SC FreiburgBayern München

SC Freiburg v Bayern München result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 2.62 to 2.05 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 98th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München won 3–2 at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Freiburg: Johan Manzambi (46’, assisted by Maximilian Eggestein) and Lucas Höler (71’); Bayern München: Tom Bischof (81’, assisted by Lennart Karl; 90’, assisted by Michael Olise) and Lennart Karl (90’, assisted by Alphonso Davies).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lennart Karl’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Daniel Siebert, Germany showed six yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Freiburg: Christian Günter (-5’), Matthias Ginter (29’) and Noah Atubolu (90+9’); Bayern München: Jonathan Tah (25’), Michael Olise (73’) and Lennart Karl (90+10’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg stay eighth after this result (28 league matches played). SC Freiburg have scored 51 goals, the eighth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). SC Freiburg have conceded 57 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.

Bayern München stay first after this result (28 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Bischof (Bayern München) 11.1, Lennart Karl (Bayern München) 7.5 and Johan Manzambi (SC Freiburg) 7.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SC Freiburg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

SC Freiburg next host Union Berlin on 8 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund
  • Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 0 · draws 1 · Bayern München 5 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L

SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 3.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.88
Corners
against 3.88 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 8.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · Daniel Siebert, Germany
21.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
3.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
19.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
8.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu38903420 min1112.9 /90501.3 /9010 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
2.97/4

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter39903510 min320.8 /90320.8 /90190.5 /901814.6 /90180.5 /9010 /90
P. Treu31792445 min521.9 /90160.6 /9080.3 /901224.5 /90240.9 /9030.1 /90
C. Günter27741987 min231 /9090.4 /9070.3 /90472.1 /90100.5 /9040.2 /90
L. Kübler23761759 min472.4 /90331.7 /9070.4 /901045.3 /90201 /9040.2 /90
P. Lienhart19811546 min221.3 /90181 /90130.8 /90673.9 /90120.7 /9070.4 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ginter n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
J. Tah
M. Eggestein n 890
0.32/0
0.65/0
J. Kimmich
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Manzambi n 878.4
1.15/2
3.98/6
J. Kimmich
Y. Suzuki n 874.6
1.15/1
0.21/0
—
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
0.43/0
M. Eggestein n 890
1.46/3
J. Manzambi n 878.4
1.45/2
Y. Suzuki n 874.6
1.24/3
V. Grifo n 861.4
1.14/2
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Scherhant30391183 min50.4 /9010.1 /90312.4 /90201.5 /90201.5 /90231.7 /90
I. Matanović28541521 min90.5 /9020.1 /90422.5 /90211.2 /90181.1 /90100.6 /90
L. Höler26661719 min30.2 /9010.1 /90191 /90110.6 /90180.9 /9060.3 /90
J. Adamu1563947 min20.2 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9070.7 /90161.5 /90141.3 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié933297 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9092.7 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
0.85/1
0.65/0
M. Eggestein n 890
1.36/3
0.85/1
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Manzambi n 878.4
14/2
0.11/0
Y. Suzuki n 874.6
0.95/1
0.63/1
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Manzambi n 878.4
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Suzuki n 874.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer34872970 min662 /90331 /9000 /90
J. Urbig14841170 min352.7 /90131 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 878.8
1.73/2
J. Urbig n 878.8
3.35/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah41823377 min451.2 /90391 /90240.6 /901393.7 /90541.4 /9070.2 /90
D. Upamecano39762960 min842.6 /90341 /9090.3 /901574.8 /90381.2 /9090.3 /90
K. Laimer36762723 min772.5 /90270.9 /9060.2 /901304.3 /90401.3 /90120.4 /90
J. Stanišić33802625 min391.3 /90291 /9060.2 /901043.6 /90100.3 /9030.1 /90
T. Bischof20631259 min171.2 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90412.9 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Kane n 876.9
15/2
1.34/3
—
M. Olise n 886.3
1.25/2
2.58/6
—
J. Kimmich n 886.9
0.32/0
15/2
J. Manzambi
J. Tah n 878.5
1.34/3
0.32/0
M. Ginter
D. Upamecano n 882.8
1.15/1
0.42/1
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 876.9
0.74/1
M. Olise n 886.3
1.66/5
J. Kimmich n 886.9
14/4
J. Tah n 878.5
1.14/2
D. Upamecano n 882.8
2.67/5
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane45793568 min511.3 /9060.2 /901363.4 /901002.5 /90581.5 /90501.3 /90
N. Jackson1847852 min70.7 /9020.2 /90323.4 /90202.1 /90181.9 /9070.7 /90
M. Olise44793483 min190.5 /90250.6 /901012.6 /90681.8 /901153 /901072.8 /90
J. Kimmich42833471 min20.1 /9090.2 /90230.6 /90100.3 /90872.3 /90150.4 /90
L. Díaz38833150 min220.6 /90150.4 /90862.5 /90541.5 /90822.3 /90832.4 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 876.9
58/7
3.78/7
M. Olise n 886.3
2.78/5
1.67/2
J. Kimmich n 886.9
0.83/2
0.52/1
J. Tah n 878.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Upamecano n 882.8
0.31/1
00/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 876.9
1.87/5
0.11/0
M. Olise n 886.3
0.42/1
0.75/0
J. Kimmich n 886.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Tah n 878.5
00/0
00/0
D. Upamecano n 882.8
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgBayern München
30%Possession70%
1.84Expected goals (xG)3.00
13Shots21
4Shots on target9
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box11
5Corners8
4Offsides1
9Fouls13
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Saves2
255Passes632
74%Pass accuracy89%

