Cardiff v Wrexham result
The model’s pre-match pick
Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Cardiff and Wrexham drew 1–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Monday 17 August. Cardiff have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Wrexham led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (3’, assisted by Daniel Edward Peter Imray); Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rubin Colwill’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wrexham out-shot Cardiff 18 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.43 xG to 0.90 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
Andrew Kitchen, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (90+9’); Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (33’) and Dominic Hyam (54’).
What it changes
Cardiff are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Wrexham are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Wrexham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 6.6, Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 5.3 and Daniel Edward Peter Imray (Wrexham) 4.2 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).
Next up
Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.
Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham · Championship
- Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Cardiff
- Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · Wrexham 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 4W 0D 1L · Wrexham 2W 1D 2L
Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Wrexham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.5 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.62 fouls over 13 matches.
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Cardiff
Cardiff Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 1 | 9090 min | – | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Osho | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Joel Bagan | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Ng | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 66 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Kpakio | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 88 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Robertson | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 66 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech n 8 | 60.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.9 | G. Thomason |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 58.6 | 1 | 2.1 | L. O'Brien |
| R. Kpakio n 8 | 68.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 78.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | D. Hyam |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Kpakio n 8 | 68.3 | 2.3 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 78.1 | 2.2 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 58.6 | 1.5 |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 75.3 | 1.3 |
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Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 33 /90 | 33 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Robertson | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 22 /90 |
| Cian Ashford | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 11 /90 |
| O. Tanner | 1 | 7272 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 |
| D. Turnbull | 1 | 5858 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 23.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 75.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 58.6 | 1.5 | 1 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| R. Kpakio n 8 | 68.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech n 8 | 60.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 75.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 58.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| R. Kpakio n 8 | 68.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Wrexham
Wrexham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ward n 8 | 89.9 | 2.5 |
Wrexham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 |
| D. Hyam | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| Z. Vyner | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Thomason | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. O'Brien | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 66 /90 | 33 /90 | 11 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.9 | Joel Bagan |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | P. Ng |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 1 | 2.1 | A. Robertson |
| Z. Vyner n 6 | 78.7 | 0.4 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 2.4 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Z. Vyner n 6 | 78.7 | 1.7 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
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Wrexham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Broadhead | 1 | 7676 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 33.6 /90 |
| S. Smith | 1 | 7272 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.5 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Cadamarteri | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 |
| G. Thomason | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 |
| O. Rathbone | 1 | 7272 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Z. Vyner n 6 | 78.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Ward n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Cardiff | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | Possession | 33% |
| 0.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 12 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 2 |
| 541 | Passes | 261 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Osho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Joel Bagan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Moylan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Scanlon | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Robertson | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Cian Ashford | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Willock | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Tanner | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Colwill sub | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| J. Colwill sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Kpakio sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Robinson sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Davies sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Wrexham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Z. Vyner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Hyam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Doyle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| L. O'Brien | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Thomason | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. James | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Moore | 72 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| N. Broadhead | 72 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| O. Rathbone | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Whiteman sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Smith sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Keillor-Dunn sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Longman sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| G. Dobson sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-28 Wrexham 1–2 Cardiff
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Wrexham?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Wrexham was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Wrexham?
- In their last 1 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Wrexham won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Wrexham?
- Recent form — Cardiff 4W 0D 1L; Wrexham 2W 1D 2L.
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