VfB StuttgartHamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Hamburger SV · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said VfB Stuttgart: 3.87 to 0.42 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 23 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

VfB Stuttgart beat Hamburger SV 4–0 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 12 April. Hamburger SV are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

VfB Stuttgart led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — VfB Stuttgart: Angelo Stiller (21’, assisted by Jamie Leweling), Chris Führich (32’, assisted by Ermedin Demirović), Maximilian Mittelstädt (56’, assisted by Chris Führich) and Bilal El Khannouss (86’, assisted by Tiago Tomás).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Angelo Stiller’s goal on 21 minutes.

Discipline

Sven Jablonski, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: José María Andrés Baixauli (24’) and Deniz Undav (80’); Hamburger SV: N. Capaldo (80’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart move up from fourth to third (29 league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 66 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 46 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Hamburger SV move down from 10th to 12th (29 league matches played). Hamburger SV have scored 36 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). Hamburger SV have conceded 51 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 10.3, Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart) 10.0 and Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Hamburger SV next travel to Werder Bremen on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Hamburger SV: Werder Bremen v Hamburger SV, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
  • Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 4 · draws 0 · Hamburger SV 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L · Hamburger SV 1W 2D 2L

VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 3.75
Corners
against 4 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · Sven Jablonski, Germany
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineHamburger SV for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Nübel40903606 min1122.8 /90511.3 /9010 /90
F. Bredlow490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
2.96/5
F. Bredlow n 890
37/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mittelstädt38782971 min922.8 /90521.6 /90120.4 /901965.9 /90190.6 /9060.2 /90
J. Chabot34852897 min411.3 /90431.3 /90230.7 /902437.5 /90481.5 /9080.2 /90
R. Hendriks33772552 min421.5 /90281 /90150.5 /901264.4 /90200.7 /9030.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch29782257 min291.2 /90271.1 /90210.8 /901004 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
J. Vagnoman23781805 min281.4 /9030.1 /9030.1 /90713.5 /90271.3 /9030.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 880.4
0.42/1
1.54/3
N. Remberg
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
M. Mittelstädt n 875.3
0.74/1
0.64/0
—
J. Leweling n 862.5
1.13/1
1.34/3
—
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 880.4
2.27/6
M. Mittelstädt n 875.3
37/4
J. Leweling n 862.5
1.33/2
C. Führich n 864.1
1.15/1
D. Undav n 885.5
0.74/1
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav37792924 min230.7 /90140.4 /901103.4 /90581.8 /90662 /9090.3 /90
Tiago Tomás26491269 min50.4 /9010.1 /90292.1 /90120.9 /90110.8 /90231.6 /90
E. Demirović24721717 min80.4 /9020.1 /90351.8 /90160.8 /90180.9 /9090.5 /90
A. Stiller42823424 min10 /9060.2 /90130.3 /9060.2 /90782.1 /90180.5 /90
J. Leweling38722733 min110.4 /9080.3 /90531.7 /90301 /90481.6 /90411.4 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 880.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 875.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
J. Leweling n 862.5
1.87/3
1.15/1
C. Führich n 864.1
38/6
1.46/2
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 880.4
00/0
00/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 875.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Leweling n 862.5
0.52/1
00/0
C. Führich n 864.1
00/0
0.42/0
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Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes28902520 min843 /90411.5 /9020.1 /90
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
2.87/5

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković26902340 min210.8 /90331.3 /90240.9 /902007.7 /90261 /9050.2 /90
J. Torunarigha20811613 min291.6 /90231.3 /90120.7 /90874.9 /90181 /9020.1 /90
N. Capaldo19811540 min502.9 /90321.9 /9050.3 /901217.1 /90201.2 /9060.4 /90
Daniel Elfadli17731243 min201.4 /90201.4 /9090.7 /90523.8 /90191.4 /9060.4 /90
W. Omari14771082 min90.7 /90141.2 /9090.7 /90363 /90100.8 /9000 /90
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Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Muheim n 886.5
1.36/4
2.28/6
—
R. Königsdörffer n 876.5
0.73/2
1.54/2
—
N. Remberg n 890
1.16/2
1.36/3
A. Stiller
L. Vušković n 890
0.83/2
0.94/2
—
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Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Muheim n 886.5
2.57/4
R. Königsdörffer n 876.5
0.32/0
N. Remberg n 890
2.18/4
L. Vušković n 890
1.15/2
Fábio Vieira n 878.3
16/1
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Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Königsdörffer28711976 min50.2 /9000 /90442 /90190.9 /90170.8 /90110.5 /90
R. Philippe22551206 min50.4 /9000 /90251.9 /90141 /90151.1 /90141 /90
J. Dompé19601135 min30.2 /9000 /90211.7 /90121 /90332.6 /90201.6 /90
R. Glatzel938343 min20.5 /9020.5 /9092.4 /9051.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
Y. Poulsen929258 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Muheim n 886.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Königsdörffer n 876.5
1.66/2
0.74/1
N. Remberg n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Vušković n 890
15/2
0.32/0
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Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Muheim n 886.5
00/0
00/0
R. Königsdörffer n 876.5
0.42/1
00/0
N. Remberg n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Vušković n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB StuttgartHamburger SV
65%Possession35%
3.48Expected goals (xG)0.71
23Shots9
11Shots on target5
5Shots off target4
7Blocked shots0
16Shots inside the box4
8Corners2
5Offsides1
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves7
541Passes293
84%Pass accuracy75%

