Middlesbrough v Southampton result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton

Championship · Sat, 09 May 2026 12:30 BST · Riverside Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough and Southampton drew 0–0 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 9 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Southampton 21 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.81 xG to 0.58 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

F. Hallam showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Southampton: Cyle Larin (55’) and Flynn Downes (59’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough have scored 72 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded 47 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Southampton have scored 82 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Southampton have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Southampton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough) 5.0, Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 4.8 and Ryan Manning (Southampton) 4.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Southampton, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton · Championship
Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
Referee: F. Hallam
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Middlesbrough 2 · draws 2 · Southampton 0 · 2.75 goals/game
Recent form: Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L · Southampton 2W 2D 1L

Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.5

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

9.13 / 6.13

Corners

against 3.63 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.55 yellows

Referee · F. Hallam

20.45 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Middlesbrough for / against	Line	Southampton for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	9.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.5 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: F. Hallam — 3.55 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Brynn	47	904236 min	1092.3 /90	501.1 /90	10 /90

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	2.2 4/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Ayling	43	853648 min	852.1 /90	391 /90	330.8 /90	2375.8 /90	220.5 /90	80.2 /90
M. Targett	43	803459 min	551.4 /90	481.2 /90	80.2 /90	1163 /90	240.6 /90	50.1 /90
C. Brittain	42	883710 min	651.6 /90	451.1 /90	80.2 /90	1864.5 /90	350.8 /90	60.1 /90
D. Fry	25	731828 min	211 /90	180.9 /90	341.7 /90	1276.3 /90	110.5 /90	10 /90
A. Jones	23	861976 min	351.6 /90	221 /90	200.9 /90	853.9 /90	190.9 /90	30.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Conway n 8	81.1	1.1 5/3	2.4 7/4	Leo Scienza
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0	—
L. Ayling n 8	82	0.4 3/0	1.8 6/3	Ryan Manning
M. Targett n 8	75	0.3 2/0	0.6 3/1	Caspar Jander
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0.6 4/1	0.6 3/2	Caspar Jander
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	0.8 4/2
L. Ayling n 8	82	2.2 8/4
M. Targett n 8	75	1.3 5/3
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	1.5 7/4
A. Morris n 8	90.8	3.2 8/6
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Conway	48	783727 min	130.3 /90	50.1 /90	481.2 /90	310.7 /90	631.5 /90	401 /90
D. Strelec	31	591839 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	371.8 /90	231.1 /90	180.9 /90	120.6 /90
D. Burgzorg	21	551156 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	181.4 /90	90.7 /90	251.9 /90	100.8 /90
K. Sène	21	31652 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90
S. Hansen	13	37484 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	40.7 /90	61.1 /90	71.3 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	1 4/3	0.7 4/1
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ayling n 8	82	1.4 7/3	0.4 3/0
M. Targett n 8	75	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ayling n 8	82	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Targett n 8	75	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	24	902160 min	773.2 /90	231 /90	00 /90
Gavin Bazunu	19	901710 min	432.3 /90	281.5 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	3.4 7/6
Gavin Bazunu n 8	90	3 7/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Taylor Harwood-Bellis	46	894113 min	420.9 /90	410.9 /90	370.8 /90	2595.7 /90	350.8 /90	110.2 /90
Ryan Manning	45	803617 min	691.7 /90	431.1 /90	120.3 /90	1804.5 /90	300.7 /90	60.1 /90
Nathan Wood	36	843037 min	320.9 /90	250.7 /90	371.1 /90	1243.7 /90	240.7 /90	50.1 /90
J. Stephens	31	872706 min	301 /90	331.1 /90	291 /90	842.8 /90	110.4 /90	50.2 /90
James Bree	21	821718 min	321.7 /90	80.4 /90	50.3 /90	623.2 /90	191 /90	10.1 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 8	90	0.6 2/1	1.1 5/2	—
Ryan Manning n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	1.1 6/2	L. Ayling
Finn Azaz n 8	76.5	0.7 4/1	1.3 5/2	—
Leo Scienza n 8	64.8	0.3 2/0	2.4 7/2	T. Conway
Caspar Jander n 8	79.1	2.1 7/3	0.4 3/0	C. Brittain
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 8	90	1.4 6/3
Ryan Manning n 8	84.3	2.3 8/6
Finn Azaz n 8	76.5	1.5 4/3
Leo Scienza n 8	64.8	0.7 3/1
Caspar Jander n 8	79.1	4.3 8/7
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Armstrong	29	732115 min	110.5 /90	40.2 /90	672.9 /90	381.6 /90	251.1 /90	130.6 /90
Ross Stewart	26	461189 min	100.8 /90	30.2 /90	282.1 /90	201.5 /90	141.1 /90	10.1 /90
Cameron Archer	25	491229 min	50.4 /90	40.3 /90	261.9 /90	141 /90	131 /90	141 /90
Jay Robinson	21	43911 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	181.8 /90	101 /90	101 /90	272.7 /90
Cyle Larin	18	53962 min	80.7 /90	10.1 /90	201.9 /90	141.3 /90	90.8 /90	60.6 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Ryan Manning n 8	84.3	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Finn Azaz n 8	76.5	1.6 5/3	0.9 4/2
Leo Scienza n 8	64.8	1.4 6/2	0.9 4/1
Caspar Jander n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
Finn Azaz n 8	76.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Leo Scienza n 8	64.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Caspar Jander n 8	79.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Middlesbrough		Southampton
64%	Possession	36%
1.81	Expected goals (xG)	0.58
21	Shots	6
5	Shots on target	0
10	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	1
14	Shots inside the box	4
11	Corners	1
2	Offsides	4
7	Fouls	12
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	4
568	Passes	328
85%	Pass accuracy	78%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
S. Brynn	90	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Ayling	90	2	0	0	2	7.9
D. Fry	90	0	0	0	1	7.5
A. Malanda	90	0	0	0	0	7.5
C. Brittain	90	0	0	2	2	7.3
A. Morris	90	1	0	2	2	7.7
M. Targett	90	2	1	4	0	8.2
T. Conway	90	3	2	2	1	7.7
M. Whittaker	79	2	1	3	0	7.3
D. Strelec	79	2	0	2	0	6.2
R. McGree	68	2	0	3	2	7.2
A. Browne sub	22	0	0	0	0	6.3
Leo Castledine sub	11	1	1	0	0	6.9
J. Sarmiento sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3

