Hull City v Birmingham result

Full-time · Hull City 1–1 Birmingham

Championship · Sat, 18 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hull City · Birmingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hull City 1–1 Birmingham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Hull City and Birmingham drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 18 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hull City out-shot Birmingham 14 to 11 and created the better chances, 0.93 xG to 0.45 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Hull City led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Hull City: Joseph Gelhardt (24’); Birmingham: Tomoki Iwata (77’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tomoki Iwata’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

S. Martin showed eight yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hull City: Patrick McNair (29’), S. Ajayi (55’), Joseph Gelhardt (67’) and Kieran Dowell (85’); Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (55’), Demarai Gray (86’), Phil Neumann (88’) and Marvin Ducksch (90+8’).

What it changes

Hull City move down from fifth to sixth (43 league matches played). Hull City have scored 73 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game). Hull City have conceded 66 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham move up from 15th to 13th (shared) (43 league matches played). Birmingham have scored 57 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Birmingham have conceded 56 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Hull City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham) 9.3, Lewie Coyle (Hull City) 6.2 and Matt Crooks (Hull City) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hull City or Birmingham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Birmingham next host Swansea on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hull City 1–1 Birmingham · Championship
Referee: S. Martin
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hull City 3 · draws 2 · Birmingham 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Hull City 1W 2D 2L · Birmingham 1W 1D 3L

Hull City 1–1 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.88

Corners

against 6.25 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.2 yellows

Referee · S. Martin

21.9 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Hull City for / against	Line	Birmingham for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.13 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Martin — 5.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.9 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Pandur	41	903690 min	1323.2 /90	591.4 /90	20 /90
D. Phillips	2	93185 min	62.9 /90	52.4 /90	00 /90

Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Pandur n 8	90	3.2 5/4

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Egan	37	863191 min	481.4 /90	351 /90	381.1 /90	1955.5 /90	190.5 /90	80.2 /90
C. Hughes	36	863096 min	471.4 /90	441.3 /90	561.6 /90	1725 /90	411.2 /90	60.2 /90
L. Coyle	36	812909 min	431.3 /90	240.7 /90	150.5 /90	1173.6 /90	361.1 /90	110.3 /90
R. Giles	28	822304 min	251 /90	130.5 /90	80.3 /90	502 /90	150.6 /90	60.2 /90
C. Drameh	19	741408 min	402.6 /90	120.8 /90	50.3 /90	845.4 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
R. Slater n 8	80.5	1 5/2	0.7 4/1	—
J. Egan n 8	82.9	0.7 4/1	0.5 3/1	C. Klarer
C. Hughes n 8	77.6	1.9 8/3	0.7 4/1	—
L. Coyle n 8	78.8	1.4 6/2	0.9 3/2	C. Klarer
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Slater n 8	80.5	2.1 7/4
J. Egan n 8	82.9	1.9 7/4
C. Hughes n 8	77.6	1.2 6/2
L. Coyle n 8	78.8	1.7 5/3
J. Gelhardt n 8	64.8	2.4 6/5
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie	33	772556 min	140.5 /90	70.2 /90	501.8 /90	301.1 /90	361.3 /90	150.5 /90
D. Akintola	15	33488 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	81.5 /90	30.6 /90	71.3 /90	20.4 /90
Joel Tshisanga Ndala	13	57739 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	30.4 /90	131.6 /90
L. Koumas	12	51613 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	50.7 /90	91.3 /90
E. Destan	9	42376 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	80.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Egan n 8	82.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Hughes n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Coyle n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Egan n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Hughes n 8	77.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Coyle n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	34	903060 min	862.5 /90	411.2 /90	10 /90
R. Allsop	11	90990 min	191.7 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	90	2 5/3
R. Allsop n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Iwata	43	863697 min	671.6 /90	390.9 /90	110.3 /90	1623.9 /90	541.3 /90	80.2 /90
C. Klarer	41	903690 min	441.1 /90	521.3 /90	240.6 /90	2957.2 /90	380.9 /90	90.2 /90
P. Neumann	29	882547 min	321.1 /90	240.8 /90	210.7 /90	1254.4 /90	331.2 /90	50.2 /90
A. Cochrane	21	791665 min	271.5 /90	191 /90	20.1 /90	804.3 /90	110.6 /90	30.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	20	661325 min	161.1 /90	141 /90	10.1 /90	735 /90	191.3 /90	50.3 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	1.1 6/2	0.7 3/1	—
J. Stansfield n 8	72.8	2.3 7/4	0.5 3/0	—
C. Klarer n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0	L. Coyle
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	69.8	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/0	—
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	0.9 4/1
J. Stansfield n 8	72.8	1.4 4/3
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.3 6/3
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	69.8	1.9 5/2
D. Gray n 8	49.1	2.3 5/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Ducksch	30	682036 min	110.5 /90	10 /90	512.3 /90	291.3 /90	271.2 /90	30.1 /90
K. Furuhashi	24	461108 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	342.8 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90
L. Dykes	13	34445 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
A. Priske	11	48525 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
J. Stansfield	42	753154 min	100.3 /90	60.2 /90	531.5 /90	250.7 /90	401.1 /90	250.7 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0
J. Stansfield n 8	72.8	1.2 5/3	0.3 2/0
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	69.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	72.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	69.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hull City		Birmingham
44%	Possession	56%
0.93	Expected goals (xG)	0.45
14	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	2
9	Shots inside the box	5
2	Corners	6
3	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	16
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	2
291	Passes	370
61%	Pass accuracy	74%

Hull City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Pandur	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Coyle	90	0	0	0	2	5	0	7.2
S. Ajayi	90	0	2	0	1	1	Y	7.2
J. Egan	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
M. Crooks	90	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Oliver McBurnie	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
A. Hadžiahmetović	87	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
P. McNair	83	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
M. Belloumi	83	0	3	1	1	4	0	7.5
J. Gelhardt	75	1	1	1	2	0	Y	7.5
L. Millar	75	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.9
R. Giles sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Y. Hirakawa sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Dowell sub	15	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.3
L. Koumas sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Joseph sub	13	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7

Birmingham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Beadle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
P. Neumann	90	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.2
C. Klarer	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.6
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.5
J. Solis	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
T. Iwata	90	1	3	1	1	4	0	7.9
Carlos Vicente	89	0	0	0	4	3	0	6.9
A. Priske	89	0	1	0	2	0	0	6
J. Stansfield	63	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.3
I. Osman	63	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.3
B. Osayi-Samuel	50	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
E. Laird sub	40	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Gray sub	27	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.5
M. Ducksch sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
A. Cochrane sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Paik Seung-Ho sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hull CityLWDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

BirminghamDLLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hull City 3 · 2 draws · Birmingham 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-10-18 Birmingham 2–3 Hull City
2024-03-05 Hull City 1–1 Birmingham
2024-01-16 Birmingham 2–1 Hull City
2024-01-06 Hull City 1–1 Birmingham
2023-10-25 Birmingham 0–2 Hull City
2022-12-30 Birmingham 0–1 Hull City

League standing · 2025/26

Hull City#6 pos73 pts46 pl+4 GD

Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Hull City scored1.52

Birmingham scored1.24

Hull City conceded1.43

Birmingham conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hull City v Birmingham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Birmingham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Birmingham?: In their last 6 meetings, Hull City won 3, Birmingham won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hull City and Birmingham?: Recent form — Hull City 1W 2D 2L; Birmingham 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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