VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said VfB Stuttgart: 2.00 to 0.96 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen drew 1–1 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 26 April.

The goals

Werder Bremen led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Werder Bremen: Jens Stage (18’, assisted by Yukinari Sugawara); VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirović (61’, assisted by Bilal El Khannouss).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ermedin Demirović’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

Christian Dingert, Germany showed one yellow card — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Werder Bremen: Mio Backhaus (78’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart stay fourth after this result (31 league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 49 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Werder Bremen move up from 14th to 12th (31 league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 37 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Werder Bremen have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Werder Bremen have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jens Stage (Werder Bremen) 7.1, Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart) 5.9 and Senne Lynen (Werder Bremen) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
  • Referee: Christian Dingert, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 2 · draws 1 · Werder Bremen 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L · Werder Bremen 2W 0D 3L

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.43 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.29 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.57 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Christian Dingert, Germany
21.1 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineWerder Bremen for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.43 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
15.29 for · 12.57 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.57 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 10.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Christian Dingert, Germany — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 21.1 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Nübel42903786 min1202.9 /90551.3 /9010 /90
F. Bredlow490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
3.47/6
F. Bredlow n 890
37/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mittelstädt40773086 min962.8 /90531.5 /90140.4 /902056 /90190.6 /9060.2 /90
J. Chabot36853077 min471.4 /90471.4 /90260.8 /902607.6 /90491.4 /9080.2 /90
R. Hendriks35782732 min461.5 /90311 /90150.5 /901344.4 /90210.7 /9030.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch30772302 min301.2 /90281.1 /90220.9 /901024 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
J. Vagnoman24791895 min281.3 /9030.1 /9050.2 /90733.5 /90271.3 /9030.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.53/1
1.54/3
S. Lynen
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
0.73/1
1.16/1
—
J. Leweling n 871.3
0.93/1
1.45/4
S. Lynen
C. Führich n 864.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
27/6
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
2.86/4
J. Leweling n 871.3
0.93/2
C. Führich n 864.4
0.94/1
D. Undav n 885.3
0.74/1
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav38793012 min230.7 /90140.4 /901143.4 /90601.8 /90712.1 /9090.3 /90
Tiago Tomás28491374 min50.3 /9020.1 /90302 /90120.8 /90120.8 /90231.5 /90
E. Demirović25711787 min80.4 /9030.2 /90361.8 /90170.9 /90201 /9090.5 /90
A. Stiller44813579 min20.1 /9060.2 /90140.4 /9070.2 /90782 /90190.5 /90
J. Leweling40722899 min110.3 /9090.3 /90531.6 /90300.9 /90501.6 /90431.3 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
14/1
0.72/1
J. Leweling n 871.3
1.36/2
0.84/1
C. Führich n 864.4
3.18/6
1.76/3
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Leweling n 871.3
0.31/1
0.21/0
C. Führich n 864.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Backhaus28902520 min833 /90491.8 /9000 /90
K. Hein290180 min115.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.94/2

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Friedl28862414 min451.7 /90331.2 /90220.8 /901154.3 /90170.6 /9090.3 /90
Y. Sugawara27832247 min331.3 /90110.4 /9040.2 /90652.6 /90200.8 /9020.1 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly23821885 min261.2 /90211 /90150.7 /90743.5 /90160.8 /9050.2 /90
A. Pieper15791189 min272 /90231.7 /90141.1 /90836.3 /9080.6 /9040.3 /90
F. Agu1270836 min222.4 /90131.4 /9070.8 /90586.2 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Schmid n 889.8
0.53/1
15/3
—
M. Grüll n 866.8
1.77/2
0.83/1
—
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
0.63/2
—
S. Lynen n 889.8
1.87/5
0.54/0
J. Leweling
M. Friedl n 881.8
0.63/1
0.74/1
—
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
1.35/3
M. Grüll n 866.8
14/2
S. Lynen n 889.8
1.97/5
M. Friedl n 881.8
1.87/4
Y. Sugawara n 874
2.18/5
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Grüll31662043 min30.1 /9010 /90291.3 /90120.5 /90331.5 /90210.9 /90
J. Njinmah27651746 min50.3 /9000 /90412.1 /90191 /90170.9 /90170.9 /90
S. Mbangula20541089 min30.2 /9020.2 /90100.8 /9070.6 /90151.2 /90282.3 /90
K. Topp1443602 min00 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9050.7 /90
J. Milošević941366 min30.7 /9000 /9071.7 /9041 /9020.5 /9051.2 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
1.97/5
0.85/1
M. Grüll n 866.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 889.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
M. Friedl n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
M. Grüll n 866.8
0.21/0
00/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 889.8
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
69%Possession31%
1.82Expected goals (xG)0.93
20Shots9
4Shots on target3
8Shots off target4
8Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box9
14Corners2
0Offsides1
8Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
663Passes313
89%Pass accuracy76%

