Cardiff v Southampton prediction
Team pages: Cardiff · Southampton · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Southampton, Championship on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Cardiff host Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).
Form and the table
11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Cardiff have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.75. Cardiff have scored 27 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Cardiff have conceded 27 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Southampton have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Southampton have conceded 15 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Cardiff (14th) and Southampton (seventh) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 240 rating points above Cardiff (Southampton 1719, Cardiff 1479, after at least 112 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2024, finished Cardiff 3–5 Southampton.
Team news
Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, J. Bagan, P. Ng, W. Fish, C. Scanlon, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, C. Willock, C. Ashford, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.5 per match over 17 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and Alexander Robertson (4.0 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1718 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Alexander Robertson averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1500 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, J. Stephens, J. Bree, K. Schlotterbeck, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (3.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Leo Scienza (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1564 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Scienza averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1108 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Cardiff City Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 5): Cardiff 3 · draws 0 · Southampton 2 · 3.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 2W 2D 1L · Southampton 2W 2D 1L
Cardiff v Southampton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Southampton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cardiff
Cardiff Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 17 | 901530 min | 593.5 /90 | 211.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan | 17 | 891509 min | 382.3 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 734.4 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| P. Ng | 16 | 891422 min | 301.9 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 905.7 /90 | 191.2 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| G. Osho | 11 | 89975 min | 111 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 363.3 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Scanlon | 9 | 53473 min | 40.8 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 254.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Bielik | 8 | 82654 min | 71 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 496.7 /90 | 71 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 87.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | — |
| C. Willock n 8 | 57.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.5 | 2.7 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 87.8 | 1 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86.8 | 1 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 57.4 | 1.4 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 87.8 | 2.2 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech | 14 | 791110 min | 80.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 352.8 /90 | 231.9 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| I. Davies | 4 | 41163 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Robinson | 3 | 51154 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| A. Robertson | 17 | 881500 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 281.7 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| J. Moylan | 17 | 781331 min | 110.7 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 402.7 /90 | 221.5 /90 | 191.3 /90 | 171.1 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 87.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 57.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 87.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 57.4 | 0 | 0.2 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Southampton
Southampton Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | 17 | 901536 min | 573.3 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Southampton Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bree | 17 | 871474 min | 171 /90 | 171 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 452.7 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Ryan Manning | 15 | 771161 min | 70.5 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 362.8 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| J. Stephens | 12 | 911086 min | 90.7 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 151.2 /90 | 292.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Schlotterbeck | 12 | 901077 min | 141.2 /90 | 161.3 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 635.3 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Nathan Wood | 7 | 90630 min | 111.6 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 365.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| James Bree n 8 | 82.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Finn Azaz n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 1.6 | — |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 72.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | — |
| Ryan Manning n 8 | 65.9 | 0.9 | 1 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| James Bree n 8 | 82.3 | 0.8 |
| Finn Azaz n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 72.6 | 1.1 |
| Ryan Manning n 8 | 65.9 | 0.7 |
| Leo Scienza n 8 | 73.8 | 0.9 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Southampton Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 12 | 64765 min | 80.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 313.6 /90 | 151.8 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 70.8 /90 |
| L. Dobbin | 9 | 69617 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 60.9 /90 |
| D. Mubama | 6 | 42250 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 72.5 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
| B. Brereton | 1 | 6262 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.5 /90 |
| Cameron Archer | 1 | 2121 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 14.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| James Bree n 8 | 82.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Finn Azaz n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 72.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Ryan Manning n 8 | 65.9 | 1 | 0.2 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| James Bree n 8 | 82.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Finn Azaz n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 72.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Ryan Manning n 8 | 65.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-08-28 Cardiff 3–5 Southampton
- 2024-04-20 Cardiff 2–1 Southampton
- 2023-12-02 Southampton 2–0 Cardiff
- 2019-02-09 Southampton 1–2 Cardiff
- 2018-12-08 Cardiff 1–0 Southampton
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Southampton?
- In their last 5 meetings, Cardiff won 3, Southampton won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Southampton?
- Recent form — Cardiff 2W 2D 1L; Southampton 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.