This Matchweek

DerbyWrexham

Derby v Wrexham result

Full-time · Derby 1–1 Wrexham

Championship · · Pride Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Wrexham

The model’s pre-match pick

Derby 1–1 Wrexham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total offsides under 5.5.

Free pick
Total offsides under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Derby and Wrexham drew 1–1 at Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wrexham out-shot Derby 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.46 xG to 0.60 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Derby led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Derby: Samuel Szmodics (9’, assisted by Mohammed Fuseini); Wrexham: Oliver Rathbone (88’, assisted by Kieffer Moore).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oliver Rathbone’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

Matt Donohue, England showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derby: Sondre Langås (5’), Ryan Hedges (52’) and Alex Mowatt (74’); Wrexham: Oliver Rathbone (71’) and Kieffer Moore (90+1’).

What it changes

Derby stay 22nd after this result (nine league matches played). Derby have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Derby have conceded 29 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Wrexham move down from 14th to 15th (nine league matches played). Wrexham have scored 17 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wrexham have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Samuel Szmodics (Derby) 6.1, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 6.0 and Oliver Rathbone (Wrexham) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total offsides under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Derby next host Bolton on 6 November 2026.

Wrexham next host Wolves on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derby: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Derby 1–1 Wrexham · Championship
  • Venue: Pride Park · Derby
  • Referee: Matt Donohue, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Derby 0 · draws 1 · Wrexham 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Wrexham 2W 2D 1L

Derby 1–1 Wrexham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.13
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Matt Donohue, England
21.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDerby for / againstLineWrexham for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Matt Donohue, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström891725 min303.7 /90151.9 /9000 /90
J. Vickers19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
3.77/5
J. Vickers n 889.5
2.66/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Langås991815 min141.5 /9060.7 /9040.4 /90343.8 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
C. Taylor986774 min161.9 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90354.1 /90101.2 /9010.1 /90
D. Sanderson879635 min71 /9050.7 /9091.3 /90365.1 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
J. Ward675449 min71.4 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90173.4 /9020.4 /9000 /90
M. Johnston540199 min31.4 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Langås n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
D. Hyam
C. Taylor n 888.9
1.35/4
0.85/1
—
B. Clark n 881.1
13/3
1.45/3
—
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
—
D. Sanderson n 879.4
1.16/1
0.63/1
D. Hyam
See more players · Pro
Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Langås n 890
1.56/4
C. Taylor n 888.9
1.66/2
B. Clark n 881.1
1.85/3
D. Sanderson n 879.4
14/2
S. Szmodics n 878.1
1.24/2
See more players · Pro

Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Salvesen634203 min10.4 /9000 /9073.1 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
C. Morris591453 min10.2 /9010.2 /9061.2 /9030.6 /9051 /9010.2 /90
R. Brewster533167 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Fuseini456223 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9052 /90
H. Meister348143 min00 /9000 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Langås n 890
0.32/0
00/0
C. Taylor n 888.9
00/0
00/0
B. Clark n 881.1
1.76/3
0.63/1
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 879.4
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Langås n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Taylor n 888.9
00/0
00/0
B. Clark n 881.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 879.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Patterson890720 min222.8 /90121.5 /9000 /90
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Patterson n 890
2.86/4
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Doyle990810 min141.6 /90171.9 /9080.9 /90515.7 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
D. Hyam983743 min81 /9081 /9030.4 /90344.1 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90
Z. Vyner786600 min101.5 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90223.3 /9050.8 /9000 /90
M. Cleworth370210 min31.3 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90125.1 /9020.9 /9000 /90
J. Worrall16767 min22.7 /9000 /9000 /9034 /9011.3 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Doyle n 890
0.43/0
0.63/2
—
D. Hyam n 881.6
1.24/3
1.15/3
D. Sanderson
B. Whiteman n 881.6
1.45/4
0.32/0
—
K. Moore n 858.8
1.37/0
2.77/5
—
S. Smith n 832.4
1.75/0
2.15/1
—
See more players · Pro
Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
1.56/4
D. Hyam n 881.6
0.85/1
B. Whiteman n 881.6
1.14/3
K. Moore n 858.8
0.83/1
S. Smith n 832.4
0.31/0
See more players · Pro

Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore954488 min30.6 /9000 /90122.2 /9081.5 /9050.9 /9050.9 /90
S. Smith937331 min00 /9000 /9071.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90
J. Windass549245 min00 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
C. O'Hare476303 min00 /9000 /9072.1 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
N. Broadhead474296 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9072.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
15/1
0.63/1
D. Hyam n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
B. Whiteman n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
K. Moore n 858.8
2.36/3
1.56/2
S. Smith n 832.4
1.73/1
0.71/1
See more players · Pro
Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 881.6
00/0
00/0
B. Whiteman n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
K. Moore n 858.8
0.63/0
00/0
S. Smith n 832.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DerbyWrexham
45%Possession55%
0.60Expected goals (xG)1.46
10Shots13
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots5
4Shots inside the box10
1Corners8
1Offsides3
10Fouls6
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
397Passes469
76%Pass accuracy80%

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Ward9000002307.2
R. Hedges90000014Y6.9
S. Langås90000003Y7.3
A. Mowatt90000002Y6.5
D. Ozoh9000000507
D. Sanderson9000000106.2
J. Vickers9000000006.7
B. Clark8400113006.9
C. Morris8400200106.3
M. Fuseini7201212007.5
S. Szmodics7210420107.6
R. Brewster sub1800001006.6
H. Meister sub1800000006.3
O. Fraulo sub1100000006.5
L. Salvesen sub1100000006.5

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Worrall9000000107.2
D. Hyam9000000207.3
K. Moore90012011Y8
C. O'Hare9000213106.5
B. Whiteman9000001107.6
A. Patterson9000000006.5
J. Ekomié8500211006.9
Z. Vyner8500000006.3
I. Kaboré6400100106.3
L. O'Brien6400000406.9
J. Windass1500000006.7
O. Rathbone sub75101113Y7.3
Daniel Edward Peter Imray sub2600001006.9
S. Smith sub2600000005.6
G. Dobson sub1000000006.7
R. Longman sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DerbyWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
WrexhamWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Derby 0 · 1 draw · Wrexham 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-04 Derby 1–2 Wrexham
  • 2025-09-27 Wrexham 1–1 Derby
League standing · 2026/27
Derby#23 pos7 pts14 pl-18 GD
Wrexham#16 pos17 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Derby scored0.79
Wrexham scored1.21
Derby conceded2.07
Wrexham conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Derby v Wrexham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Wrexham was Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Wrexham?
In their last 2 meetings, Derby won 0, Wrexham won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Wrexham?
Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Wrexham 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+