PortsmouthBirmingham

Portsmouth v Birmingham result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Birmingham

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1442 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth and Birmingham drew 1–1 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 2 May. Portsmouth have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Adrian Segecic (8’, assisted by Jordan Williams); Birmingham: A. Priske (19’, assisted by K. Wagner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Priske’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Birmingham, from fewer shots (13 to 14), created the better chances, 1.67 xG to 0.74 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

J. Brooks showed four yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Portsmouth: Luke Le Roux (39’) and Adrian Segecic (81’); Birmingham: Carlos Vicente (63’) and Bright Osayi-Samuel (82’).

What it changes

Portsmouth stay 18th after this result (46 league matches played).

Birmingham stay 10th after this result (46 league matches played).

Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Priske (Birmingham) 6.6, Jordan Williams (Portsmouth) 6.0 and Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Birmingham, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Bolton on 21 November 2026.

Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: J. Brooks
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Portsmouth 1 · draws 0 · Birmingham 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 4W 0D 1L · Birmingham 3W 1D 1L

Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineBirmingham for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: J. Brooks.

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid34882996 min792.4 /90451.4 /9000 /90
J. Bursik1090900 min262.6 /90191.9 /9010.1 /90
B. Killip483330 min133.5 /9051.4 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 890
2.86/3

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Poole42883695 min401 /90691.7 /90340.8 /901984.8 /90360.9 /9070.2 /90
T. Devlin36752709 min792.6 /90571.9 /90100.3 /902066.8 /90260.9 /9030.1 /90
Z. Swanson33722363 min672.6 /90371.4 /9060.2 /901505.7 /90251 /9040.2 /90
C. Ogilvie32812587 min270.9 /90270.9 /90130.5 /901786.2 /90250.9 /9040.1 /90
J. Williams29591705 min472.5 /90181 /9080.4 /90874.6 /90170.9 /9040.2 /90
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Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Poole n 890
0.94/1
1.15/3
—
C. Bishop n 882.3
1.98/4
1.56/3
—
A. Dozzell n 880.6
0.74/1
0.85/1
T. Iwata
T. Devlin n 880.9
15/2
1.55/4
—
A. Segecic n 864.3
0.52/1
1.64/2
J. Stansfield
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Poole n 890
1.16/1
C. Bishop n 882.3
0.53/1
A. Dozzell n 880.6
1.14/3
T. Devlin n 880.9
3.38/8
A. Segecic n 864.3
0.73/1
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop42833477 min40.1 /9010 /90451.2 /90190.5 /90180.5 /90100.3 /90
M. Kirk1238460 min10.2 /9000 /90132.5 /9081.6 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
H. Blair1143472 min00 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9071.3 /90101.9 /90
C. Lang872578 min20.3 /9000 /9081.2 /9050.8 /9071.1 /90101.6 /90
J. Brown563315 min10.3 /9000 /9072 /9051.4 /9041.1 /9020.6 /90
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Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Poole n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Bishop n 882.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
A. Dozzell n 880.6
0.41/1
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 880.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Segecic n 864.3
1.96/3
0.72/1
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Poole n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Bishop n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Dozzell n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Devlin n 880.9
00/0
00/0
A. Segecic n 864.3
0.72/1
0.53/0
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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Beadle37903330 min932.5 /90441.2 /9010 /90
R. Allsop1190990 min191.7 /90151.4 /9000 /90
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890
2.56/4

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Iwata46853907 min741.7 /90410.9 /90120.3 /901774.1 /90581.3 /9080.2 /90
C. Klarer44903960 min461 /90581.3 /90250.6 /903177.2 /90421 /90100.2 /90
P. Neumann32882817 min371.2 /90250.8 /90250.8 /901434.6 /90351.1 /9060.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel23641470 min201.2 /90150.9 /9020.1 /90825 /90211.3 /9050.3 /90
A. Cochrane21791665 min271.5 /90191 /9020.1 /90804.3 /90110.6 /9030.2 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Iwata n 876
1.57/3
0.94/1
A. Dozzell
J. Stansfield n 876.9
2.68/5
0.64/0
A. Segecic
C. Klarer n 890
1.16/2
0.43/0
—
Paik Seung-Ho n 878.8
1.35/3
0.94/1
—
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 876
2.17/3
J. Stansfield n 876.9
1.56/2
C. Klarer n 890
0.95/2
Paik Seung-Ho n 878.8
1.96/2
D. Gray n 846.1
1.73/2
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ducksch31672063 min110.5 /9010 /90512.2 /90291.3 /90271.2 /9030.1 /90
K. Furuhashi24461108 min30.2 /9000 /90342.8 /90110.9 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
A. Priske1457794 min00 /9010.1 /90131.5 /9050.6 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
L. Dykes1334445 min10.2 /9000 /9061.2 /9010.2 /9051 /9030.6 /90
J. Stansfield45753374 min110.3 /9060.2 /90581.5 /90300.8 /90451.2 /90290.8 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 876
0.92/2
0.32/0
J. Stansfield n 876.9
1.66/5
0.94/2
C. Klarer n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 878.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 876
0.11/0
00/0
J. Stansfield n 876.9
0.11/0
00/0
C. Klarer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthBirmingham
52%Possession48%
0.74Expected goals (xG)1.67
14Shots13
2Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box10
3Corners9
0Offsides2
19Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
274Passes253
70%Pass accuracy62%

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Killip9000000007.3
J. Williams9001003206.3
I. Bowat9000001207.3
A. Dozzell9000002106.7
A. Segecic90103111Y7.9
J. Brown9000100006
L. Le Roux84000008Y7.3
H. Matthews7100001006.3
M. Alli7100101106.2
C. Ogilvie4500000006.3
J. Swift2100000006.5
C. Chaplin sub6900310207.3
R. Poole sub4500000006.9
C. Shaughnessy sub1900000006.9
T. Waddingham sub1900000106.7
M. Pack sub1000001006.9

Birmingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Beadle9000000006.6
B. Osayi-Samuel90000015Y7
P. Neumann9000000107
C. Klarer9000000107.2
K. Wagner9001103207.5
T. Iwata9000000006.2
Carlos Vicente90001101Y5.9
I. Osman9000321307.2
A. Priske9010320107
J. Solis5400000106.9
J. Stansfield1700100006
Paik Seung-Ho sub7300002006.7
T. Doyle sub3600101006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BirminghamLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Portsmouth 1 · 0 draws · Birmingham 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Birmingham 4–0 Portsmouth
  • 2019-08-06 Portsmouth 3–0 Birmingham
League standing · 2025/26
Portsmouth#18 pos55 pts46 pl-15 GD
Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.07
Birmingham scored1.24
Portsmouth conceded1.39
Birmingham conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Birmingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Birmingham was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Birmingham?
In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, Birmingham won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Birmingham?
Recent form — Portsmouth 4W 0D 1L; Birmingham 3W 1D 1L.

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