.97/7
1.97/4
J. Kimmich n 880.6
15/1
0.32/0
M. Olise n 880.4
4.38/7
2.88/5
L. Díaz n 875.1
1.97/4
1.37/2
A. Davies n 864.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 881.6
1.15/3
0.63/1
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.42/1
M. Olise n 880.4
14/2
0.32/0
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.32/0
00/0
A. Davies n 864.4
0.21/0
0.31/1
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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Maarten Vandevoordt890720 min344.3 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
4.38/6

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Orbán890720 min111.4 /9091.1 /9060.8 /90425.3 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
D. Raum887694 min101.3 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9070.9 /9000 /90
R. Baku870559 min91.4 /9040.6 /9050.8 /90355.6 /9061 /9000 /90
C. Lukeba687523 min50.9 /90111.9 /9050.9 /90132.2 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
B. Henrichs437149 min42.4 /9010.6 /9000 /9063.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
0.94/2
0.94/2
—
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
D. Raum n 886.8
0.95/1
0.11/0
—
A. Nusa n 884.5
0.74/1
1.65/4
J. Kimmich
E. Banzuzi n 876.1
1.97/4
14/3
—
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.45/3
D. Raum n 886.8
1.36/4
A. Nusa n 884.5
1.37/2
E. Banzuzi n 876.1
2.57/7
R. Baku n 869.9
1.45/2
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Gomis847378 min20.5 /9030.7 /90133.1 /9051.2 /90102.4 /9092.1 /90
C. Nkunku766463 min40.8 /9020.4 /90101.9 /9071.4 /9091.7 /9040.8 /90
B. Gruda663375 min20.5 /9000 /90122.9 /9061.4 /90112.6 /90174.1 /90
Rômulo459234 min10.4 /9000 /9051.9 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9051.9 /90
J. Bakayoko348144 min00 /9000 /9042.5 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.45/5
0.54/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 886.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Nusa n 884.5
2.88/7
1.67/3
E. Banzuzi n 876.1
2.56/5
0.74/1
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 886.8
00/0
00/0
A. Nusa n 884.5
0.54/0
0.42/1
E. Banzuzi n 876.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
62%Possession38%
3.40Expected goals (xG)0.84
29Shots12
17Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
9Blocked shots5
17Shots inside the box7
11Corners3
4Offsides2
15Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves11
666Passes414
90%Pass accuracy81%

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Brown9001002307.2
J. Urbig9000000006.9
M. Olise9011445109.2
J. Kimmich9001112208.2
L. Díaz90315440010
D. Upamecano9000221207
Kim Min-Jae7700000107.2
I. Saibari5900211006.3
A. Pavlović5910113008.2
K. Laimer59000011Y6.7
H. Kane5912434008.5
J. Stanišić sub3100001107.2
L. Karl sub3100003006.9
S. Gnabry sub3100000106.5
T. Bischof sub3100110206.9
S. Boey sub1300000006.2

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Raum9000113305.7
W. Orbán9000100106.2
C. Lukeba9000000306.3
B. Gruda9001211207.2
N. El Aynaoui9000001407
Maarten Vandevoordt9000000105.9
R. Reitz7100000006
A. Nusa6000101006.2
L. Klostermann5900000005.2
C. Nkunku4500000006.3
E. Banzuzi4500000206.3
T. Gomis sub4500000006.7
N. Seiwald sub4500110006.5
B. Henrichs sub3100001106.3
Rômulo sub3000000206.9
A. Maksimović sub1910112007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
RB LeipzigLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayern München 5 · 1 draw · RB Leipzig 0 · 4.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-11 Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern München
  • 2025-08-22 Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 Bayern München
  • 2024-12-20 Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-02-24 Bayern Munich 2–1 RB Leipzig
League standing · 2026/27
Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD
RB Leipzig#4 pos15 pts8 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3.38
RB Leipzig scored2.75
Bayern München conceded1
RB Leipzig conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bayern München 5.02 xG from 29 shots, RB Leipzig 0.70 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Michael Olise 74' · 0.72 xGIsmael Saibari 29' · 0.52 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 18' · 0.33 xGMichael Olise 28' · 0.24 xGIsmael Saibari 28' · 0.22 xGSerge Gnabry 74' · 0.15 xGWilli Orban 5' · 0.12 xGMichael Olise 66' · 0.12 xGLuis Díaz 55' · 0.11 xGSacha Boey 89' · 0.10 xGMichael Olise 68' · 0.09 xGHarry Kane 1' · 0.09 xGLuis Díaz 37' · 0.09 xGLuis Díaz 14' · 0.09 xGHarry Kane 48' · 0.09 xGBrajan Gruda 85' · 0.09 xGNicolas Seiwald 81' · 0.09 xGKonrad Laimer 23' · 0.08 xGTom Bischof 79' · 0.07 xGRocco Reitz 4' · 0.07 xGHarry Kane 7' · 0.05 xGTidiam Gomis 93' · 0.04 xGRômulo 84' · 0.04 xGAntonio Nusa 4' · 0.04 xGTidiam Gomis 56' · 0.04 xGBrajan Gruda 50' · 0.03 xGBrajan Gruda 92' · 0.03 xGDavid Raum 77' · 0.03 xGJoshua Kimmich 87' · 0.02 xGTom Bischof 68' · 0.02 xGJoshua Kimmich 14' · 0.02 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 63' · 0.02 xGHarry Kane 21' · 0.02 xGNathaniel Brown 19' · 0.02 xGHarry Kane 52' · 0.98 xG · goalAleksandar Pavlovic 25' · 0.31 xG · goalLuis Díaz 11' · 0.29 xG · goalAndrija Maksimovic 90' · 0.09 xG · goalMichael Olise 33' · 0.07 xG · goalLuis Díaz 46' · 0.06 xG · goalLuis Díaz 68' · 0.04 xG · goal
Bayern München (attacking right)RB Leipzig (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bayern München2965.02
RB Leipzig1210.70

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 2.42 to 0.23. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 5.02 to 0.70. The widest gap was 4.57 xG to Bayern München, in the 79th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.02.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Bayern München 11 minGoal - Bayern München 25 minGoal - Bayern München 33 minGoal - Bayern München 46 minGoal - Bayern München 52 minGoal - Bayern München 68 minGoal - RB Leipzig 90 min
Bayern München 5.02 xGRB Leipzig 0.70 xGdots = goals · 41 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayern München v RB Leipzig?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v RB Leipzig was Home win (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and RB Leipzig?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 5, RB Leipzig won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — Bayern München 3W 2D 0L; RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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