VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Mönchengladbach · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1.61 to 0.93 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 35th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

VfB Stuttgart beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 30 August. VfB Stuttgart have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — VfB Stuttgart: José María Andrés Baixauli (79’, assisted by Jamie Leweling).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with José María Andrés Baixauli’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

Sven Jablonski, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: Maximilian Mittelstädt (24’) and Jamie Leweling (54’); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Joseph Scally (75’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart move up from 13th to eighth (two league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). VfB Stuttgart have conceded nine goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach move down from 10th to 12th (two league matches played). Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored no goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded one goal, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexander Nübel (VfB Stuttgart) 6.0, Philipp Sander (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 5.8 and Jamie Leweling (VfB Stuttgart) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next travel to FC Schalke 04 on 21 November 2026.

Borussia Mönchengladbach next host Borussia Dortmund on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
  • Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 3 · draws 0 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 2D 2L

VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.83 / 6.13
Corners
against 4 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
6.67 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 2.17 / 6.63 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.5 / 0.75
Cards
against 3.67 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · Sven Jablonski, Germany
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.83 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
6.13 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
19.83 for · 8.67 against n 6
19.5standard
14.88 for · 17.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.67 for · 2.17 against n 6
8.5standard
5.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 14.5 against n 6
21.5standard
7.88 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 3.67 against n 6
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Nübel19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /90

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mittelstädt290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
L. Jaquez290179 min42 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90105 /9031.5 /9000 /90
J. Chabot277153 min10.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90137.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
J. Vagnoman276152 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9084.7 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
D. Undav290180 min21 /9021 /9000 /9094.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Undav n 881.5
1.45/3
2.27/5
R. Reitz
N. Woltemade n 876.6
1.37/1
2.56/5
—
M. Mittelstädt n 887.1
0.65/0
0.32/0
N. Elvedi
J. Leweling n 858.5
0.21/0
2.15/3
F. Honorat
L. Jaquez n 669.7
1.54/3
0.21/0
—
See more players · Pro
VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mittelstädt n 887.1
1.96/5
N. Woltemade n 876.6
15/2
J. Leweling n 858.5
13/1
D. Undav n 881.5
0.74/1
L. Jaquez n 669.7
1.13/2
See more players · Pro

VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Demirović24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /90
Tiago Tomás12525 min13.6 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Undav290180 min00 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
J. Leweling290180 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9042 /9021 /90
N. Woltemade290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Undav n 881.5
2.88/6
0.84/1
N. Woltemade n 876.6
2.37/4
1.35/2
J. Leweling n 858.5
1.35/2
0.83/1
M. Mittelstädt n 887.1
15/3
0.32/0
L. Jaquez n 669.7
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Undav n 881.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Woltemade n 876.6
0.43/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 887.1
00/0
0.32/0
J. Leweling n 858.5
0.21/0
00/0
L. Jaquez n 669.7
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 881.3
2.65/3

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Scally290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /902010 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
N. Elvedi290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9000 /90
L. Ullrich280160 min21.1 /9000 /9000 /9052.8 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Chiarodia264128 min10.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Honorat290180 min73.5 /9000 /9000 /90126 /9010.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Reitz n 883.6
1.27/2
1.35/4
D. Undav
J. Scally n 873.5
0.53/0
1.75/4
—
F. Honorat n 872
0.53/0
0.52/1
J. Leweling
N. Elvedi n 881.4
0.43/0
0.63/1
M. Mittelstädt
M. Nicolas n 881.3
00/0
00/0
—
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Reitz n 883.6
2.47/3
F. Honorat n 872
26/4
N. Elvedi n 881.4
1.16/2
J. Scally n 873.5
1.15/2
R. Hack n 872.9
0.63/1
See more players · Pro

Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Tabaković287173 min00 /9000 /9073.6 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
F. Honorat290180 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /90115.5 /9031.5 /90
R. Reitz290180 min00 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90
R. Hack290179 min21 /9000 /9073.5 /9052.5 /9042 /9021 /90
P. Sander283166 min00 /9000 /9063.3 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Honorat n 872
1.46/2
0.95/1
R. Reitz n 883.6
0.95/1
0.53/1
N. Elvedi n 881.4
0.73/2
0.11/0
M. Nicolas n 881.3
00/0
00/0
J. Scally n 873.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Honorat n 872
0.32/0
0.64/0
R. Reitz n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
N. Elvedi n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
M. Nicolas n 881.3
00/0
00/0
J. Scally n 873.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
51%Possession49%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.82
13Shots15
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target7
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box14
6Corners10
2Offsides4
5Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves4
496Passes460
88%Pass accuracy85%

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Nübel9000001008.6
J. Vagnoman9000112006.9
Finn Jeltsch9000000207.2
R. Hendriks9000000106.9
A. Stiller9000000207.6
J. Leweling90012120Y7
E. Demirović9000000106.2
M. Mittelstädt74000022Y7.2
Tiago Tomás7400422106.6
A. Karazor6400000006.6
D. Undav1400000006.3
C. Führich sub5000001006.7
José María Andrés Baixauli sub2610110007.9
L. Jovanović sub2600000006.5
L. Assignon sub1600000206.9
N. Nartey sub1600000306.9

Borussia Mönchengladbach Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Nicolas9000000007.7
N. Elvedi9000000107.2
K. Diks9000100006.2
P. Sander9000210307.6
F. Honorat9000113106.9
R. Hack9000324106.6
J. Scally85001112Y6.3
L. Ullrich8500101106.5
R. Reitz8400001406.6
K. Stöger8400102507
S. Machino7500100006.9
J. Castrop sub1500100105.9
F. Chiarodia sub1100000106.6
F. Neuhaus sub1100110006.7
L. Netz sub1000000006.7
G. Ranos sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 3 · 0 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-09-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-05-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2024-01-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-04-29 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2022-11-04 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2025/26
VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#12 pos38 pts34 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored2.09
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.24
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded1.56

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 0.93 xG from 13 shots, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.61 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kevin Stöger 50' · 0.45 xGJoe Scally 35' · 0.28 xGTiago Tomás 16' · 0.22 xGTiago Tomás 55' · 0.11 xGPhilipp Sander 35' · 0.10 xGPhilipp Sander 24' · 0.10 xGTiago Tomás 69' · 0.09 xGJamie Leweling 0' · 0.09 xGJens Castrop 82' · 0.09 xGKevin Diks 48' · 0.09 xGFranck Honorat 40' · 0.08 xGFranck Honorat 49' · 0.08 xGLukas Ullrich 20' · 0.07 xGJoshua Vagnoman 62' · 0.07 xGTiago Tomás 18' · 0.07 xGShuto Machino 51' · 0.06 xGFlorian Neuhaus 90' · 0.05 xGRobin Hack 59' · 0.05 xGFlorian Neuhaus 89' · 0.04 xGRobin Hack 81' · 0.04 xGTiago Tomás 49' · 0.04 xGRobin Hack 71' · 0.03 xGChris Führich 60' · 0.03 xGTiago Tomás 58' · 0.03 xGTiago Tomás 46' · 0.02 xGJamie Leweling 18' · 0.02 xGJamie Leweling 47' · 0.02 xGChema Andres 78' · 0.11 xG · goal
VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Borussia Mönchengladbach (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
VfB Stuttgart1310.93
Borussia Mönchengladbach1501.61

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: VfB Stuttgart 0.40, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.63. At full time, Borussia Mönchengladbach led on xG, 1.61 to 0.93. The widest gap was 0.82 xG to Borussia Mönchengladbach, in the 51st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - VfB Stuttgart 78 min
VfB Stuttgart 0.93 xGBorussia Mönchengladbach 1.61 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 3, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+