MiddlesbroughWest Brom

Middlesbrough v West Brom result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · West Brom · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom — Middlesbrough won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough beat West Brom 3–1 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Middlesbrough have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. West Brom have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (48’, 73’) and Alfie Jones (87’, assisted by Luke Ayling); West Brom: Jimmy Morgan (65’, assisted by Isaac Price).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Lankshear’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Middlesbrough 2.55, West Brom 1.32, from 15 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Paul Tierney, England showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — West Brom: Ousmane Diakité (61’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Brom have scored 20 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). West Brom have conceded 15 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Lankshear (Middlesbrough) 7.7, Isaac Price (West Brom) 5.9 and Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last five meetings with West Brom.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough or West Brom (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

West Brom next host Millwall on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for West Brom: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: Paul Tierney, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Middlesbrough 5 · draws 0 · West Brom 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 3W 0D 2L · West Brom 3W 0D 2L

Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.57 / 2.88
Corners
against 2.71 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.43 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.57 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.14 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · Paul Tierney, England
23.43 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineWest Brom for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.57 for · 2.71 against n 7
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
18.14 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.13 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.43 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.86 for · 10.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.57 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Paul Tierney, England — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /90
S. Brynn290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890
2.45/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ayling490360 min51.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
C. Brittain476303 min20.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90164.8 /9051.5 /9000 /90
Maximilian Arfsten457228 min124.7 /9020.8 /9000 /902811.1 /9041.6 /9000 /90
A. Malanda390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9031 /90186 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Neto Borges381243 min20.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90103.7 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ayling n 889.6
0.64/1
1.68/2
—
M. Whittaker n 881.9
0.41/1
1.47/3
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 478.5
0.93/0
0.62/0
—
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
W. Lankshear n 469.5
2.33/2
0.62/0
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ayling n 889.6
1.98/5
M. Whittaker n 881.9
13/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 478.5
1.73/2
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.85/1
W. Lankshear n 469.5
0.31/0
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear470278 min41.3 /9000 /90123.9 /9061.9 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
K. Joseph449196 min10.5 /9000 /9062.8 /9031.4 /9041.8 /9020.9 /90
M. Whittaker488352 min00 /9010.3 /90102.6 /9051.3 /90102.6 /9051.3 /90
Sebastian Berhalter479314 min00 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9092.6 /9000 /90
J. Sarmiento459236 min20.8 /9010.4 /9051.9 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9051.9 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ayling n 889.6
15/3
0.11/0
M. Whittaker n 881.9
2.58/6
1.15/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 478.5
1.43/1
0.31/0
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.42/1
00/0
W. Lankshear n 469.5
3.93/3
1.93/2
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ayling n 889.6
00/0
00/0
M. Whittaker n 881.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 478.5
00/0
0.31/0
C. Brittain n 882.9
00/0
00/0
W. Lankshear n 469.5
1.33/1
00/0
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West Brom

West Brom Goalkeeper

West Brom — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. O’Leary391274 min113.6 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Ingram19090 min44 /9033 /9000 /90
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. O’Leary n 890.5
36/6

West Brom Defensive

West Brom — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Campbell491364 min61.5 /9041 /9030.7 /90112.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
C. Styles468273 min51.6 /9020.7 /9000 /90154.9 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Phillips391274 min41.3 /9031 /9072.3 /90165.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
N. Galves391273 min62 /9062 /9000 /90134.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Alex Williams19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.65/0
0.43/0
—
I. Price n 887.9
0.32/0
1.36/3
—
O. Diakité n 887.9
1.46/4
1.36/3
—
Jimmy Morgan n 475.5
2.73/3
2.43/2
—
Harry Whitwell n 670.8
1.14/1
2.56/4
—
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West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.95/2
I. Price n 887.9
26/4
O. Diakité n 887.9
2.27/5
Jimmy Morgan n 475.5
1.21/1
Harry Whitwell n 670.8
2.84/4
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West Brom Attacking

West Brom — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jimmy Morgan476302 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072.1 /9051.5 /9061.8 /9030.9 /90
A. Heggebø282163 min10.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.1 /90
B. Stewart256111 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /90
I. Price489354 min41 /9000 /90102.5 /9092.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
O. Diakité486344 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9000 /9041 /90
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West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.43/0
00/0
I. Price n 887.9
1.97/4
1.56/4
O. Diakité n 887.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
Jimmy Morgan n 475.5
2.13/2
1.52/2
Harry Whitwell n 670.8
0.83/1
0.83/1
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West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
00/0
00/0
I. Price n 887.9
0.63/2
00/0
O. Diakité n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 475.5
0.92/1
0.62/0
Harry Whitwell n 670.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
47%Possession53%
2.55Expected goals (xG)1.32
15Shots12
6Shots on target4
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots6
14Shots inside the box10
7Corners6
3Offsides0
15Fouls6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves4
518Passes583
88%Pass accuracy89%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Ayling9001101107.3
R. Vítek9000000007
Neto Borges9000000007.5
A. Morris9000000106.9
A. Malanda9000001207.3
C. Brittain9000110406.9
W. Lankshear8620220007.6
R. McGree6900203006.3
M. Whittaker6900100206.6
M. Peart-Harris4500000106.6
J. Sarmiento4000001206.9
Maximilian Arfsten sub5000000306.7
Sebastian Berhalter sub4500112107.2
K. Joseph sub2100211006.3
A. Jones sub2110110007.3
T. Conway sub900000106.6

West Brom Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Styles9000001105.9
I. Price9001212006.3
N. Phillips9000000206.9
N. Galves9000000306.2
O. Diakité90000011Y6.6
G. Campbell9000000207.2
M. O’Leary9000000006.2
J. Morgan8610110007.4
Jimmy Morgan8610110007
Felix Horn Myhre7700100006.3
J. Molumby7700001006.6
Harry Whitwell7000000206.5
R. Nzingoula sub2000111106.6
A. Heggebø sub1300001006.3
K. Tunde sub1300110006.9
B. Stewart sub900000006.3
B. Stewart sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v West Brom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
West BromLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Middlesbrough 5 · 0 draws · West Brom 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-16 West Brom 2–3 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-09-19 Middlesbrough 2–1 West Brom
  • 2025-01-21 Middlesbrough 2–0 West Brom
  • 2024-10-01 West Brom 0–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-12-23 Middlesbrough 1–0 West Brom
  • 2023-08-26 West Brom 4–2 Middlesbrough
League standing · 2026/27
Middlesbrough#1 pos28 pts14 pl+11 GD
West Brom#6 pos25 pts14 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored2.14
West Brom scored1.43
Middlesbrough conceded1.36
West Brom conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v West Brom?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v West Brom was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and West Brom?
In their last 6 meetings, Middlesbrough won 5, West Brom won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and West Brom?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 3W 0D 2L; West Brom 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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