Birmingham v Watford prediction

Championship · Tue, 08 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Watford · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Watford, Championship on Tue, 08 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Birmingham host Watford in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Birmingham have conceded 14 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). 12 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Birmingham have four wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.56. Birmingham have scored 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

Six of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Watford have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.00. Watford have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham have won their last three matches in all competitions. Birmingham (first) and Watford (20th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 377 rating points above Watford (Birmingham 1706, Watford 1329, after at least 245 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 January 2026, finished Watford 3–0 Birmingham.

Team news

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): R. Allsop, P. Neumann, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, E. Laird, T. Iwata, J. Solis, L. Millar, J. Stansfield, P. Roberts, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Ryan Allsop (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1292 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ryan Allsop averages 2.6 saves per 90 over 315 minutes.

Predicted Watford XI (5-3-2): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, B. Mlačić, O. Traoré, M. Bola, E. Kayembe, H. Kyprianou, I. Bravo, M. Boadu, M. Doumbia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.3 per match over 16 appearances, one goal) and Iker Bravo (3.2 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1681 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Iker Bravo averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1177 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 08 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship
Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 1 · draws 1 · Watford 4 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Birmingham 4W 0D 1L · Watford 2W 1D 2L

Birmingham v Watford (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 0.75

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4

Corners

against 3.75 / 6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.75

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Birmingham for / against	Line	Watford for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.5 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	14	871221 min	362.7 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Allsop	4	79315 min	92.6 /90	61.7 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
R. Allsop n 8	84.4	2.5 6/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Klarer	17	901536 min	251.5 /90	281.6 /90	110.6 /90	1508.8 /90	231.3 /90	30.2 /90
P. Neumann	17	861461 min	251.5 /90	301.8 /90	140.9 /90	1016.2 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
A. Cochrane	17	801362 min	231.5 /90	80.5 /90	60.4 /90	563.7 /90	151 /90	40.3 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	16	761212 min	302.2 /90	80.6 /90	20.1 /90	755.6 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90
E. Laird	7	49342 min	61.6 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	236.1 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1 4/1	—
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.9 7/0	—
J. Stansfield n 8	87	2.2 6/5	0.3 2/0	—
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.3 6/3	—
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	1.1 7/2	0 0/0	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.9 7/4
P. Neumann n 8	90	1.8 6/6
J. Stansfield n 8	87	1.4 5/2
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.9 5/2
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	1 5/1
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	13	76982 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Gray	13	28367 min	41 /90	00 /90	92.2 /90	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	92.2 /90
L. Vázquez	5	47237 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ducksch	4	2286 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.1 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90
J. Stansfield	17	811376 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	332.2 /90	201.3 /90	130.9 /90	90.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.1 1/0
J. Stansfield n 8	87	2.5 6/4	1.6 6/3
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	87	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Ravaglia	16	911452 min	553.4 /90	201.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Bachmann	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90	00 /90

Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	3.8 7/7

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Pollock	16	911452 min	191.2 /90	211.3 /90	201.2 /90	704.3 /90	191.2 /90	30.2 /90
K. Keben	16	881407 min	211.3 /90	140.9 /90	140.9 /90	503.2 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
J. Zemura	13	58754 min	161.9 /90	151.8 /90	20.2 /90	475.6 /90	121.4 /90	30.4 /90
O. Traoré	12	67798 min	111.2 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	232.6 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
M. Bola	8	54433 min	102.1 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	316.4 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Pollock n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.5 3/1	—
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
K. Keben n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 3/1	—
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1 6/2	1.6 7/5	—
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.6 4/1	—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0.9 6/1
K. Keben n 8	90	1.1 6/2
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1.8 6/6
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.8 7/5
Iker Bravo n 8	73.1	0.9 4/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Doumbia	15	56844 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	181.9 /90	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	50.5 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard	10	60598 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.8 /90	40.6 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
Rocco Vata	9	33295 min	00 /90	00 /90	113.4 /90	51.5 /90	72.1 /90	41.2 /90
M. Boadu	7	54379 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
S. Mavididi	7	42297 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	51.5 /90	82.4 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.6 7/4	0.3 1/1
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BirminghamWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

WatfordWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Birmingham 1 · 1 draw · Watford 4 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-01-01 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
2025-12-01 Birmingham 2–1 Watford
2024-03-16 Birmingham 0–1 Watford
2023-09-16 Watford 2–0 Birmingham
2023-03-14 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
2022-08-16 Birmingham 1–1 Watford

League standing · 2026/27

Birmingham#1 pos29 pts15 pl+14 GD

Watford#20 pos15 pts15 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Birmingham scored1.87

Watford scored0.87

Birmingham conceded0.93

Watford conceded1.53

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Watford?: In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 1, Watford won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Watford?: Recent form — Birmingham 4W 0D 1L; Watford 2W 1D 2L.

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