Norwich v Southampton result

Full-time · Norwich 0–1 Southampton

Championship · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Carrow Road

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Norwich · Southampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Norwich 0–1 Southampton — Southampton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton won 1–0 at Carrow Road in the Championship on Wednesday 14 October. Southampton have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Kuryu Matsuki (54’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kuryu Matsuki’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Norwich 1.18, Southampton 2.10, from 12 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Stephen Martin, England showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Norwich: Jacob Wright (48’) and Samuel Field (77’); Southampton: Ryan Manning (15’) and Zach Abbott (26’).

What it changes

Norwich have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Norwich have conceded 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Southampton have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Norwich have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kuryu Matsuki (Southampton) 6.0, Daniel Peretz (Southampton) 4.5 and Caspar Jander (Southampton) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Norwich next host Cardiff on 21 November 2026.

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norwich: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Norwich 0–1 Southampton · Championship
Venue: Carrow Road · Norwich, Norfolk
Referee: Stephen Martin, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 1 · draws 2 · Southampton 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Norwich 1W 0D 4L · Southampton 3W 1D 1L

Norwich 0–1 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.13

Goals

against 2.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4 / 4.63

Corners

against 4 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.2 yellows

Referee · Stephen Martin, England

22.6 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Norwich for / against	Line	Southampton for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Stephen Martin, England — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 22.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Kovačević	10	91909 min	252.5 /90	202 /90	10.1 /90
D. Grimshaw	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 8	90	2.6 6/4
D. Grimshaw n 8	84.4	1.5 3/1

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Córdoba	10	88883 min	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	70.7 /90	333.4 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90
Ruairi McConville	10	76759 min	70.8 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90	384.5 /90	30.4 /90	20.2 /90
B. Chrisene	9	85762 min	232.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.4 /90	475.6 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Stacey	9	77697 min	212.7 /90	172.2 /90	20.3 /90	395 /90	70.9 /90	30.4 /90
K. Fisher	6	70421 min	132.8 /90	81.7 /90	10.2 /90	306.4 /90	71.5 /90	20.4 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 8	89.4	2.9 7/7	1.3 6/3	F. Downes
A. Brooks n 8	70.4	1.3 5/1	0.8 3/2	Finn Azaz
V. Kovačević n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
J. Córdoba n 8	86.8	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
Ruairi McConville n 8	80.5	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0	—
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	89.4	2.9 8/6
A. Brooks n 8	70.4	0.5 3/0
J. Córdoba n 8	86.8	1 5/1
Ruairi McConville n 8	80.5	0.8 4/2
A. Musaba n 8	52.3	1.7 6/2
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Musaba	10	48480 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.5 /90	50.9 /90	81.5 /90	112.1 /90
M. Touré	9	60536 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	132.2 /90	81.3 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
M. Kvistgaarden	8	46370 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90	00 /90
P. Diallo	7	29205 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	31.3 /90	31.3 /90	83.5 /90
J. Makama	4	36142 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	89.4	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
A. Brooks n 8	70.4	2.1 6/4	1.3 4/3
V. Kovačević n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Córdoba n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Ruairi McConville n 8	80.5	0.8 6/0	0.3 2/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Brooks n 8	70.4	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
V. Kovačević n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Córdoba n 8	86.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Ruairi McConville n 8	80.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	11	91996 min	333 /90	141.3 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	3.2 7/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
James Bree	11	90995 min	131.2 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	312.8 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90
Ryan Manning	9	90814 min	30.3 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90	273 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90
Nathan Wood	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	7	90627 min	81.1 /90	101.4 /90	101.4 /90	395.6 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Stephens	6	91546 min	50.8 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	183 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
James Bree n 8	89.9	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0	—
F. Downes n 8	71.3	0.9 3/3	1.3 5/3	P. Mattsson
Finn Azaz n 8	80	0.3 2/0	1.1 3/3	A. Brooks
Leo Scienza n 8	66.4	0.7 3/1	3.1 8/6	—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
James Bree n 8	89.9	1.1 5/3
F. Downes n 8	71.3	2.5 7/4
Finn Azaz n 8	80	0.8 5/1
Leo Scienza n 8	66.4	1.4 6/2
Cyle Larin n 8	75	0.5 3/0
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cyle Larin	10	70704 min	81 /90	00 /90	303.8 /90	151.9 /90	70.9 /90	60.8 /90
D. Mubama	5	36179 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
B. Brereton	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Cameron Archer	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
F. Downes	11	77846 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	101.1 /90	50.5 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
F. Downes n 8	71.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Finn Azaz n 8	80	1 5/2	0.8 5/1
Leo Scienza n 8	66.4	1.9 5/4	1.2 5/2
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
F. Downes n 8	71.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Finn Azaz n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0.6 3/1
Leo Scienza n 8	66.4	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Norwich		Southampton
49%	Possession	51%
1.18	Expected goals (xG)	2.10
12	Shots	15
4	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	11
5	Corners	3
0	Offsides	3
15	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
438	Passes	465
83%	Pass accuracy	84%

Norwich Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Grimshaw	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
J. Stacey	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Ruairi McConville	90	0	0	1	1	0	7.5
P. Mattsson	90	0	0	3	3	0	7
J. Córdoba	90	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
B. Chrisene	90	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
Jacob Wright	76	2	1	1	0	Y	7.2
A. Brooks	72	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
O. Schwartau	72	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Ben Slimane	61	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
M. Kvistgaarden	61	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
J. Makama sub	29	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
P. Maghoma sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Musaba sub	18	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
A. Crnac sub	18	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
S. Field sub	14	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9

Southampton Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Ward-Prowse	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
J. Stephens	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
K. Schlotterbeck	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	7
K. Matsuki	90	1	2	2	0	0	0	7.3
Finn Azaz	90	0	2	0	3	0	0	6.9
Daniel Peretz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
L. Dobbin	82	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.9
Samuel Edozie	70	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.2
Ryan Manning	45	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
Z. Abbott	45	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
F. Downes	22	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Caspar Jander sub	68	0	1	0	1	4	0	6.5
James Bree sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Welington sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Cyle Larin sub	20	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
D. Mubama sub	8	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NorwichWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.8 scored / 3.2 conceded per game

SouthamptonDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Norwich 1 · 2 draws · Southampton 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-03-18 Southampton 1–0 Norwich
2025-12-13 Norwich 2–1 Southampton
2025-08-26 Norwich 0–3 Southampton
2024-01-01 Norwich 1–1 Southampton
2023-08-12 Southampton 4–4 Norwich
2022-02-25 Southampton 2–0 Norwich

League standing · 2026/27

Norwich#12 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD

Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

Norwich scored1.93

Southampton scored2.07

Norwich conceded1.71

Southampton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Norwich v Southampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Southampton?: In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 1, Southampton won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Southampton?: Recent form — Norwich 1W 0D 4L; Southampton 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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