This Matchweek

CardiffSheffield Utd

Cardiff v Sheffield Utd result

Full-time · Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield Utd

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield Utd — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff and Sheffield Utd drew 2–2 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Cardiff have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Jack Moylan (2’, assisted by Cian Ashford) and Cian Ashford (38’); Sheffield Utd: Thomas Cannon (4’ pen) and C. O'Hare (7’, assisted by Patrick Bamford).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cian Ashford’s goal on 38 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cardiff out-shot Sheffield Utd 28 to 6 and created the better chances, 2.24 xG to 1.28 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

John Busby, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: Alexander Robertson (4’) and Jack Moylan (33’); Sheffield Utd: Mark McGuinness (10’) and Sydie Peck (75’).

What it changes

Cardiff move down from 11th to 14th (three league matches played).

Sheffield Utd stay 15th after this result (three league matches played).

Cardiff are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Sheffield Utd are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cian Ashford (Cardiff) 9.4, Thomas Cannon (Sheffield Utd) 8.6 and C. O'Hare (Sheffield Utd) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.

Sheffield Utd next travel to Charlton on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Sheffield Utd: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield Utd · Championship
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Cardiff
  • Referee: John Busby, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · Sheffield Utd 5 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 1W 2D 2L · Sheffield Utd 3W 2D 0L

Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield Utd (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · John Busby, England
21.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineSheffield Utd for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: John Busby, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.5 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott490360 min123 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.25/4

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan490360 min82 /9010.3 /9051.3 /90153.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
P. Ng490360 min61.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90194.8 /9041 /9010.3 /90
R. Kpakio390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90175.7 /9062 /9000 /90
G. Osho290180 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /90
C. Scanlon285170 min10.5 /9031.6 /9000 /9073.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ng n 890
1.36/3
1.15/3
M. McGuinness
Joel Bagan n 878.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
M. McGuinness
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Robertson n 868.4
0.74/0
26/5
C. O'Hare
Y. Salech n 867.3
1.35/2
0.21/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.1
2.38/6
P. Ng n 890
1.88/4
A. Robertson n 868.4
27/3
Y. Salech n 867.3
0.53/0
Cian Ashford n 876.4
15/2
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech473293 min41.2 /9010.3 /9092.8 /9072.2 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
C. Robinson16868 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9011.3 /90
A. Robertson488350 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9000 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90
Cian Ashford463251 min10.4 /9010.4 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9031.1 /9051.8 /90
C. Willock454215 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9052.1 /9052.1 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 878.1
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 868.4
0.84/1
0.52/1
Y. Salech n 867.3
2.57/4
1.76/2
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 878.1
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 868.4
00/0
00/0
Y. Salech n 867.3
15/1
0.21/0
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Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd Goalkeeper

Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cooper390270 min51.7 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Davies19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /90
Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cooper n 890
35/3
A. Davies n 890
2.57/4

Sheffield Utd Defensive

Sheffield Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. McGuinness490360 min61.5 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90235.8 /9041 /9000 /90
F. Seriki472287 min82.5 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90185.6 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
J. Tanganga390270 min00 /9062 /9020.7 /90248 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
S. McCallum361182 min31.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90209.9 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Norrington-Davies260120 min32.3 /9010.8 /9000 /9075.3 /9021.5 /9000 /90
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Sheffield Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. McGuinness n 884.4
0.84/2
0.74/1
Joel Bagan
C. O'Hare n 876.9
0.73/1
2.88/4
A. Robertson
F. Seriki n 869.3
1.35/2
2.38/5
—
J. Rothwell n 860.6
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
O. Arblaster n 847.9
00/0
1.25/0
—
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Sheffield Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. McGuinness n 884.4
1.35/4
C. O'Hare n 876.9
1.97/4
F. Seriki n 869.3
2.47/5
J. Rothwell n 860.6
1.16/0
O. Arblaster n 847.9
1.65/1
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Sheffield Utd Attacking

Sheffield Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Cannon380240 min10.4 /9000 /9051.9 /9020.8 /9051.9 /9000 /90
P. Bamford375225 min10.4 /9000 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9000 /90
T. Campbell260120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /90
R. Oné12020 min00 /9014.5 /9014.5 /9000 /9029 /9000 /90
C. O'Hare475301 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9041.2 /90
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Sheffield Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. McGuinness n 884.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
C. O'Hare n 876.9
0.95/1
0.32/0
F. Seriki n 869.3
00/0
00/0
J. Rothwell n 860.6
0.92/2
00/0
O. Arblaster n 847.9
00/0
00/0
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Sheffield Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. McGuinness n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
C. O'Hare n 876.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Seriki n 869.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Rothwell n 860.6
00/0
0.21/0
O. Arblaster n 847.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffSheffield Utd
67%Possession33%
2.24Expected goals (xG)1.28
28Shots6
10Shots on target4
9Shots off target1
9Blocked shots1
21Shots inside the box4
13Corners2
2Offsides1
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves8
511Passes262
85%Pass accuracy68%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.3
A. Robertson90001013Y6.9
G. Osho9000002207.3
P. Ng9000200107.2
R. Colwill9000110006.3
Joel Bagan9000114208.3
K. Bielik8900220206.6
Cian Ashford8511224107.7
Y. Salech8500402006.3
J. Moylan85104221Y7.2
O. Tanner7200223006.9
C. Willock sub1800002007
C. Robinson sub900000006.3
I. Davies sub900000006.3
J. Colwill sub900001006.7
C. Scanlon sub10000000–

Sheffield Utd Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Tanganga9000000007.2
Sydie Peck90001010Y5.9
C. O'Hare9010110107.9
M. McGuinness90000000Y6.9
S. McCallum9000001107.2
M. Cooper9000000007.3
T. Cannon8410220007.3
J. Rothwell6500000106.2
J. Baptiste5800000306.7
R. Donovan4500000106.3
P. Bamford4501001006.3
K. Phillips sub4500000107.2
J. Shackleton sub4500000006.7
R. Norrington-Davies sub3200000006.6
J. Riedewald sub2500110006.6
B. Brereton sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Sheffield Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Sheffield UtdWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cardiff 1 · 0 draws · Sheffield Utd 5 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-04-18 Sheffield Utd 2–0 Cardiff
  • 2025-01-09 Sheffield Utd 0–1 Cardiff
  • 2024-12-21 Cardiff 0–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 2023-04-15 Sheffield Utd 4–1 Cardiff
  • 2022-11-12 Cardiff 0–1 Sheffield Utd
  • 2022-04-23 Sheffield Utd 1–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD
Sheffield Utd#9 pos22 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.57
Sheffield Utd scored1.43
Cardiff conceded1.64
Sheffield Utd conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Sheffield Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Sheffield Utd was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Sheffield Utd?
In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Sheffield Utd won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Sheffield Utd?
Recent form — Cardiff 1W 2D 2L; Sheffield Utd 3W 2D 0L.

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