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Nübel9000000007.3
R. Hendriks9000000107.5
J. Chabot9000101208.2
M. Mittelstädt9010331409.9
A. Stiller9010110208
J. Leweling9001002007.3
L. Assignon8800000106.9
D. Undav88004250Y7.2
José María Andrés Baixauli70001030Y7.3
C. Führich7011434008.7
E. Demirović7001112006.9
Tiago Tomás sub2001001107.3
B. El Khannouss sub2010110108.2
N. Nartey sub2000000007
Jeremy Arévalo sub20000000–
J. Vagnoman sub20000010–

Hamburger SV Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9000000006.5
W. Omari9000000105.9
J. Torunarigha9000000106.7
W. Mikelbrencis9000001406.3
N. Remberg9000001006.2
Fábio Vieira9000113007.2
R. Königsdörffer9000430006.5
Daniel Elfadli7200000206.3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé7200101206.2
A. Grønbæk6000001106.3
R. Philippe6000100206.5
R. Glatzel sub3000110006.2
Otto Emerson Stange sub3000100006.7
G. Gocholeishvili sub1800000006.5
N. Capaldo sub18000010Y6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Hamburger SVLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 4 · 0 draws · Hamburger SV 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-06-05 Hamburger SV 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-06-01 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2020-05-28 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Hamburger SV
  • 2019-10-29 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2019-10-26 Hamburger SV 6–2 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2025/26
VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD
Hamburger SV#13 pos38 pts34 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored2.09
Hamburger SV scored1.18
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44
Hamburger SV conceded1.59

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 3.87 xG from 23 shots, Hamburger SV 0.42 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Deniz Undav 81' · 0.76 xGDeniz Undav 43' · 0.44 xGChris Führich 54' · 0.36 xGAngelo Stiller 62' · 0.14 xGErmedin Demirovic 47' · 0.14 xGBilal El Khannouss 75' · 0.12 xGChris Führich 40' · 0.12 xGChris Führich 62' · 0.12 xGJulian Chabot 45' · 0.10 xGRansford Königsdörffer 51' · 0.10 xGMaximilian Mittelstädt 58' · 0.09 xGMaximilian Mittelstädt 50' · 0.08 xGDeniz Undav 59' · 0.08 xGDeniz Undav 52' · 0.08 xGErmedin Demirovic 38' · 0.08 xGRansford Königsdörffer 27' · 0.08 xGDeniz Undav 9' · 0.08 xGChris Führich 49' · 0.08 xGRobert Glatzel 83' · 0.06 xGChema Andres 47' · 0.06 xGFabio Baldé 14' · 0.05 xGRansford Königsdörffer 28' · 0.04 xGFábio Vieira 90' · 0.03 xGDeniz Undav 41' · 0.03 xGDeniz Undav 39' · 0.02 xGRansford Königsdörffer 29' · 0.02 xGOtto Stange 72' · 0.02 xGRayan Philippe 53' · 0.02 xGAngelo Stiller 20' · 0.40 xG · goalChris Führich 31' · 0.35 xG · goalBilal El Khannouss 85' · 0.10 xG · goalMaximilian Mittelstädt 55' · 0.02 xG · goal
VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Hamburger SV (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
VfB Stuttgart2343.87
Hamburger SV900.42

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 1.63 to 0.19. At full time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 3.87 to 0.42, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 3.48 xG to VfB Stuttgart, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.91.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - VfB Stuttgart 20 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 31 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 55 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 85 min
VfB Stuttgart 3.87 xGHamburger SV 0.42 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 4, Hamburger SV won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L; Hamburger SV 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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