Burnley v Preston prediction

Championship · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Turf Moor

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burnley · Preston · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Preston, Championship on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Burnley host Preston in the Championship on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Preston have conceded 30 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Burnley are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Preston are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Burnley have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Preston have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.43. Preston have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Burnley (22nd) and Preston (24th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burnley the stronger side, 172 rating points above Preston (Burnley 1385, Preston 1213, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Preston are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Burnley. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2025, finished Preston 3–0 Burnley.

Team news

Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, Igor, L. Pires, K. Walker, H. Ekdal, J. Laurent, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, M. Alleyne, M. Edwards, J. Vardy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four assists) and Largie Ramazani (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 802 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Largie Ramazani averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 819 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Preston XI (3-4-2-1): D. Iversen, A. Hughes, J. Storey, O. Offiah, L. Leroy, J. Thompson, A. Vukčević, S. Mills, A. Moran, B. Potts, C. Lang — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Léo Leroy (3.3 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Andrew Hughes (3.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Preston’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Preston (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Léo Leroy averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1310 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Andrew Hughes averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 907 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · Turf Moor
Head-to-head (last 5): Burnley 1 · draws 3 · Preston 1 · 1.6 goals/game
Recent form: Burnley 0W 3D 2L · Preston 0W 1D 4L

Burnley v Preston (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.63 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.5

Corners

against 5 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 1.88

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Burnley for / against	Line	Preston for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	1.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.63 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Coudert	7	90630 min	233.3 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
M. Weiß	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	162.3 /90	00 /90

Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 7	90	3.3 6/5
M. Weiß n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Walker	12	861035 min	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	90.8 /90	453.9 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
Igor	9	88788 min	111.3 /90	101.1 /90	80.9 /90	293.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Pires	9	76686 min	273.5 /90	162.1 /90	10.1 /90	537 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
Connor Roberts	7	77540 min	71.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	162.7 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
O. Sonne	7	74518 min	71.2 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90	152.6 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0	—
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1	0.7 3/2	—
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	1.5 5/3	1.2 5/2	—
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	0.3 1/0	1.2 4/0	—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.8 7/5
K. Walker n 8	84.4	2.3 7/4
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	1.2 6/2
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	1.6 7/4
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	1.2 2/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni	9	55497 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	162.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90
J. Vardy	7	50351 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Broja	4	38150 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
Z. Flemming	2	84168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	126.4 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Banel	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	1 5/3	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	2.1 6/4	0.7 4/1
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	2.9 4/3	1.2 3/1
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Preston

Preston Goalkeeper

Preston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Iversen	14	901260 min	433.1 /90	221.6 /90	00 /90
L. Nicholls	1	9090 min	66 /90	44 /90	00 /90

Preston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Iversen n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Preston Defensive

Preston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Storey	13	871125 min	121 /90	362.9 /90	70.6 /90	796.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
A. Vukčević	12	71847 min	171.8 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	333.5 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
O. Offiah	11	76837 min	262.8 /90	161.7 /90	20.2 /90	576.1 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
A. Hughes	9	89799 min	192.1 /90	151.7 /90	10.1 /90	586.5 /90	111.2 /90	30.3 /90
H. Clarke	9	78705 min	91.1 /90	131.7 /90	50.6 /90	405.1 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90
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Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.1 4/3	0.9 4/2	—
C. Lang n 8	61	1.5 4/3	0.9 4/1	—
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Devine n 8	70.4	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	1.3 3/1	1.6 4/1	—
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.8 7/3
C. Lang n 8	61	1.1 5/1
A. Devine n 8	70.4	2.4 6/6
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	0.6 2/0
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	1.1 7/2
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Lang	15	59885 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	191.9 /90	90.9 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90
J. Erabi	14	40555 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90
D. Burgzorg	13	61789 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	40.5 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Kenny	7	65453 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	183.6 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
M. Osmajić	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90
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Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lang n 8	61	1.5 4/2	0.4 2/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Devine n 8	70.4	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	1.6 4/1	0.3 1/0
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lang n 8	61	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Devine n 8	70.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burnley v Preston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BurnleyDLLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

PrestonLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Burnley 1 · 3 draws · Preston 1 · 1.6 goals/game

2025-03-01 Preston 3–0 Burnley
2025-02-15 Preston 0–0 Burnley
2024-10-05 Burnley 0–0 Preston
2023-02-11 Burnley 3–0 Preston
2022-09-13 Preston 1–1 Burnley

League standing · 2026/27

Burnley#22 pos10 pts14 pl-8 GD

Preston#24 pos5 pts14 pl-18 GD

Goals per game

Burnley scored1.29

Preston scored0.86

Burnley conceded1.86

Preston conceded2.14

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Preston?: In their last 5 meetings, Burnley won 1, Preston won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Preston?: Recent form — Burnley 0W 3D 2L; Preston 0W 1D 4L.

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