Birmingham v Bristol City result

Full-time · Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City

Championship · Sat, 25 Apr 2026 15:00 BST · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Bristol City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham beat Bristol City 2–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Saturday 25 April. Birmingham have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Birmingham led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: Phil Neumann (8’, assisted by Demarai Gray) and J. Solis (29’); Bristol City: Tomi Horvat (82’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phil Neumann’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Birmingham 1.76, Bristol City 1.13, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Jones showed four yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Birmingham: J. Solis (14’), Jay Stansfield (81’) and Christoph Klarer (90+4’); Bristol City: Delano Burgzorg (75’).

What it changes

Birmingham stay 10th after this result (45 league matches played).

Bristol City move down from 11th to 13th (45 league matches played).

Birmingham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Bristol City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tomi Horvat (Bristol City) 8.4, Phil Neumann (Birmingham) 8.0 and J. Solis (Birmingham) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham or Bristol City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.

Bristol City next travel to Middlesbrough on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City · Championship
Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
Referee: R. Jones
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 1 · Bristol City 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Birmingham 2W 1D 2L · Bristol City 2W 2D 1L

Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4

Corners

against 3.88 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Birmingham for / against	Line	Bristol City for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8.63 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Jones.

Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	36	903240 min	922.6 /90	431.2 /90	10 /90
R. Allsop	11	90990 min	191.7 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	90	2.5 6/4

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Iwata	45	863877 min	731.7 /90	411 /90	120.3 /90	1744 /90	581.3 /90	80.2 /90
C. Klarer	43	903870 min	461.1 /90	541.3 /90	250.6 /90	3137.3 /90	390.9 /90	90.2 /90
P. Neumann	31	882727 min	341.1 /90	250.8 /90	220.7 /90	1384.6 /90	351.2 /90	60.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	22	641400 min	171.1 /90	151 /90	20.1 /90	764.9 /90	211.4 /90	50.3 /90
A. Cochrane	21	791665 min	271.5 /90	191 /90	20.1 /90	804.3 /90	110.6 /90	30.2 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	1.3 7/3	0.7 3/1	—
J. Stansfield n 8	77.4	2.5 8/4	0.6 4/0	S. Twine
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.4 3/0	—
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	78.8	1 4/2	0.9 4/1	—
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	1.8 6/3
J. Stansfield n 8	77.4	1.6 6/3
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.3 6/3
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	78.8	1.9 6/2
D. Gray n 8	44.5	1.8 3/2
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Ducksch	31	672063 min	110.5 /90	10 /90	512.2 /90	291.3 /90	271.2 /90	30.1 /90
K. Furuhashi	24	461108 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	342.8 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90
A. Priske	13	54704 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	111.4 /90	50.6 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
L. Dykes	13	34445 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
J. Stansfield	44	753289 min	110.3 /90	60.2 /90	561.5 /90	280.8 /90	431.2 /90	270.7 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	1.1 3/3	0.4 3/0
J. Stansfield n 8	77.4	1.5 6/4	0.7 4/1
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
R. Vítek	39	903510 min	1283.3 /90	471.2 /90
M. O’Leary	5	90450 min	81.6 /90	51 /90
J. Lumley	3	90270 min	31 /90	31 /90

Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 8	90	4.3 8/6

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Neto Borges	34	772619 min	672.3 /90	471.6 /90	140.5 /90	1635.6 /90	301 /90	70.2 /90
R. Dickie	33	862851 min	321 /90	411.3 /90	300.9 /90	2056.5 /90	150.5 /90	40.1 /90
G. Tanner	32	862747 min	812.7 /90	301 /90	240.8 /90	1745.7 /90	120.4 /90	10 /90
Z. Vyner	30	862592 min	451.6 /90	281 /90	200.7 /90	1133.9 /90	230.8 /90	40.1 /90
R. Atkinson	26	741922 min	341.6 /90	321.5 /90	130.6 /90	1607.5 /90	50.2 /90	10 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Randell n 8	85.8	0.5 3/1	1.4 5/3	—
S. Twine n 8	75.6	0.7 4/1	1.9 7/2	J. Stansfield
E. Riis n 8	78.8	1.3 6/3	0.6 4/0	—
R. Vítek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Sykes n 8	63.9	0.9 4/1	1.4 6/2	—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Randell n 8	85.8	1 6/2
S. Twine n 8	75.6	1.8 6/4
E. Riis n 8	78.8	0.9 6/0
M. Sykes n 8	63.9	1.2 5/2
R. McCrorie n 8	77.1	1.6 5/4
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Twine	45	723234 min	110.3 /90	90.3 /90	571.6 /90	290.8 /90	752.1 /90	110.3 /90
E. Riis	44	683013 min	120.4 /90	30.1 /90	601.8 /90	300.9 /90	280.8 /90	180.5 /90
S. Armstrong	34	481644 min	40.2 /90	00 /90	372 /90	191 /90	50.3 /90	150.8 /90
Anis Mehmeti	31	822543 min	90.3 /90	60.2 /90	541.9 /90	291 /90	511.8 /90	421.5 /90
Y. Hirakawa	16	38614 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	71 /90	81.2 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Randell n 8	85.8	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Twine n 8	75.6	1.2 3/2	0.9 3/2
E. Riis n 8	78.8	1.3 6/3	0.7 4/1
R. Vítek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Sykes n 8	63.9	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Randell n 8	85.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Twine n 8	75.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Riis n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Vítek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Sykes n 8	63.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Birmingham		Bristol City
44%	Possession	56%
1.76	Expected goals (xG)	1.13
11	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	3
1	Blocked shots	4
8	Shots inside the box	5
6	Corners	5
1	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	8
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
365	Passes	485
73%	Pass accuracy	77%

Birmingham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Beadle	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
P. Neumann	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.2
C. Klarer	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Paik Seung-Ho	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Carlos Vicente	90	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	7
A. Priske	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Stansfield	85	0	0	2	2	2	1	Y	6.9
B. Osayi-Samuel	70	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
D. Gray	70	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
J. Solis	60	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.2
T. Iwata sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
E. Laird sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Doyle sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Cochrane sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Bristol City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Vítek	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
R. McCrorie	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
N. Eile	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Neto Borges	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. Knight	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Horvat	90	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.3
S. Twine	90	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.3
D. Burgzorg	77	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Sam Morsy	63	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
S. Bell	63	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
C. Pring	45	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
R. Dickie sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
A. Randell sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
E. Riis sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Armstrong sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BirminghamLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Bristol CityWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Birmingham 3 · 1 draw · Bristol City 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-10-25 Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham
2023-12-29 Birmingham 0–0 Bristol City
2023-08-19 Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham
2023-01-14 Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham
2022-10-08 Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City
2022-03-05 Bristol City 1–2 Birmingham

League standing · 2025/26

Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD

Bristol City#12 pos62 pts46 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Birmingham scored1.24

Bristol City scored1.28

Birmingham conceded1.22

Bristol City conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Bristol City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Bristol City was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Bristol City?: In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Bristol City won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Bristol City?: Recent form — Birmingham 2W 1D 2L; Bristol City 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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