CardiffWrexham

Cardiff v Wrexham result

Full-time · Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff and Wrexham drew 1–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Monday 17 August. Cardiff have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wrexham led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (3’, assisted by Daniel Edward Peter Imray); Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rubin Colwill’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wrexham out-shot Cardiff 18 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.43 xG to 0.90 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Andrew Kitchen, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (90+9’); Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (33’) and Dominic Hyam (54’).

What it changes

Cardiff are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Wrexham are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Wrexham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 6.6, Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 5.3 and Daniel Edward Peter Imray (Wrexham) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham · Championship
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Cardiff
  • Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · Wrexham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 4W 0D 1L · Wrexham 2W 1D 2L

Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
7.88 / 4
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.38 yellows
Referee · Andrew Kitchen, England
20.62 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineWrexham for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
19.25 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.62 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott19090 min–22 /9000 /90

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Osho19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Joel Bagan19090 min33 /9000 /9022 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Ng19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
R. Kpakio19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9088 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Robertson19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Salech n 860.1
1.55/2
0.42/0
—
P. Ng n 890
1.47/3
0.95/1
G. Thomason
A. Robertson n 858.6
14/1
2.16/4
L. O'Brien
R. Kpakio n 868.3
0.84/1
1.35/1
—
Joel Bagan n 878.1
0.74/1
0.32/0
D. Hyam
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kpakio n 868.3
2.36/4
Joel Bagan n 878.1
2.28/5
P. Ng n 890
28/5
A. Robertson n 858.6
1.55/1
Cian Ashford n 875.3
1.36/3
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech19090 min22 /9011 /9033 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Robertson19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9022 /90
Cian Ashford19090 min00 /9011 /9033 /9000 /9033 /9011 /90
O. Tanner17272 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
D. Turnbull15858 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023.1 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cian Ashford n 875.3
2.28/4
0.74/1
Y. Salech n 860.1
2.17/2
1.35/1
A. Robertson n 858.6
1.55/2
14/1
P. Ng n 890
1.16/3
0.43/0
R. Kpakio n 868.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Salech n 860.1
0.73/1
0.21/0
Cian Ashford n 875.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Robertson n 858.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Kpakio n 868.3
0.21/0
00/0
P. Ng n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Doyle19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9011 /90
D. Hyam19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9011 /90
Z. Vyner19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Thomason19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
L. O'Brien19090 min44 /9000 /9022 /9066 /9033 /9011 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hyam n 890
1.47/3
0.95/2
Joel Bagan
C. Doyle n 890
1.47/3
1.13/3
—
G. Thomason n 890
15/3
0.54/0
P. Ng
L. O'Brien n 864.6
13/2
2.17/4
A. Robertson
Z. Vyner n 678.7
0.42/0
00/0
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
2.47/4
G. Thomason n 890
2.37/5
C. Doyle n 890
1.86/5
Z. Vyner n 678.7
1.74/4
D. Hyam n 890
1.17/2
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Broadhead17676 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9011.2 /9033.6 /90
S. Smith17272 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Cadamarteri11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /90
G. Thomason19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
O. Rathbone17272 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Thomason n 890
0.64/1
0.31/1
C. Doyle n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
D. Hyam n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
Z. Vyner n 678.7
0.42/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
00/0
0.31/1
G. Thomason n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Doyle n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Ward n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffWrexham
67%Possession33%
0.90Expected goals (xG)1.43
11Shots18
3Shots on target8
6Shots off target8
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box12
9Corners9
3Offsides1
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves2
541Passes261
89%Pass accuracy79%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000008.3
P. Ng9000001107.2
G. Osho9000100107.2
Joel Bagan9000002207.5
J. Moylan9000310106.7
Y. Salech9000001106.7
C. Scanlon8000002106.6
A. Robertson8000000207.2
Cian Ashford8000110107.3
C. Willock6300000106.9
O. Tanner6200001306.9
R. Colwill sub28101100Y7.9
J. Colwill sub2700000007.2
R. Kpakio sub1000100006.5
C. Robinson sub1000100006.9
I. Davies sub1000100006.5

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000007.6
Z. Vyner9000001006.9
D. Hyam90000002Y6.7
C. Doyle9000433307.7
L. O'Brien9000002207.3
G. Thomason9000001307
Daniel Edward Peter Imray7501101006.9
M. James7500101106.6
K. Moore72103210Y7.3
N. Broadhead7200311106.6
O. Rathbone6700002406.2
B. Whiteman sub2300100006.7
S. Smith sub1800320006.7
D. Keillor-Dunn sub1800001106.9
R. Longman sub1500000206.3
G. Dobson sub1500000206.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
WrexhamWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Cardiff 1 · 0 draws · Wrexham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-28 Wrexham 1–2 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff#14 pos18 pts15 pl0 GD
Wrexham#15 pos18 pts15 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.8
Wrexham scored1.2
Cardiff conceded1.8
Wrexham conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Wrexham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Wrexham was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Wrexham?
In their last 1 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Wrexham won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Wrexham?
Recent form — Cardiff 4W 0D 1L; Wrexham 2W 1D 2L.

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