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Nübel9000000006.2
L. Jaquez9000100106.6
M. Mittelstädt9000110206.9
A. Stiller9000002308.2
B. El Khannouss9001313107.2
D. Undav9000202006.5
José María Andrés Baixauli8900001306.7
J. Leweling7800001006.3
L. Assignon5700003006.9
Tiago Tomás5700200306.9
D. Zagadou4500000006.6
R. Hendriks sub4500000007.2
C. Führich sub3300004007.9
E. Demirović sub3310210007.2
B. Bouanani sub1200110006.3
N. Nartey sub10000000–

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Backhaus90000000Y7
A. Pieper9000000107.2
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly9000000006.7
Y. Sugawara9001111207
Cameron Puertas9000002206.2
S. Lynen9000200306.6
O. Deman9000000506.6
R. Schmid8900003307.6
J. Stage8310321108
N. Stark6500000206.9
J. Milošević6500100106.6
Maximilian Wöber sub2500000107.2
J. Njinmah sub2500000006.3
S. Mbangula sub1200000006.5
S. Musah sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Werder BremenLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 2 · 1 draw · Werder Bremen 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-04-13 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-11-30 Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-04-21 Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-12-02 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-02-05 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Werder Bremen
League standing · 2025/26
VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD
Werder Bremen#15 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored2.09
Werder Bremen scored1.09
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44
Werder Bremen conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 2.00 xG from 20 shots, Werder Bremen 0.96 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jens Stage 70' · 0.37 xGTiago Tomás 13' · 0.34 xGBilal El Khannouss 21' · 0.34 xGJovan Milosevic 40' · 0.13 xGBilal El Khannouss 84' · 0.12 xGErmedin Demirovic 88' · 0.12 xGJamie Leweling 43' · 0.12 xGJens Stage 7' · 0.10 xGSenne Lynen 5' · 0.08 xGDeniz Undav 45' · 0.07 xGSenne Lynen 5' · 0.07 xGChris Führich 58' · 0.07 xGDeniz Undav 54' · 0.07 xGYukinari Sugawara 34' · 0.06 xGBadredine Bouanani 81' · 0.06 xGSenne Lynen 78' · 0.06 xGMaximilian Mittelstädt 30' · 0.06 xGTiago Tomás 20' · 0.05 xGDeniz Undav 92' · 0.05 xGAngelo Stiller 65' · 0.05 xGJens Stage 47' · 0.03 xGDan-Axel Zagadou 23' · 0.03 xGBilal El Khannouss 50' · 0.03 xGBilal El Khannouss 44' · 0.03 xGDeniz Undav 11' · 0.03 xGLuca Jaquez 85' · 0.02 xGLuca Jaquez 9' · 0.02 xGErmedin Demirovic 60' · 0.33 xG · goalJens Stage 17' · 0.06 xG · goal
VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Werder Bremen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
VfB Stuttgart2012.00
Werder Bremen910.96

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 1.08 to 0.50. At full time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 2.00 to 0.96. The widest gap was 1.08 xG to VfB Stuttgart, in the 65th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Werder Bremen 17 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 60 min
VfB Stuttgart 2.00 xGWerder Bremen 0.96 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 2, Werder Bremen won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L; Werder Bremen 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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