Southampton Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Daniel Peretz	90	0	0	0	0	8.5
James Bree	90	0	0	1	0	8.2
Taylor Harwood-Bellis	90	1	1	0	0	8.2
Nathan Wood	90	0	0	0	0	7.3
Ryan Manning	90	0	1	1	0	7.2
Caspar Jander	90	0	0	2	0	6.7
Finn Azaz	90	0	0	1	0	6.3
Leo Scienza	86	1	0	2	0	6.6
F. Downes	69	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Tom Fellows	69	0	1	0	0	6.5
Cyle Larin	60	1	0	0	Y	6
Ross Stewart sub	30	0	2	0	0	6.7
K. Matsuki sub	21	0	0	1	0	6.6
Shea Charles sub	21	1	0	0	0	6.6
Samuel Edozie sub	8	1	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MiddlesbroughLDWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

SouthamptonWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Middlesbrough 2 · 2 draws · Southampton 0 · 2.75 goals/game

2026-01-04 Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton
2025-09-27 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
2024-03-29 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
2023-09-23 Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton

League standing · 2025/26

Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD

Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD

Goals per game

Middlesbrough scored1.57

Southampton scored1.78

Middlesbrough conceded1.02

Southampton conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Southampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Southampton?: In their last 4 meetings, Middlesbrough won 2, Southampton won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Southampton?: Recent form — Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L; Southampton 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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