This Matchweek

LincolnSwansea

Lincoln v Swansea result

Full-time · Lincoln 1–2 Swansea

Championship · · LNER Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lincoln · Swansea

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln 1–2 Swansea — Swansea won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swansea won 2–1 at LNER Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 19 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Lincoln out-shot Swansea 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.11 xG to 0.92 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Swansea came from behind: Lincoln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: R. Hackett (39’ pen); Swansea: Moussa Yeo (47’, assisted by M. Widell) and Stephen Eustaquio (51’, assisted by Filip Lissah).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stephen Eustaquio’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

Anthony Backhouse, England showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: Benjamin House (6’) and Ryley Towler (25’); Swansea: Filip Lissah (90’).

What it changes

Lincoln have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Lincoln have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Swansea have scored 21 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Swansea have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Hackett (Lincoln) 9.1, Filip Lissah (Swansea) 7.4 and D. Elerewe (Lincoln) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lincoln or Swansea (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.

Swansea next travel to Birmingham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Swansea: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lincoln 1–2 Swansea · Championship
  • Venue: LNER Stadium · Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Lincoln 2W 2D 1L · Swansea 3W 1D 1L

Lincoln 1–2 Swansea (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 8.75 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Anthony Backhouse, England
19.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLincoln for / againstLineSwansea for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 8.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Wickens891725 min283.5 /9070.9 /9000 /90
J. Gauci290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890.6
3.58/4

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Elerewe982742 min101.2 /90111.3 /9081 /90445.3 /90101.2 /9010.1 /90
R. Towler882658 min71 /90101.4 /90101.4 /90304.1 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
Andrei Coubiș567337 min61.6 /9051.3 /9000 /90195.1 /9030.8 /9000 /90
C. Elder486343 min112.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90164.2 /9041 /9010.3 /90
S. Bradley465261 min31 /9031 /9031 /90165.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hackett n 860.9
0.63/0
0.42/0
M. Yeo
R. Street n 846.4
1.76/1
1.23/2
—
D. Elerewe n 880.9
14/2
0.83/2
J. Tymon
Ivan Varfolomeev n 859
1.14/1
0.62/1
—
F. Draper n 858.8
5.46/6
1.33/3
—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Hackett n 860.9
1.86/4
R. Street n 846.4
1.74/1
D. Elerewe n 880.9
1.14/3
Ivan Varfolomeev n 859
2.96/4
F. Draper n 858.8
0.82/2
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Street1048481 min10.2 /9000 /9081.5 /9020.4 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
F. Draper961549 min20.3 /9010.2 /90111.8 /9061 /90101.6 /9010.2 /90
B. House873583 min20.3 /9010.2 /90121.9 /9060.9 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
I. Olaofe535177 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /90
C. Ogbene358175 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9021 /9000 /9021 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Hackett n 860.9
0.72/1
0.21/0
R. Street n 846.4
1.94/2
0.52/0
D. Elerewe n 880.9
0.64/0
00/0
Ivan Varfolomeev n 859
14/1
0.62/1
F. Draper n 858.8
1.96/3
1.15/1
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Hackett n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Street n 846.4
0.21/0
00/0
D. Elerewe n 880.9
00/0
00/0
Ivan Varfolomeev n 859
00/0
00/0
F. Draper n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
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Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Vigouroux891726 min131.6 /9060.7 /9000 /90
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
1.63/2

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tymon891726 min131.6 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90273.3 /9010.1 /9010.1 /90
F. Lissah872578 min111.7 /90132 /9040.6 /90406.2 /9071.1 /9030.5 /90
Stephen Welsh789626 min50.7 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90324.6 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Key758404 min81.8 /9071.6 /9020.4 /90204.5 /9051.1 /9000 /90
B. Cabango678470 min51 /9071.3 /9051 /90224.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
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Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tymon n 890.8
0.11/0
1.16/3
D. Elerewe
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Stamenić n 876.9
15/2
1.27/1
—
F. Lissah n 872.3
1.13/2
1.45/3
—
M. Yeo n 865
1.26/1
0.93/2
R. Hackett
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Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tymon n 890.8
1.65/3
M. Stamenić n 876.9
1.37/2
F. Lissah n 872.3
1.77/2
M. Yeo n 865
4.38/7
E. Just n 858.1
1.44/2
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Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Idah854428 min30.6 /9010.2 /90132.7 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9051.1 /90
Z. Vipotnik837298 min20.6 /9010.3 /9092.7 /9072.1 /9041.2 /9000 /90
Eom Ji-Sung556282 min20.6 /9020.6 /9051.6 /9041.3 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
Joseph Opoku441163 min10.6 /9000 /9063.3 /9042.2 /9042.2 /9021.1 /90
Ronald23671 min00 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
00/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 876.9
0.74/1
0.11/0
F. Lissah n 872.3
00/0
00/0
M. Yeo n 865
1.44/2
0.72/2
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Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tymon n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 876.9
00/0
00/0
F. Lissah n 872.3
00/0
00/0
M. Yeo n 865
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LincolnSwansea
32%Possession68%
2.11Expected goals (xG)0.92
13Shots10
4Shots on target4
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box3
2Corners1
4Offsides0
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
243Passes568
60%Pass accuracy82%

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Wickens9000000006.2
R. Hackett9010431308
D. Elerewe9000110206.3
F. Draper9000100107.5
Andrei Coubiș9000002107
S. Bradley9000001106.5
T. Bayliss9000101106.9
R. Towler77000001Y6.2
A. Reach6400000206.3
C. McGrandles6400001506.9
B. House64000000Y6.2
C. Ogbene sub2600000106.7
M. Ladefoged sub2600100006.3
Y. Konak sub2600100106.3
R. Street sub1300000006.7

Swansea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Vigouroux9000000007.6
M. Widell9001102006.9
J. Tymon9000000105.7
M. Stamenić9000000006.6
F. Lissah90010016Y7.3
B. Cabango9000101006.9
Stephen Welsh8200001006.6
S. Eustaquio7710111007.3
M. Yeo6010110107.3
E. Just6000111006.2
A. Idah6000000006.2
Joseph Opoku3000001106.6
Z. Vipotnik sub3000000006.7
Ronald sub3000110006.3
Joseph Opoku sub3000001106.5
Gonçalo Franco sub1300000006.7
J. Seelt sub800000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LincolnDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
SwanseaWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Lincoln#19 pos15 pts14 pl-10 GD
Swansea#5 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Lincoln scored1
Swansea scored1.5
Lincoln conceded1.71
Swansea conceded1.14

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln v Swansea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Swansea was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Lincoln and Swansea?
Recent form — Lincoln 2W 2D 1L; Swansea 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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