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Atubolu90000000Y6.6
P. Treu9000102206.2
M. Ginter90000003Y6.5
P. Lienhart9000100206.2
M. Eggestein9001001107.2
D. Scherhant9000002106.9
Y. Suzuki8900000106.2
L. Höler8910420207.6
J. Manzambi7810110108.3
J. Beste7800114508.3
C. Günter65000001Y7
L. Kübler sub2500001106.2
I. Matanović sub1200100106.9
Cyriaque Kalou Irié sub1200000006.6
I. Ogbus sub1200000206.5
N. Höfler sub1100000006.2

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Neuer9000000006.3
J. Stanišić9000002106.3
T. Bischof9020433108.7
J. Kimmich9000222307.5
L. Karl90112212Y6.3
L. Díaz9000212106.3
Kim Min-Jae8700000106.6
S. Gnabry6500100206.6
J. Tah56000002Y7.2
L. Goretzka5600002006.5
Raphaël Guerreiro5600000006.2
K. Laimer sub3400001107
M. Olise sub34012110Y5.9
A. Pavlović sub3400002106.6
J. Musiala sub2500100006.3
A. Davies sub1401001007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 0 · 1 draw · Bayern München 5 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Bayern München 6–2 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2024-09-01 Bayern München 2–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-10-08 Bayern Munich 3–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2023-04-08 SC Freiburg 0–1 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2025/26
SC Freiburg#7 pos47 pts34 pl-6 GD
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored1.5
Bayern München scored3.59
SC Freiburg conceded1.68
Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 2.05 xG from 13 shots, Bayern München 2.62 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tom Bischof 42' · 0.67 xGLucas Höler 51' · 0.43 xGMichael Olise 56' · 0.40 xGLucas Höler 53' · 0.28 xGPhilipp Treu 14' · 0.26 xGLuis Díaz 42' · 0.13 xGLuis Díaz 41' · 0.12 xGMaximilian Eggestein 97' · 0.11 xGJohan Manzambi 46' · 0.09 xGJan-Niklas Beste 26' · 0.08 xGLucas Höler 27' · 0.08 xGSerge Gnabry 29' · 0.07 xGPhilipp Lienhart 39' · 0.07 xGJamal Musiala 91' · 0.07 xGLucas Höler 46' · 0.06 xGLennart Karl 42' · 0.06 xGTom Bischof 11' · 0.06 xGMaximilian Eggestein 74' · 0.05 xGJoshua Kimmich 19' · 0.05 xGLuis Díaz 80' · 0.05 xGJamal Musiala 83' · 0.04 xGIgor Matanovic 100' · 0.03 xGLuis Díaz 43' · 0.03 xGTom Bischof 5' · 0.03 xGJoshua Kimmich 83' · 0.03 xGSerge Gnabry 60' · 0.02 xGMichael Olise 84' · 0.02 xGSerge Gnabry 44' · 0.02 xGMichael Olise 76' · 0.02 xGLennart Karl 98' · 0.67 xG · goalLucas Höler 70' · 0.48 xG · goalTom Bischof 80' · 0.04 xG · goalTom Bischof 91' · 0.04 xG · goalJohan Manzambi 45' · 0.02 xG · goal
SC Freiburg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
SC Freiburg1322.05
Bayern München2132.62

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 1.23 to 0.51. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 2.62 to 2.05. The widest gap was 0.73 xG to Bayern München, in the 44th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - SC Freiburg 45 minGoal - SC Freiburg 70 minGoal - Bayern München 80 minGoal - Bayern München 91 minGoal - Bayern München 98 min
SC Freiburg 2.05 xGBayern München 2.62 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0, Bayern München won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Bayern München?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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