QPRDerby

QPR v Derby result

Full-time · QPR 2–3 Derby

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Derby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 2–3 Derby — Derby won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Derby won 3–2 at QPR in the Championship on Saturday 25 April. Derby have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — QPR: Harvey Vale (13’, assisted by Daniel Bennie) and Richard Kone (55’, assisted by Harvey Vale); Derby: Oscar Fraulo (25’, assisted by Max Johnston), Sondre Langås (76’, assisted by Joe Ward) and J. Banel (88’, assisted by Matthew Clarke).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Banel’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: QPR out-shot Derby 24 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.48 xG to 1.13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

J. Busby showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Rumarn Burrell (70’); Derby: Samuel Szmodics (53’), Sondre Langås (63’) and B. Brereton (81’).

What it changes

QPR move down from 12th to 14th (45 league matches played).

Derby stay eighth after this result (45 league matches played).

QPR are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harvey Vale (QPR) 12.8, Matthew Clarke (Derby) 10.0 and Oscar Fraulo (Derby) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, QPR or Derby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 2–3 Derby · Championship
  • Referee: J. Busby
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 3 · draws 0 · Derby 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 1W 2D 2L · Derby 2W 0D 3L

QPR 2–3 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.1 yellows
Referee · J. Busby
21.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: J. Busby — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walsh22901980 min642.9 /90391.8 /9000 /90
P. Nardi17891511 min442.6 /90251.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Hamer780559 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 890
46/4
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.45/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne39893482 min491.3 /90330.9 /90270.7 /902586.7 /90340.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Mbengue38792984 min652 /90300.9 /90210.6 /901755.3 /90501.5 /90130.4 /90
R. Norrington-Davies36782797 min682.2 /90250.8 /90110.4 /901765.7 /90341.1 /9090.3 /90
S. Cook27792125 min160.7 /90241 /90200.8 /901185 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
R. Edwards15901350 min191.3 /90231.5 /90100.7 /90523.5 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kone n 879.6
2.37/6
0.85/1
B. Brereton
J. Dunne n 890
16/1
0.54/0
—
A. Mbengue n 880.1
1.86/5
0.74/1
M. Clarke
N. Madsen n 866.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.9
1.46/3
15/2
D. Sanderson
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kone n 879.6
0.73/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
A. Mbengue n 880.1
26/5
N. Madsen n 866.8
1.75/3
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.9
2.26/5
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kone42783263 min90.2 /9020.1 /90581.6 /90310.9 /90371 /90230.6 /90
R. Burrell30672018 min100.4 /9030.1 /90341.5 /90221 /90221 /90150.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli21531107 min60.5 /9000 /90211.7 /90100.8 /9040.3 /9050.4 /90
D. Bennie1246556 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9071.1 /9061 /9010.2 /90
M. Frey739273 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kone n 879.6
0.84/1
0.73/1
J. Dunne n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Mbengue n 880.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Madsen n 866.8
1.25/2
0.84/1
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kone n 879.6
0.31/1
00/0
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 880.1
00/0
00/0
N. Madsen n 866.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström31902790 min973.1 /90411.3 /9020.1 /90
J. Vickers890716 min232.9 /90131.6 /9000 /90
R. O'Donnell790630 min202.9 /9060.9 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
3.26/4

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Clarke44893910 min731.7 /90591.4 /90451 /902646.1 /90400.9 /9090.2 /90
D. Sanderson36893188 min341 /90491.4 /90230.6 /901383.9 /90421.2 /9080.2 /90
J. Ward35822887 min461.4 /90341.1 /90100.3 /901093.4 /9090.3 /9040.1 /90
C. Elder27832229 min512.1 /90261 /9090.4 /901315.3 /90261 /9080.3 /90
S. Langås23821878 min301.4 /90261.2 /90130.6 /901004.8 /90120.6 /9020.1 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Clarke n 890
0.85/1
15/2
A. Mbengue
B. Clark n 883
1.27/2
1.16/2
—
B. Brereton n 882.4
0.73/1
1.24/3
R. Kone
P. Agyemang n 870.8
2.47/5
1.95/3
—
D. Sanderson n 887.6
1.97/5
0.53/1
R. Norrington-Davies
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
1.56/3
B. Clark n 883
2.47/6
B. Brereton n 882.4
0.43/0
P. Agyemang n 870.8
0.64/0
D. Sanderson n 887.6
0.84/2
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Agyemang38732777 min100.3 /9030.1 /90601.9 /90311 /90290.9 /90391.3 /90
R. Brewster30521547 min70.4 /9020.1 /90221.3 /90100.6 /90171 /90211.2 /90
C. Morris26741925 min120.6 /9020.1 /90351.6 /90190.9 /90231.1 /9070.3 /90
A. Weimann1641648 min00 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9040.6 /9060.8 /9040.6 /90
L. Salvesen1140437 min20.4 /9020.4 /9091.9 /9040.8 /9051 /9030.6 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
0.32/0
00/0
B. Clark n 883
0.84/1
0.32/0
B. Brereton n 882.4
1.25/3
15/2
P. Agyemang n 870.8
2.27/4
15/1
D. Sanderson n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Clark n 883
00/0
0.11/0
B. Brereton n 882.4
0.42/1
00/0
P. Agyemang n 870.8
00/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 887.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRDerby
55%Possession45%
2.48Expected goals (xG)1.13
24Shots12
12Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
7Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box9
10Corners6
2Offsides1
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves10
359Passes294
79%Pass accuracy71%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Nardi9000000005.9
R. Edwards9000100006.3
J. Clarke-Salter9000101106.3
R. Norrington-Davies9000004006.2
J. Varane9000111307.3
H. Vale9011434208.9
P. Smyth7900552207.2
R. Kone6810334006.9
D. Bennie6201004107.9
Kieran Morgan6200101106.9
A. Mbengue4500000006.3
K. Adamson sub4500000206.3
N. Madsen sub2800000006.5
R. Burrell sub28000000Y6.2
I. Chair sub2200100105.9
K. Saito sub1100000106.9

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000000008.2
S. Langås90102103Y7.9
M. Clarke9001102407.9
J. Ward9001005007.2
B. Brereton90000001Y5.9
C. Morris9000000106.5
S. Szmodics89000000Y6.3
L. Travis7500000106.9
D. Sanderson6100000006.5
M. Johnston6101101106.3
O. Fraulo6110111107.7
C. Forsyth sub2900000007
D. Ozoh sub2900100307
J. Banel sub2910210007.6
L. Salvesen sub1500100006.3
D. Batth sub900000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DerbyLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 3 · 0 draws · Derby 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Derby 1–0 QPR
  • 2025-02-14 QPR 4–0 Derby
  • 2024-10-05 Derby 2–0 QPR
  • 2022-04-18 QPR 1–0 Derby
  • 2021-11-29 Derby 1–2 QPR
  • 2021-01-23 QPR 0–1 Derby
League standing · 2025/26
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Derby#8 pos69 pts46 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.33
Derby scored1.46
QPR conceded1.59
Derby conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Derby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Derby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 3, Derby won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Derby?
Recent form — QPR 1W 2D 2L; Derby 2W 0D 3L.

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