FC Augsburg v Bayern München result

Full-time · FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern München

Bundesliga · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 17:30 BST · WWK Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Augsburg · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 104 landed (95% range 77.6–91.1%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 3.41 to 0.51 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München won 3–2 at WWK Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 30 August. Bayern München have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Serge Gnabry (28’, assisted by Harry Kane), L. Díaz (45’, assisted by Konrad Laimer) and Michael Olise (48’, assisted by Harry Kane); FC Augsburg: Kristijan Jakić (53’, assisted by Robin Fellhauer) and Mert Kömür (76’, assisted by Kristijan Jakić).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Serge Gnabry’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

Florian Exner, Germany showed seven yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Augsburg: C. Zesiger (-5’), Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (31’) and Keven Schlotterbeck (85’); Bayern München: Michael Olise (59’), Konrad Laimer (59’), Sacha Boey (90+6’) and L. Díaz (90+6’).

What it changes

FC Augsburg move down from third to fifth (two league matches played).

Bayern München stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kristijan Jakić (FC Augsburg) 9.7, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 9.2 and Harry Kane (Bayern München) 9.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

FC Augsburg next host Union Berlin on 24 October 2026.

Bayern München next travel to SC Freiburg on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg v Union Berlin, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: SC Freiburg v Bayern München, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern München · Bundesliga
Venue: WWK Arena · Augsburg
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Augsburg 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 6 · 5.17 goals/game
Recent form: FC Augsburg 2W 0D 3L · Bayern München 4W 0D 1L

FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 3.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 5.63

Corners

against 5.63 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 7.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.09 yellows

Referee · Florian Exner, Germany

2.18 home / 1.91 away

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	FC Augsburg for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.75 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Florian Exner, Germany — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches (2.18 to the home side, 1.91 to the away side).

Home 2.18Away 1.91

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Kömür n 8	57.8	1.9 5/3	1.8 5/3	—
P. Tietz n 8	35.8	1.9 5/1	0.9 2/1	—
M. Berisha n 8	26.6	1.7 3/1	0 0/0	—
E. Saad n 8	48.1	1.6 4/3	0.9 2/1	—
F. Onyeka n 8	59.8	1.5 5/3	2.3 6/4	—

FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Mounié n 8	28.9	5.5 6/3	2.3 2/2
P. Tietz n 8	35.8	3.5 5/3	2.2 5/2
S. Essende n 8	52.6	2.8 7/4	0.9 4/0
A. Claude-Maurice n 8	77.8	2.7 7/5	0.9 6/0
E. Saad n 8	48.1	1.6 4/2	0.7 2/1

FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Mounié n 8	28.9	0.8 2/0	0 0/0
S. Essende n 8	52.6	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
P. Tietz n 8	35.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
R. Fellhauer n 8	83.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
F. Onyeka n 8	59.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Maier n 8	20.4	2.2 3/1
C. Matsima n 8	91	2.1 6/5
K. Jakić n 8	86.6	1.9 6/4
F. Onyeka n 8	59.8	1.7 5/3
E. Rexhbeçaj n 8	32.4	1.7 4/1

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 8	91	3.6 6/5

Bayern München

Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Boey n 8	43.4	2.6 6/2	1.3 3/2	—
K. Laimer n 8	64.8	2.4 7/4	0.5 3/0	—
J. Kusi-Asare n 6	12.3	2.4 2/0	2.4 1/1	—
J. Tah n 8	80	1.8 5/4	0.8 5/1	—
A. Pavlović n 8	63	1.8 6/3	0.5 3/0	—

Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Sané n 8	58.9	3.4 7/5	1.7 5/3
L. Karl n 4	33.5	3.4 2/2	2.7 2/2
M. Olise n 8	78.6	3 7/6	1.9 5/5
H. Kane n 8	80.1	2.9 7/5	2.2 6/4
K. Coman n 8	61.6	2.6 6/4	1.6 4/2

Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	80.1	1.3 5/3	0.1 1/0
M. Olise n 8	78.6	0.9 4/2	0.3 1/1
K. Coman n 8	61.6	0.5 2/1	0.4 2/0
L. Díaz n 8	76.3	0.6 4/0	0.3 1/1
Thomas Müller n 8	47.5	0.7 2/1	0.2 1/0

Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Karl n 4	33.5	5.4 3/3
S. Boey n 8	43.4	3.6 6/6
D. Upamecano n 8	72.5	3.3 6/6
João Palhinha n 8	37.1	3.3 4/3
K. Laimer n 8	64.8	2.6 5/4

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	90	2.1 5/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Augsburg		Bayern München
42%	Possession	58%
0.51	Expected goals (xG)	4.24
10	Shots	20
3	Shots on target	10
6	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	5
7	Shots inside the box	16
7	Corners	5
4	Offsides	3
14	Fouls	11
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
7	Saves	1
371	Passes	518
79%	Pass accuracy	84%

FC Augsburg player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Dahmen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
C. Matsima	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Gouweleeuw	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
K. Schlotterbeck	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
K. Jakić	90	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	8.7
R. Fellhauer	90	0	1	1	0	1	5	0	7.6
M. Kömür	90	1	0	4	2	1	1	0	7.9
H. Massengo	89	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	6.7
D. Giannoulis	64	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
E. Saad	64	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
M. Wolf	39	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
E. Rexhbeçaj sub	51	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
A. Kade sub	26	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
P. Tietz sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2

Bayern München player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Neuer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Upamecano	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
J. Tah	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Stanišić	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6
J. Kimmich	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.5
M. Olise	90	1	0	4	4	3	3	Y	8.2
L. Díaz	90	1	0	4	2	1	1	Y	7.2
H. Kane	90	0	2	0	0	4	0	0	7.5
S. Gnabry	86	1	0	2	1	1	3	0	7.9
K. Laimer	71	0	1	1	1	2	0	Y	6.5
L. Goretzka	71	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
S. Boey sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.2
A. Pavlović sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Raphaël Guerreiro sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Augsburg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC AugsburgLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Augsburg 0 · 0 draws · Bayern München 6 · 5.17 goals/game

2025-04-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Bayern München
2024-11-22 Bayern München 3–0 FC Augsburg
2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich
2023-08-27 Bayern Munich 3–1 FC Augsburg
2023-03-11 Bayern Munich 5–3 FC Augsburg
2022-10-19 FC Augsburg 2–5 Bayern Munich

League standing · 2025/26

FC Augsburg#9 pos43 pts34 pl-16 GD

Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD

Goals per game

FC Augsburg scored1.32

Bayern München scored3.59

FC Augsburg conceded1.79

Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot map and expected goals

FC Augsburg 0.51 xG from 10 shots, Bayern München 3.41 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

FC Augsburg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
FC Augsburg	10	2	0.51
Bayern München	20	3	3.41

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Augsburg v Bayern München?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Augsburg v Bayern München was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Augsburg and Bayern München?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Augsburg won 0, Bayern München won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Augsburg and Bayern München?: Recent form — FC Augsburg 2W 0D 3L; Bayern München 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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