MiddlesbroughPortsmouth

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · Portsmouth

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth — Portsmouth won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth won 1–0 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 11 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Portsmouth 20 to 3 and created the better chances, 1.28 xG to 0.42 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Conor Chaplin (90’, assisted by Adrian Segecic).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Conor Chaplin’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

T. Kirk showed five yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Middlesbrough: Dael Fry (90+3’); Portsmouth: Jordan Williams (26’), K. Anderson (72’), Colby Bishop (89’) and Marlon Pack (90+9’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough move down from third to fourth (42 league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored 72 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 47 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Portsmouth stay 22nd after this result (41 league matches played). Portsmouth have scored 49 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Portsmouth have conceded 64 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth) 6.5, Nicolas Schmid (Portsmouth) 6.2 and Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Portsmouth are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Middlesbrough, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).

Next up

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Portsmouth next travel to Bolton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Portsmouth: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: T. Kirk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Middlesbrough 0 · draws 1 · Portsmouth 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 0W 3D 2L · Portsmouth 0W 2D 3L

Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
9.5 / 8.63
Corners
against 3.88 / 2.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.78 yellows
Referee · T. Kirk
22.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLinePortsmouth for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
9.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
8.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
21.13 for · 8.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: T. Kirk — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Brynn42903786 min972.3 /90441 /9010 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890.8
2.64/4

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ayling38853246 min722 /90371 /90330.9 /902025.6 /90190.5 /9080.2 /90
M. Targett38823108 min481.4 /90411.2 /9070.2 /901053 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
C. Brittain37883260 min591.6 /90421.2 /9060.2 /901694.7 /90330.9 /9050.1 /90
A. Jones23861976 min351.6 /90221 /90200.9 /90853.9 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
D. Fry20721442 min181.1 /90130.8 /90271.7 /901076.7 /9080.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Conway n 880.5
1.16/2
26/3
C. Bishop
S. Brynn n 890.8
0.22/0
0.22/0
—
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.68/3
1.46/4
—
L. Ayling n 887.1
0.32/0
0.94/2
—
M. Targett n 887.3
0.84/2
0.63/2
R. Poole
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 880.5
0.84/2
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.96/5
L. Ayling n 887.1
1.47/4
M. Targett n 887.3
0.94/2
C. Brittain n 889.9
1.68/3
See more players · Pro

Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Conway43783354 min90.2 /9050.1 /90431.2 /90270.7 /90561.5 /90310.8 /90
D. Strelec26561455 min50.3 /9000 /90281.7 /90150.9 /90140.9 /90110.7 /90
D. Burgzorg21551156 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.4 /9090.7 /90251.9 /90100.8 /90
K. Sène2031625 min20.3 /9000 /9081.2 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9040.6 /90
S. Hansen1134375 min00 /9000 /9071.7 /9020.5 /9041 /9071.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 880.5
15/2
0.43/0
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
2.18/6
0.84/1
L. Ayling n 887.1
1.26/3
0.32/0
M. Targett n 887.3
1.26/3
0.64/1
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 880.5
0.32/0
0.43/0
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Ayling n 887.1
00/0
0.11/0
M. Targett n 887.3
0.31/1
00/0
See more players · Pro

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid30882636 min642.2 /90401.4 /9000 /90
J. Bursik1090900 min262.6 /90191.9 /9010.1 /90
B. Killip381244 min114.1 /9041.5 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 890
1.53/2
J. Bursik n 890
2.45/4

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Poole38883335 min361 /90631.7 /90280.8 /901865 /90340.9 /9070.2 /90
T. Devlin33762512 min722.6 /90541.9 /90100.4 /901957 /90240.9 /9020.1 /90
Z. Swanson33722363 min672.6 /90371.4 /9060.2 /901505.7 /90251 /9040.2 /90
C. Ogilvie30802407 min250.9 /90271 /90130.5 /901686.3 /90230.9 /9040.1 /90
J. Williams24531269 min372.6 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90725.1 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Poole n 886.9
1.24/3
1.36/3
M. Targett
C. Bishop n 883.3
1.46/3
0.95/2
T. Conway
A. Dozzell n 876.9
0.94/2
0.64/0
—
T. Devlin n 889.9
0.84/2
1.56/4
—
Z. Swanson n 873.4
0.53/0
0.83/2
—
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Poole n 886.9
0.62/1
C. Bishop n 883.3
0.32/0
A. Dozzell n 876.9
0.32/0
T. Devlin n 889.9
2.98/7
Z. Swanson n 873.4
2.68/7
See more players · Pro

Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop37823044 min30.1 /9010 /90421.2 /90180.5 /90160.5 /9080.2 /90
M. Kirk1238460 min10.2 /9000 /90132.5 /9081.6 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
H. Blair1041410 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9061.3 /9092 /90
C. Lang872578 min20.3 /9000 /9081.2 /9050.8 /9071.1 /90101.6 /90
J. Brown563315 min10.3 /9000 /9072 /9051.4 /9041.1 /9020.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Poole n 886.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. Bishop n 883.3
0.74/1
0.11/0
A. Dozzell n 876.9
0.62/1
0.32/0
T. Devlin n 889.9
0.95/2
0.32/0
Z. Swanson n 873.4
1.26/2
0.95/1
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Poole n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
C. Bishop n 883.3
00/0
0.11/0
A. Dozzell n 876.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 889.9
00/0
00/0
Z. Swanson n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughPortsmouth
71%Possession29%
1.28Expected goals (xG)0.42
20Shots3
8Shots on target1
5Shots off target2
7Blocked shots0
15Shots inside the box2
14Corners2
3Offsides3
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Saves8
574Passes232
85%Pass accuracy66%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9000000006.2
C. Brittain9000003106.6
D. Fry90001112Y7.2
A. Malanda9000001006.9
A. Browne9000320307.7
A. Morris9000310507.7
T. Conway8900004007.5
R. McGree8400221106.6
D. Strelec6300101006.3
M. Targett4500002207.2
J. Sarmiento4500001006.6
S. Hansen sub4500220006.9
L. Ayling sub4500100106.6
K. Sène sub2700000106.3
A. Gilbert sub1500000006.5
C. Ibeh sub10000000–

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Schmid9000000008.9
T. Devlin9000001307.5
R. Poole9000000107.2
M. Pack90000001Y6.7
A. Dozzell9000000106.9
C. Chaplin9010110207.2
C. Bishop90001002Y6.3
M. Dia8500000107.5
J. Williams76000000Y6.2
K. Anderson75000002Y6.2
G. Caballero6500000106.5
A. Segecic sub2501101006.9
M. Alli sub1500000006.2
I. Bowat sub1400000006.6
C. Shaughnessy sub1400000007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Portsmouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughLDDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PortsmouthLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Middlesbrough 0 · 1 draw · Portsmouth 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-01-18 Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-08-24 Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth
League standing · 2025/26
Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD
Portsmouth#18 pos55 pts46 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored1.57
Portsmouth scored1.07
Middlesbrough conceded1.02
Portsmouth conceded1.39

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Portsmouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Portsmouth was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Portsmouth?
In their last 3 meetings, Middlesbrough won 0, Portsmouth won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Portsmouth?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 0W 3D 2L; Portsmouth 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+