This Matchweek

MiddlesbroughWolves

Middlesbrough v Wolves result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · Wolves

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves — Middlesbrough won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough beat Wolves 1–0 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 10 October. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (57’, assisted by Tommy Conway).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Lankshear’s goal on 57 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Middlesbrough 0.90, Wolves 0.68, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Farai Hallam, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Middlesbrough: Sebastian Berhalter (11’), Neto Borges (40’) and Myles Peart-Harris (90+4’); Wolves: N. Djiga (12’), Rafiki Saïd (53’) and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (66’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Wolves have scored 25 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wolves have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Lankshear (Middlesbrough) 5.9, Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) 5.3 and Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: Farai Hallam, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Middlesbrough 0 · draws 0 · Wolves 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L · Wolves 2W 1D 2L

Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.83 yellows
Referee · Farai Hallam, England
18.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineWolves for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Farai Hallam, England — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek890720 min202.5 /90121.5 /9000 /90
S. Brynn390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 890
2.57/2
S. Brynn n 890
2.35/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brittain1185933 min201.9 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90535.1 /90131.3 /9010.1 /90
L. Ayling1083828 min101.1 /90111.2 /9050.5 /90414.5 /9060.7 /9000 /90
A. Malanda989797 min121.4 /90111.2 /9050.6 /90404.5 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
Neto Borges977693 min50.6 /9050.6 /9050.6 /90273.5 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
Maximilian Arfsten955497 min193.4 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90498.9 /9081.4 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brittain n 882.9
1.25/2
0.31/1
N. Djiga
W. Lankshear n 867.3
1.55/3
0.52/1
A. Armstrong
L. Ayling n 881
0.62/1
15/1
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.4
1.24/3
0.93/2
M. Munetsi
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.95/2
0.53/1
N. Djiga
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
2.47/4
W. Lankshear n 867.3
0.32/0
L. Ayling n 881
1.15/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.4
2.67/4
A. Malanda n 888.4
1.56/4
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear1173798 min80.9 /9000 /90232.6 /90141.6 /9091 /9020.2 /90
K. Joseph949440 min10.2 /9000 /90102 /9051 /9061.2 /9051 /90
T. Conway644266 min00 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9072.4 /9041.4 /90
D. Strelec16767 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9022.7 /9011.3 /90
Sebastian Berhalter1070695 min20.3 /9020.3 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90212.7 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
W. Lankshear n 867.3
2.26/5
1.55/3
L. Ayling n 881
0.43/0
0.11/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.4
1.65/2
0.73/1
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.94/2
0.43/0
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
00/0
0.11/0
W. Lankshear n 867.3
0.84/1
00/0
L. Ayling n 881
00/0
0.32/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá790630 min152.1 /9081.1 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min63 /9021 /9010.5 /90
João Virgínia19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
2.87/3
D. Bentley n 890
2.66/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Djiga975674 min40.5 /9091.2 /9070.9 /90273.6 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Hugo Bueno880643 min111.5 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90314.3 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Toti Gomes879631 min20.3 /9081.1 /9000 /90304.3 /9030.4 /9000 /90
J. Tchatchoua775527 min71.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90193.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
K. Trippier557283 min72.2 /9031 /9000 /90123.8 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Armstrong n 859.6
1.55/2
0.21/0
W. Lankshear
N. Djiga n 881.9
00/0
0.43/0
A. Malanda
Rodrigo Gomes n 866.9
14/2
27/3
—
M. Mane n 867.9
1.27/0
2.38/4
—
M. Munetsi n 867
27/3
14/2
Sebastian Berhalter
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 859.6
0.21/0
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.54/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 866.9
0.84/1
M. Mane n 867.9
1.34/2
M. Munetsi n 867
2.27/5
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong1066657 min20.3 /9000 /9081.1 /9040.5 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90
R. Jiménez948435 min30.6 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9051 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Rodrigo Gomes969619 min20.3 /9020.3 /90111.6 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9091.3 /90
M. Mane968614 min00 /9000 /90121.8 /9050.7 /90182.6 /90121.8 /90
M. Munetsi967602 min20.3 /9000 /90111.6 /9071 /9060.9 /9030.4 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 859.6
0.94/1
0.63/0
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 866.9
1.78/2
0.84/1
M. Mane n 867.9
1.54/3
0.83/1
M. Munetsi n 867
1.75/2
14/2
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 859.6
0.21/0
00/0
N. Djiga n 881.9
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 866.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
M. Mane n 867.9
00/0
00/0
M. Munetsi n 867
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughWolves
52%Possession48%
0.90Expected goals (xG)0.68
14Shots12
6Shots on target2
7Shots off target9
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box6
4Corners6
3Offsides2
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
495Passes446
87%Pass accuracy84%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Vítek9000001007.2
Neto Borges90000020Y7.3
A. Morris9000001607.2
A. Malanda9000110007.2
C. Brittain9000002407.5
A. Phillips9000000006.9
W. Lankshear8710531007.3
A. Cozier-Duberry8700100307
R. McGree8000110106.9
Sebastian Berhalter70004110Y6.5
T. Conway7001002007.3
M. Peart-Harris sub20000000Y6.3
L. Ayling sub2000000006.9
J. Sarmiento sub1000000006.5
K. Joseph sub900100106.5
Maximilian Arfsten sub900001006.6

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trippier9000002407.2
Toti Gomes9000000006.9
N. Djiga90000001Y6.6
Hugo Bueno9000000006.3
A. Armstrong9000110306.7
José Sá9000000006.7
André8200001407.2
M. Munetsi6100410006.3
M. Mane6100001106.9
T. Doyle6100100306.9
Rodrigo Gomes5100002006.9
Rafiki Saïd sub39002000Y6.5
J. Bellegarde sub29001002Y7.2
J. James sub2900002106.9
Fer López sub2900201106.9
S. Neave sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Wolves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
WolvesLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Middlesbrough 0 · 0 draws · Wolves 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2018-03-30 Middlesbrough 1–2 Wolves
  • 2017-08-05 Wolves 1–0 Middlesbrough
League standing · 2026/27
Middlesbrough#1 pos28 pts14 pl+11 GD
Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored2.14
Wolves scored1.79
Middlesbrough conceded1.36
Wolves conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Wolves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Wolves was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Wolves?
In their last 2 meetings, Middlesbrough won 0, Wolves won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Wolves?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L; Wolves 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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