This Matchweek

PrestonLincoln

Preston v Lincoln result

Full-time · Preston 0–1 Lincoln

Championship · · Deepdale

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Preston · Lincoln

The model’s pre-match pick

Preston 0–1 Lincoln — Lincoln won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.87 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln won 1–0 at Deepdale in the Championship on Saturday 12 September.

Preston have conceded 30 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Frederick Draper (81’, assisted by Andrei Coubiș).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Frederick Draper’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Preston 0.58, Lincoln 0.66, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Preston: Harrison Clarke (54’); Lincoln: Dominic Jefferies (86’).

What it changes

Preston move down from 23rd to 24th (seven league matches played). Preston have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Lincoln stay 16th after this result (six league matches played). Lincoln have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Lincoln have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adam Reach (Lincoln) 6.6, Frederick Draper (Lincoln) 4.3 and George Wickens (Lincoln) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Preston next host Southampton on 7 November 2026.

Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Preston: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Preston 0–1 Lincoln · Championship
  • Venue: Deepdale · Preston
  • Referee: Steve Martin, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Preston 1W 0D 4L · Lincoln 2W 2D 1L

Preston 0–1 Lincoln (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.71 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.14 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.25
Cards
against 0.86 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePreston for / againstLineLincoln for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.71 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 16.29 against n 7
19.5standard
12.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.86 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 0.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Steve Martin, England.

Preston

Preston Goalkeeper

Preston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Iversen690540 min183 /90122 /9000 /90
L. Nicholls19090 min66 /9044 /9000 /90
Preston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Iversen n 884.4
2.55/4

Preston Defensive

Preston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Clarke680480 min71.3 /9081.5 /9050.9 /90254.7 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
L. Gibson679475 min50.9 /90101.9 /9081.5 /90234.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
J. Storey590450 min91.8 /9081.6 /9051 /90285.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
A. Vukčević560299 min72.1 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90113.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
L. Lindsay484335 min30.8 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90287.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
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Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Devine n 874.5
0.82/2
1.16/1
—
L. Leroy n 772.7
1.45/2
1.25/1
—
D. Burgzorg n 770.3
0.52/1
0.53/0
—
C. Lang n 855.1
2.76/3
1.45/2
—
J. Erabi n 740.7
0.62/0
0.92/1
—
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Devine n 874.5
0.94/2
L. Leroy n 772.7
2.87/3
D. Burgzorg n 770.3
0.94/1
C. Lang n 855.1
1.24/2
J. Erabi n 740.7
1.63/2
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Burgzorg770492 min00 /9020.4 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9061.1 /9000 /90
C. Lang757397 min30.7 /9000 /90112.5 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
J. Erabi741285 min10.3 /9000 /9072.2 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
J. Kenny24997 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
M. Osmajić19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
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Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Devine n 874.5
0.83/2
0.52/1
L. Leroy n 772.7
1.23/1
00/0
D. Burgzorg n 770.3
0.73/1
0.53/0
C. Lang n 855.1
2.47/4
1.66/2
J. Erabi n 740.7
2.24/2
0.92/1
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Devine n 874.5
00/0
00/0
L. Leroy n 772.7
00/0
00/0
D. Burgzorg n 770.3
00/0
0.42/0
C. Lang n 855.1
0.62/1
00/0
J. Erabi n 740.7
0.31/0
00/0
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Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Wickens691545 min223.6 /9071.2 /9000 /90
J. Gauci290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890.6
3.47/4

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Towler781568 min61 /9091.4 /9081.3 /90264.1 /9010.2 /9000 /90
D. Elerewe780562 min71.1 /9081.3 /9071.1 /90325.1 /9071.1 /9000 /90
C. Elder486343 min112.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90164.2 /9041 /9010.3 /90
Andrei Coubiș462247 min62.2 /9041.5 /9000 /90165.8 /9031.1 /9000 /90
T. Hamer392275 min31 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90237.5 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hackett n 853.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
—
R. Street n 850.4
1.15/0
1.85/3
—
R. Towler n 882.3
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
D. Elerewe n 881.5
13/2
0.42/1
—
F. Draper n 862.8
4.76/6
1.33/3
—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Hackett n 853.4
2.16/4
R. Street n 850.4
1.84/2
R. Towler n 882.3
1.15/3
D. Elerewe n 881.5
13/3
Ivan Varfolomeev n 867.1
2.55/4
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Street850403 min10.2 /9000 /9081.8 /9020.4 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
F. Draper764447 min00 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90
B. House667403 min20.4 /9000 /90112.5 /9061.3 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
I. Olaofe535177 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /90
M. Melia334102 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Hackett n 853.4
1.33/2
0.21/0
R. Street n 850.4
1.84/2
0.42/0
R. Towler n 882.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Elerewe n 881.5
0.75/0
0.11/0
F. Draper n 862.8
1.66/3
0.94/1
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Hackett n 853.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Street n 850.4
0.21/0
00/0
R. Towler n 882.3
00/0
00/0
D. Elerewe n 881.5
00/0
00/0
F. Draper n 862.8
00/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PrestonLincoln
52%Possession48%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.66
11Shots9
3Shots on target3
2Shots off target6
6Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box6
16Corners3
0Offsides2
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
338Passes341
75%Pass accuracy75%

Preston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Iversen9000000006.6
J. Storey9000110006.9
O. Offiah9000000106.9
H. Clarke90000002Y6.6
Jordan Thompson9000000207
A. Devine9000004307.2
S. Mills7800112306.9
A. Vukčević7200000006.2
L. Gibbs6400000106.9
C. Lang6400000106.5
J. Kenny6400310106.3
L. Leroy sub2600000006.7
J. Erabi sub2600000006.2
D. Burgzorg sub2600000006.2
T. Small sub1800000006.5
A. Hughes sub1200000006.3

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Wickens9000001006.7
D. Elerewe9000000106.9
S. Bradley9000000007
C. McGrandles9000111006.6
Andrei Coubiș9001001007.2
B. House9000100206
A. Reach8800201407.9
D. Oyegoke6800100206.9
R. Hackett6800000006.2
T. Bayliss5900000107
R. Street5900001107
Ivan Varfolomeev sub3100100106.9
F. Draper sub3110111007.5
D. Jefferies sub22000002Y7.5
C. Ogbene sub2200210006.7
R. Towler sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Preston v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PrestonLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
LincolnWWDDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Preston#24 pos5 pts14 pl-18 GD
Lincoln#19 pos15 pts14 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Preston scored0.86
Lincoln scored1
Preston conceded2.14
Lincoln conceded1.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Preston v Lincoln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Preston v Lincoln was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.87 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Preston and Lincoln?
Recent form — Preston 1W 0D 4L; Lincoln 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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