Blackburn v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough

Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Ewood Park

Updated 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Blackburn · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough — Blackburn won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackburn beat Middlesbrough 2–1 at Ewood Park in the Championship on Saturday 22 August. It is Blackburn’s first win over Middlesbrough since 11 January 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Blackburn came from behind: Middlesbrough led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: J. Sarmiento (12’, assisted by Morgan Whittaker); Blackburn: Andri Guðjohnsen (49’, assisted by Harry Pickering) and Todd Cantwell (55’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Todd Cantwell’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Blackburn 22 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.43 xG to 0.91 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

Tom Reeves, England showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Oladapo Afolayan (24’), Sean McLoughlin (45+2’), Sam Morsy (58’) and Todd Cantwell (76’); Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (90’).

What it changes

Blackburn move down from first to second (two league matches played).

Middlesbrough move down from second to 10th (two league matches played).

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) 8.1, Todd Cantwell (Blackburn) 7.7 and Andri Guðjohnsen (Blackburn) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Blackburn.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Middlesbrough, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Blackburn next travel to Burnley on 21 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackburn: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough · Championship
Venue: Ewood Park · Blackburn
Referee: Tom Reeves, England
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Blackburn 2 · draws 3 · Middlesbrough 1 · 0.67 goals/game
Recent form: Blackburn 2W 2D 1L · Middlesbrough 2W 1D 2L

Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 6.29

Corners

against 5 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.5 / 4.71

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.63 / 0.57

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Tom Reeves, England

21.38 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Blackburn for / against	Line	Middlesbrough for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.29 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.71 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	7.71 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.57 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Tom Reeves, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Tóth	2	90180 min	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 8	90	3.2 5/5

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Pickering	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	73.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
R. Alebiosu	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
S. McLoughlin	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	115.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Tom Atcheson	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	115.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Morishita	2	85169 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	63.2 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Pickering n 8	63.4	1.1 6/0	0.5 3/0	C. Brittain
Tom Atcheson n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0	A. Malanda
R. Alebiosu n 8	82	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0	A. Malanda
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.5 4/0	1 4/2	L. Ayling
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Tom Atcheson n 8	90	1.6 6/5
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	1.4 6/5
R. Alebiosu n 8	82	1.2 4/3
H. Pickering n 8	63.4	1.1 4/1
R. Morishita n 8	82.5	0.8 4/1
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Guðjohnsen	2	54107 min	21.7 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	21.7 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Y. Ohashi	2	4284 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
J. Fevrier	2	2550 min	11.8 /90	00 /90	23.6 /90	23.6 /90	23.6 /90	11.8 /90
R. Morishita	2	85169 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	21.1 /90	42.1 /90	31.6 /90
T. Cantwell	2	79158 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	42.3 /90	21.1 /90	84.6 /90	21.1 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Atcheson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
R. Alebiosu n 8	82	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
H. Pickering n 8	63.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Alebiosu n 8	82	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tom Atcheson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Pickering n 8	63.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Vítek	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
S. Brynn	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 8	90	1.9 4/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Malanda	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	115.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
C. Brittain	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	84 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
L. Ayling	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	94.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Neto Borges	2	77153 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	52.9 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Maximilian Arfsten	2	4794 min	98.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	1817.2 /90	32.9 /90	00 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Malanda n 8	86.8	0.8 2/2	0.8 4/2	R. Alebiosu
C. Brittain n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.4 2/1	H. Pickering
L. Ayling n 8	89.6	0.6 4/1	1.9 7/3	S. McLoughlin
M. Whittaker n 8	74.9	0.8 2/2	1.4 6/3	—
Leo Castledine n 8	46.5	1.7 6/1	2.2 4/2	—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Ayling n 8	89.6	2.4 8/6
C. Brittain n 8	90	1.1 6/3
A. Malanda n 8	86.8	0.6 4/1
M. Whittaker n 8	74.9	1.2 4/2
Neto Borges n 8	76.6	1.6 7/2
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Lankshear	2	85170 min	31.6 /90	00 /90	105.3 /90	52.6 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
K. Joseph	2	4794 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
J. Sarmiento	2	4386 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33.1 /90
Sebastian Berhalter	2	90180 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63 /90	00 /90
M. Whittaker	2	89178 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ayling n 8	89.6	1.1 6/3	0.3 2/0
A. Malanda n 8	86.8	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
C. Brittain n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Whittaker n 8	74.9	2.7 8/7	1.1 5/2
Leo Castledine n 8	46.5	2.9 5/4	1.7 5/2
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ayling n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Malanda n 8	86.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Whittaker n 8	74.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Leo Castledine n 8	46.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Blackburn		Middlesbrough
29%	Possession	71%
0.91	Expected goals (xG)	1.43
6	Shots	22
5	Shots on target	3
1	Shots off target	7
1	Blocked shots	12
5	Shots inside the box	13
2	Corners	10
3	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	10
4	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
272	Passes	647
74%	Pass accuracy	90%

Blackburn Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Tóth	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
R. Alebiosu	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Tom Atcheson	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. McLoughlin	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
H. Pickering	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
Kristi Montgomery	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
T. Cantwell	80	1	0	1	1	0	6	Y	7.7
Sam Morsy	69	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
A. Guðjohnsen	69	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.9
R. Morishita	61	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
O. Afolayan	61	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
J. Fevrier sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Jørgensen sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Forshaw sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Y. Ohashi sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Carter sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Middlesbrough Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Vítek	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Brittain	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.5
L. Ayling	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	8
A. Malanda	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Morris	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.3
M. Whittaker	90	0	1	1	1	6	3	0	7.6
W. Lankshear	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	6.2
Maximilian Arfsten	77	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Sebastian Berhalter	77	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
M. Peart-Harris	60	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
J. Sarmiento	60	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	7.6
R. McGree sub	30	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Joseph sub	30	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
Neto Borges sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Leo Castledine sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackburn v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BlackburnDWLWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

MiddlesbroughDLLWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Blackburn 2 · 3 draws · Middlesbrough 1 · 0.67 goals/game

2026-03-21 Blackburn 0–0 Middlesbrough
2025-12-26 Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn
2025-04-04 Blackburn 0–2 Middlesbrough
2025-01-11 Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn
2024-11-27 Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn
2024-03-16 Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn

League standing · 2026/27

Blackburn#13 pos21 pts15 pl-1 GD

Middlesbrough#2 pos29 pts15 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Blackburn scored1.47

Middlesbrough scored2

Blackburn conceded1.53

Middlesbrough conceded1.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackburn v Middlesbrough?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v Middlesbrough was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Middlesbrough?: In their last 6 meetings, Blackburn won 2, Middlesbrough won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 0.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and Middlesbrough?: Recent form — Blackburn 2W 2D 1L; Middlesbrough 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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