FC St. Pauli v VfB Stuttgart result
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head
FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart — FC St. Pauli won this Bundesliga match.
What xG said
xG said FC St. Pauli: 1.67 to 0.91 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 15 shots to 8 (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
FC St. Pauli beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 February. VfB Stuttgart have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
FC St. Pauli led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC St. Pauli: M. Saliakas (35’, assisted by A. Pyrka) and D. Sinani (55’ pen); VfB Stuttgart: Jamie Leweling (90’, assisted by Jeremy Arévalo).
Discipline
Benjamin Brand, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: Deniz Undav (57’) and Ermedin Demirović (72’).
What it changes
FC St. Pauli stay 17th after this result (21 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FC St. Pauli have conceded 55 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
VfB Stuttgart stay fourth after this result (21 league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 66 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 46 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Sinani (FC St. Pauli) 6.5, A. Pyrka (FC St. Pauli) 6.3 and M. Saliakas (FC St. Pauli) 5.0 led the match.
Next up
FC St. Pauli next host VfL Bochum on 21 November 2026.
VfB Stuttgart next travel to FC Schalke 04 on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for FC St. Pauli: FC St. Pauli v VfL Bochum, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
- Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
- Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 5): FC St. Pauli 1 · draws 1 · VfB Stuttgart 3 · 1.8 goals/game
- Recent form: FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L · VfB Stuttgart 4W 0D 1L
FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC St. Pauli for / against | Line | VfB Stuttgart for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.38 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.57 fouls over 14 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 21 | 901890 min | 753.6 /90 | 351.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
FC St. Pauli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Smith | 20 | 881755 min | 231.2 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 784 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| H. Wahl | 19 | 881665 min | 311.7 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 764.1 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Karol Mets | 16 | 841349 min | 191.3 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 573.8 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| A. Dźwigała | 12 | 68812 min | 323.5 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 515.7 /90 | 121.3 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
| L. Ritzka | 8 | 56445 min | 183.6 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 244.9 /90 | 51 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 83.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | — |
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| J. Sands n 8 | 88.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | A. Stiller |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 64.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 83.1 | 2.6 |
| J. Sands n 8 | 88.4 | 1.3 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 64.8 | 1.4 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 |
| L. Oppie n 8 | 65.8 | 1.7 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
FC St. Pauli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 21 | 731532 min | 00 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| M. Kaars | 18 | 53947 min | 40.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 101 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| D. Sinani | 16 | 701117 min | 30.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 171.4 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 252 /90 | 80.6 /90 |
| A. Hountondji | 12 | 51616 min | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 71 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 71 /90 |
| R. Jones | 8 | 45358 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 82 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 51.3 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 83.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sands n 8 | 88.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 64.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 83.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sands n 8 | 88.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 64.8 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nübel | 28 | 902526 min | 782.8 /90 | 331.2 /90 | 10 /90 |
| F. Bredlow | 4 | 90360 min | 82 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Nübel n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| F. Bredlow n 8 | 90 | 3 |
VfB Stuttgart Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mittelstädt | 29 | 792279 min | 702.8 /90 | 441.7 /90 | 110.4 /90 | 1455.7 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| J. Chabot | 26 | 842189 min | 321.3 /90 | 331.4 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 1807.4 /90 | 351.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| R. Hendriks | 23 | 781794 min | 301.5 /90 | 201 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 884.4 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| J. Vagnoman | 20 | 781556 min | 271.6 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 633.6 /90 | 231.3 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Finn Jeltsch | 19 | 761452 min | 171.1 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 664.1 /90 | 181.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stiller n 8 | 85.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | J. Sands |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 70.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Nübel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 75.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | — |
| J. Chabot n 8 | 85.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Stiller n 8 | 85.6 | 2.1 |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 70.9 | 4 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 75.4 | 1 |
| J. Chabot n 8 | 85.1 | 2.2 |
| C. Führich n 8 | 63.6 | 1.1 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
VfB Stuttgart Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Undav | 25 | 771932 min | 150.7 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 813.8 /90 | 391.8 /90 | 442 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Tiago Tomás | 18 | 53962 min | 40.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 242.2 /90 | 111 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 141.3 /90 |
| E. Demirović | 14 | 68946 min | 50.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 212 /90 | 101 /90 | 111 /90 | 50.5 /90 |
| A. Stiller | 31 | 812524 min | 10 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 592.1 /90 | 120.4 /90 |
| J. Leweling | 28 | 752104 min | 70.3 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 421.8 /90 | 231 /90 | 391.7 /90 | 351.5 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stiller n 8 | 85.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 70.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| A. Nübel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 75.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
| J. Chabot n 8 | 85.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stiller n 8 | 85.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 70.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Nübel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 75.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| J. Chabot n 8 | 85.1 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| FC St. Pauli | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| 32% | Possession | 68% |
| 1.95 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 307 | Passes | 661 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
FC St. Pauli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Dźwigała | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Ando | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Saliakas | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Sands | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Irvine | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Sinani | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Rasmussen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Pyrka | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Kaars | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Ritzka sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | – |
| T. Hara sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
VfB Stuttgart Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nübel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Finn Jeltsch | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Hendriks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Mittelstädt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Stiller | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Undav | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Karazor | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Demirović | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Vagnoman | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| C. Führich | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. El Khannouss | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Leweling sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| B. Bouanani sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Assignon sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| José María Andrés Baixauli sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jeremy Arévalo sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC St. Pauli
- 2025-05-03 FC St. Pauli 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
- 2024-12-21 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli
- 2020-02-01 FC St. Pauli 1–1 VfB Stuttgart
- 2019-08-17 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 FC St. Pauli
Shot Map and Expected Goals
FC St. Pauli 1.67 xG from 15 shots, VfB Stuttgart 0.91 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli | 15 | 2 | 1.67 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 1 | 0.91 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: FC St. Pauli 0.46, VfB Stuttgart 0.33. At full time, FC St. Pauli led on xG, 1.67 to 0.91, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 0.98 xG to FC St. Pauli, in the 85th minute (level on open-play xG).
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and VfB Stuttgart?
- In their last 5 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and VfB Stuttgart?
- Recent form — FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L; VfB Stuttgart 4W 0D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.