This Matchweek

PortsmouthBlackburn

Portsmouth v Blackburn result

Full-time · Portsmouth 2–2 Blackburn

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Blackburn · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 2–2 Blackburn — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.33 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth and Blackburn drew 2–2 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 19 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Portsmouth out-shot Blackburn 22 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.60 xG to 0.59 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Zachary Swanson (4’) and Colby Bishop (74’, assisted by R. Kavuma McQueen); Blackburn: Oladapo Afolayan (11’, assisted by Harry Pickering) and Ryoya Morishita (56’, assisted by Oladapo Afolayan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Colby Bishop’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

John Busby, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portsmouth: Marlon Pack (40’) and Zachary Swanson (89’); Blackburn: Tom Atcheson (47’).

What it changes

Portsmouth stay 17th after this result (seven league matches played). Portsmouth have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Portsmouth have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn move down from 14th to 15th (eight league matches played). Blackburn have scored 20 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Blackburn have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oladapo Afolayan (Blackburn) 9.5, Ryoya Morishita (Blackburn) 9.1 and R. Kavuma McQueen (Portsmouth) 7.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Portsmouth are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Blackburn.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portsmouth or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Portsmouth next host Stoke City on 7 November 2026.

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Portsmouth v Stoke City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 2–2 Blackburn · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: John Busby, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portsmouth 2 · draws 1 · Blackburn 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 2W 1D 2L · Blackburn 1W 1D 3L

Portsmouth 2–2 Blackburn (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · John Busby, England
21.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineBlackburn for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: John Busby, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.5 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid492369 min122.9 /9092.2 /9000 /90
D. Bielica390270 min113.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 891.1
3.37/5
D. Bielica n 390
3.73/3

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Devlin791634 min162.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90456.4 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
Z. Swanson763438 min81.6 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90204.1 /9020.4 /9000 /90
C. Shaughnessy692549 min40.7 /9040.7 /9000 /90294.8 /9030.5 /9000 /90
Benjamin Arthur675447 min61.2 /9040.8 /9040.8 /90255 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Poole286171 min00 /9000 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Segecic n 891.1
1.95/5
1.96/4
T. Cantwell
T. Devlin n 881.4
1.16/2
2.47/6
—
C. Bishop n 867.4
1.36/2
1.25/2
—
Rocco Robert Shein n 763.4
26/3
0.21/0
Kristi Montgomery
Z. Swanson n 858.5
0.42/0
0.83/1
S. McLoughlin
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Segecic n 891.1
0.96/1
T. Devlin n 881.4
2.58/6
C. Bishop n 867.4
14/2
Rocco Robert Shein n 763.4
2.25/4
Z. Swanson n 858.5
1.97/3
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop766460 min00 /9000 /9030.6 /9030.6 /9071.4 /9000 /90
R. Kavuma McQueen645268 min10.3 /9000 /9082.7 /9031 /9041.3 /90113.7 /90
M. Milovanović544219 min20.8 /9000 /90104.1 /9052.1 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Blair12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /90
A. Segecic791639 min20.3 /9010.1 /90142 /9071 /90121.7 /90101.4 /90
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Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 891.1
2.18/5
15/2
T. Devlin n 881.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
C. Bishop n 867.4
0.51/1
0.51/1
Rocco Robert Shein n 763.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
Z. Swanson n 858.5
0.42/0
00/0
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 891.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
C. Bishop n 867.4
00/0
00/0
Rocco Robert Shein n 763.4
00/0
00/0
Z. Swanson n 858.5
00/0
00/0
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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth590450 min132.6 /9071.4 /9000 /90
A. Pears490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
3.15/4
A. Pears n 890
1.43/1

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin990810 min111.2 /9091 /90141.6 /90465.1 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
R. Alebiosu884674 min70.9 /9050.7 /9000 /90243.2 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Tom Atcheson787609 min91.3 /9040.6 /9091.3 /90345 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
H. Pickering578389 min51.2 /9030.7 /9051.2 /90173.9 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
Yuri Ribeiro573367 min61.5 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90153.7 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.83/3
0.95/2
Z. Swanson
R. Morishita n 885
0.53/1
1.17/1
—
T. Cantwell n 875.3
15/1
1.56/2
A. Segecic
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
1.35/3
0.43/0
Rocco Robert Shein
O. Afolayan n 872.5
2.57/4
1.76/3
—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
1.15/4
R. Morishita n 885
0.43/0
T. Cantwell n 875.3
1.95/3
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
2.27/5
O. Afolayan n 872.5
1.45/2
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Fevrier839310 min10.3 /9010.3 /90123.5 /9041.2 /9092.6 /9072 /90
A. Guðjohnsen767466 min40.8 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9061.2 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Y. Ohashi335105 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
R. Morishita986770 min10.1 /9020.2 /9080.9 /9050.6 /90111.3 /90131.5 /90
T. Cantwell977692 min10.1 /9010.1 /90182.3 /9091.2 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
R. Morishita n 885
0.85/1
0.54/0
T. Cantwell n 875.3
2.17/2
17/0
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
O. Afolayan n 872.5
2.26/4
1.25/3
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Morishita n 885
0.11/0
0.32/0
T. Cantwell n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
0.11/0
00/0
O. Afolayan n 872.5
0.52/1
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthBlackburn
51%Possession49%
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.59
22Shots8
7Shots on target5
7Shots off target2
8Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box7
9Corners7
2Offsides2
16Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
345Passes336
74%Pass accuracy73%

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Swanson90101113Y7.5
M. Dia9000200206.3
A. Kamara9000002206.9
J. Meghoma9000211206.2
T. Shade9000002006.6
D. Bielica9000001006.5
R. Kavuma McQueen8701641007.2
A. Segecic7100201006.2
M. Pack63000002Y6.3
C. Shaughnessy6300000206.3
Rocco Robert Shein4500002206.3
E. Adams sub4500000306.5
O. Bailey sub2700001006.7
R. Poole sub2700000006.9
C. Bishop sub1910110006.3
I. Mohamed sub1000000006.3

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Pickering9001001206.9
R. Alebiosu9000001306.3
H. Carter9000000106.5
S. McLoughlin9000000006.3
Kristi Montgomery9000000406.9
R. Morishita9010110407.5
Sam Morsy9000101206.6
B. Tóth9000000006.9
T. Cantwell8300112106.6
O. Afolayan6911321208.3
Tom Atcheson69000002Y6.7
M. Baradji sub2100001006.5
A. Guðjohnsen sub2100000206.6
J. Fevrier sub1400110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
BlackburnLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portsmouth 2 · 1 draw · Blackburn 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Blackburn 1–1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-12-13 Portsmouth 2–1 Blackburn
  • 2025-03-29 Portsmouth 1–0 Blackburn
  • 2025-01-15 Blackburn 3–0 Portsmouth
  • 2018-02-13 Portsmouth 1–2 Blackburn
  • 2017-10-21 Blackburn 3–0 Portsmouth
League standing · 2026/27
Portsmouth#10 pos22 pts14 pl+3 GD
Blackburn#14 pos18 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.36
Blackburn scored1.43
Portsmouth conceded1.14
Blackburn conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Blackburn?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Blackburn was Home or Draw (best price 1.33 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Blackburn?
In their last 6 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Blackburn won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Blackburn?
Recent form — Portsmouth 2W 1D 2L; Blackburn 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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