CardiffSouthampton

Cardiff v Southampton prediction

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Southampton, Championship on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cardiff host Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Cardiff have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.75. Cardiff have scored 27 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Cardiff have conceded 27 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Southampton have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Southampton have conceded 15 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff (14th) and Southampton (seventh) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 240 rating points above Cardiff (Southampton 1719, Cardiff 1479, after at least 112 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2024, finished Cardiff 3–5 Southampton.

Team news

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, J. Bagan, P. Ng, W. Fish, C. Scanlon, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, C. Willock, C. Ashford, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.5 per match over 17 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and Alexander Robertson (4.0 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1718 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Alexander Robertson averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1500 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, J. Stephens, J. Bree, K. Schlotterbeck, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (3.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Leo Scienza (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1564 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Scienza averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1108 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Cardiff City Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Cardiff 3 · draws 0 · Southampton 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 2W 2D 1L · Southampton 2W 2D 1L

Cardiff v Southampton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.25
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott17901530 min593.5 /90211.2 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
4.17/5

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan17891509 min382.3 /90120.7 /90110.7 /90734.4 /90150.9 /9050.3 /90
P. Ng16891422 min301.9 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90905.7 /90191.2 /9050.3 /90
G. Osho1189975 min111 /9070.6 /90151.4 /90363.3 /9050.5 /9000 /90
C. Scanlon953473 min40.8 /9081.5 /9000 /90254.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
K. Bielik882654 min71 /90101.4 /9040.6 /90496.7 /9071 /9020.3 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Joel Bagan n 887.5
1.56/5
0.64/1
—
A. Robertson n 887.8
0.32/0
1.87/5
—
J. Moylan n 886.8
0.84/1
1.97/5
—
C. Willock n 857.4
0.42/0
0.84/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 887.5
2.77/6
A. Robertson n 887.8
14/2
J. Moylan n 886.8
14/2
C. Willock n 857.4
1.44/2
P. Ng n 887.8
2.28/4
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech14791110 min80.6 /9020.2 /90352.8 /90231.9 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90
I. Davies441163 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Robinson351154 min10.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
A. Robertson17881500 min10.1 /9010.1 /90120.7 /9060.4 /90281.7 /9070.4 /90
J. Moylan17781331 min110.7 /9030.2 /90402.7 /90221.5 /90191.3 /90171.1 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Robertson n 887.8
0.83/1
0.42/1
J. Moylan n 886.8
3.17/5
1.96/5
C. Willock n 857.4
0.63/0
0.63/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 887.5
00/0
0.11/0
A. Robertson n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Moylan n 886.8
1.25/3
0.43/0
C. Willock n 857.4
00/0
0.21/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz17901536 min573.3 /90160.9 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.87/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
James Bree17871474 min171 /90171 /9090.5 /90452.7 /9090.5 /9020.1 /90
Ryan Manning15771161 min70.5 /90141.1 /9030.2 /90362.8 /90110.9 /9040.3 /90
J. Stephens12911086 min90.7 /90110.9 /90151.2 /90292.4 /9010.1 /9000 /90
K. Schlotterbeck12901077 min141.2 /90161.3 /90151.3 /90635.3 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
Nathan Wood790630 min111.6 /9050.7 /9060.9 /90365.1 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
James Bree n 882.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
Finn Azaz n 890
0.85/1
1.67/3
—
K. Matsuki n 872.6
1.46/2
1.76/3
—
Ryan Manning n 865.9
0.94/1
13/2
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Bree n 882.3
0.84/2
Finn Azaz n 890
0.85/1
K. Matsuki n 872.6
1.12/2
Ryan Manning n 865.9
0.73/1
Leo Scienza n 873.8
0.95/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cyle Larin1264765 min80.9 /9000 /90313.6 /90151.8 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90
L. Dobbin969617 min10.1 /9000 /90111.6 /9040.6 /9030.4 /9060.9 /90
D. Mubama642250 min00 /9000 /9072.5 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
B. Brereton16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Cameron Archer12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 882.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
Finn Azaz n 890
1.86/5
0.85/1
K. Matsuki n 872.6
2.27/4
0.84/1
Ryan Manning n 865.9
14/2
0.21/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 882.3
0.32/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Matsuki n 872.6
0.53/0
00/0
Ryan Manning n 865.9
00/0
0.31/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDWLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SouthamptonDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Cardiff 3 · 0 draws · Southampton 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • 2024-08-28 Cardiff 3–5 Southampton
  • 2024-04-20 Cardiff 2–1 Southampton
  • 2023-12-02 Southampton 2–0 Cardiff
  • 2019-02-09 Southampton 1–2 Cardiff
  • 2018-12-08 Cardiff 1–0 Southampton
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff#14 pos18 pts15 pl0 GD
Southampton#7 pos24 pts15 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.8
Southampton scored1.93
Cardiff conceded1.8
Southampton conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Southampton?
In their last 5 meetings, Cardiff won 3, Southampton won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Southampton?
Recent form — Cardiff 2W 2D 1L; Southampton 2W 2D 1L.

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