Birmingham v Bristol City result

Full-time · Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City

Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 12:30 BST · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Bristol City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham and Bristol City drew 2–2 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Saturday 22 August. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Bristol City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bristol City: Scott Twine (33’), an own goal by Sam Tickle (42’) and Dominic Ballard (85’, assisted by Rio Cardines); Birmingham: Demarai Gray (90’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Birmingham, from fewer shots (8 to 14), created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 1.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Will Finnie, England showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Birmingham: Bright Osayi-Samuel (32’) and Patrick Roberts (78’); Bristol City: Jason Knight (90+6’).

What it changes

Birmingham have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Birmingham have conceded 13 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City have scored 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bristol City have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Demarai Gray (Birmingham) 6.6, Rio Cardines (Bristol City) 6.1 and Scott Twine (Bristol City) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Birmingham next host Swansea on 7 November 2026.

Bristol City next host Norwich on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City · Championship
Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
Referee: Will Finnie, England
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 1 · Bristol City 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Birmingham 3W 2D 0L · Bristol City 1W 1D 3L

Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.75 / 4.63

Corners

against 3.75 / 7 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 2.63 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.83 yellows

Referee · Will Finnie, England

23 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Birmingham for / against	Line	Bristol City for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	7.88 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Will Finnie, England — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 23 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	2	93186 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	90.8	1.7 4/2

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Osayi-Samuel	2	93186 min	73.4 /90	21 /90	00 /90	157.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
C. Klarer	2	93186 min	21 /90	41.9 /90	10.5 /90	178.2 /90	21 /90	00 /90
P. Neumann	2	93186 min	31.5 /90	83.9 /90	10.5 /90	157.3 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
A. Cochrane	2	68135 min	42.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	96 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Buchanan	1	5151 min	11.8 /90	47.1 /90	00 /90	23.5 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Iwata n 8	77	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0	J. Knight
P. Neumann n 8	90.8	1.2 4/3	0.9 4/2	R. Dickie
C. Klarer n 8	90.8	1 6/1	1 3/2	R. Dickie
J. Solis n 8	67.9	1 5/1	1.7 5/3	J. Knight
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	75.1	0.4 3/0	1.2 5/2	R. Dickie
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	75.1	3.1 7/6
J. Solis n 8	67.9	1.7 7/2
T. Iwata n 8	77	1.6 5/3
P. Neumann n 8	90.8	1.5 8/3
C. Klarer n 8	90.8	1 5/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	2	80159 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Solis	2	93186 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90
T. Iwata	2	93186 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Carlos Vicente	2	91182 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90
J. Stansfield	2	73146 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Solis n 8	67.9	1 6/0	0.7 4/0
T. Iwata n 8	77	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90.8	0.2 2/0	0.2 2/0
C. Klarer n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	75.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Solis n 8	67.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
P. Neumann n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Klarer n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Iwata n 8	77	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Beadle n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Tickle	2	93185 min	62.9 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Dickie	2	93185 min	21 /90	21 /90	62.9 /90	146.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Tanner	2	84168 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lisav Naif Eissat	2	76151 min	42.4 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	106 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
C. Pring	1	9595 min	54.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	1413.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Atkinson	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.5 4/0	1.6 7/3	B. Osayi-Samuel
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0 0/0	1.6 7/3	J. Solis
G. Tanner n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/2	—
A. Randell n 8	71.4	0.8 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
Y. Hirakawa n 8	36.5	0.6 2/0	1.2 4/0	—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Knight n 8	90.6	1 5/3
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.8 5/1
G. Tanner n 8	88.5	2.5 7/4
A. Randell n 8	71.4	0.9 5/1
Y. Hirakawa n 8	36.5	4 4/3
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Tolaj	2	67133 min	00 /90	00 /90	64.1 /90	32 /90	42.7 /90	10.7 /90
E. Riis	2	2652 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Knight	2	93185 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	31.5 /90
Sam Greenwood	2	67133 min	00 /90	00 /90	53.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
D. Ballard	2	51101 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0.2 1/1	0 0/0
G. Tanner n 8	88.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
A. Randell n 8	71.4	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
Y. Hirakawa n 8	36.5	0.9 2/1	0.6 1/1
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Tanner n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Randell n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Hirakawa n 8	36.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Birmingham		Bristol City
65%	Possession	35%
1.98	Expected goals (xG)	1.43
8	Shots	14
2	Shots on target	6
5	Shots off target	6
1	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	12
7	Corners	3
2	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	1
468	Passes	257
76%	Pass accuracy	63%

Birmingham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Beadle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
P. Neumann	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
C. Klarer	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Cochrane	90	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
T. Iwata	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
J. Solis	90	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Stansfield	84	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
A. Priske	79	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Carlos Vicente	62	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Paik Seung-Ho	62	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
B. Osayi-Samuel	45	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6
E. Laird sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
P. Roberts sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
D. Gray sub	28	1	1	1	1	0	0	7.7
M. Ducksch sub	12	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
L. Vázquez sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Bristol City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Tickle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
G. Tanner	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
R. Dickie	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Lisav Naif Eissat	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.5
Rio Cardines	90	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	7.3
J. Knight	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9
Y. Hirakawa	89	0	0	0	0	4	3	0	6.9
J. Williams	71	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Twine	71	1	0	3	2	0	2	0	7.9
J. Wallace	65	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.7
L. Tolaj	65	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
T. Horvat sub	25	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
D. Ballard sub	25	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.3
G. Yah sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Sam Greenwood sub	19	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
R. Atkinson sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BirminghamWWDWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Bristol CityDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Birmingham 3 · 1 draw · Bristol City 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-04-25 Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City
2025-10-25 Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham
2023-12-29 Birmingham 0–0 Bristol City
2023-08-19 Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham
2023-01-14 Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham
2022-10-08 Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City

League standing · 2026/27

Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD

Bristol City#15 pos18 pts14 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Birmingham scored1.86

Bristol City scored1.14

Birmingham conceded0.93

Bristol City conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Bristol City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Bristol City was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Bristol City?: In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Bristol City won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Bristol City?: Recent form — Birmingham 3W 2D 0L; Bristol City 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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