SouthamptonBlackburn

Southampton v Blackburn result

Full-time · Southampton 3–0 Blackburn

Championship · · St. Mary's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 3–0 Blackburn — Southampton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton beat Blackburn 3–0 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 14 April. Southampton are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Blackburn are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Cyle Larin (24’, assisted by Cameron Archer), Ryan Manning (43’) and Cameron Archer (86’, assisted by Leo Scienza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cyle Larin’s goal on 24 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Southampton 2.23, Blackburn 0.28, from 16 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Smith showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Sean McLoughlin (5’) and T. Gardner-Hickman (7’).

What it changes

Southampton have scored 82 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Southampton have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn have scored 42 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Blackburn have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Manning (Southampton) 7.6, Cameron Archer (Southampton) 7.6 and Cyle Larin (Southampton) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton or Blackburn (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Blackburn next travel to Burnley on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 3–0 Blackburn · Championship
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
  • Referee: J. Smith
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Southampton 1 · draws 1 · Blackburn 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southampton 5W 0D 0L · Blackburn 2W 3D 0L

Southampton 3–0 Blackburn (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 6.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 2.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.15 yellows
Referee · J. Smith
20.23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineBlackburn for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: J. Smith — 4.15 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 20.23 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Daniel Peretz18901620 min543 /90150.8 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7
Daniel Peretz n 890
4.36/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ryan Manning41803276 min631.7 /90411.1 /90110.3 /901634.5 /90280.8 /9060.2 /90
Taylor Harwood-Bellis40893573 min340.9 /90360.9 /90330.8 /902285.7 /90310.8 /90100.3 /90
J. Stephens30872616 min270.9 /90311.1 /90281 /90802.8 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
Nathan Wood30852542 min291 /90240.8 /90281 /901083.8 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
Welington1660963 min323 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90706.5 /90212 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 886.6
1.27/2
1.27/2
—
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.32/0
1.45/4
—
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.64/1
1.87/5
—
F. Downes n 882.9
1.87/4
0.73/2
—
Caspar Jander n 871.9
1.77/2
0.94/2
—
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 886.6
2.98/7
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.93/3
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.96/3
F. Downes n 882.9
1.67/3
Caspar Jander n 871.9
2.85/5
See more players · Pro

Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer22461016 min40.4 /9020.2 /90211.9 /90111 /90111 /90131.2 /90
Ross Stewart2244973 min80.7 /9030.3 /90211.9 /90161.5 /90131.2 /9010.1 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Cyle Larin1252628 min40.6 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9071 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 886.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.76/4
16/2
F. Downes n 882.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Caspar Jander n 871.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 886.6
00/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 882.9
0.32/0
00/0
Caspar Jander n 871.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth30902699 min812.7 /90371.2 /9000 /90
A. Pears12901080 min211.8 /90131.1 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
2.96/5
A. Pears n 890
1.64/2

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin40893551 min571.4 /90741.9 /90350.9 /902817.1 /90230.6 /9090.2 /90
L. Miller28792223 min562.3 /90431.7 /90220.9 /901837.4 /90261.1 /9030.1 /90
D. De Neve22461015 min282.5 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90474.2 /9030.3 /9000 /90
E. Cashin14901260 min533.8 /90211.5 /90100.7 /9015110.8 /90151.1 /9060.4 /90
S. Wharton1180882 min80.8 /90151.5 /9070.7 /90636.4 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Ohashi n 869.9
1.15/1
1.13/3
—
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.54/0
16/1
—
R. Alebiosu n 890
16/2
00/0
—
R. Morishita n 888.3
0.95/2
1.35/4
—
B. Tóth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 869.9
13/2
S. McLoughlin n 890
15/3
R. Alebiosu n 890
1.97/5
R. Morishita n 888.3
1.76/3
S. Tronstad n 884.4
2.86/5
See more players · Pro

Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Ohashi42743117 min80.2 /9010 /90591.7 /90310.9 /90250.7 /90290.8 /90
R. Morishita32732340 min20.1 /9080.3 /90281.1 /90110.4 /90381.5 /90261 /90
T. Cantwell27752030 min50.2 /9030.1 /90281.2 /90140.6 /90462 /90251.1 /90
A. Guðjohnsen24641539 min70.4 /9000 /90271.6 /90130.8 /90160.9 /9050.3 /90
M. Jørgensen1565979 min50.5 /9000 /90100.9 /9070.6 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 869.9
15/1
0.21/0
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Alebiosu n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
R. Morishita n 888.3
14/3
0.32/0
B. Tóth n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 869.9
00/0
00/0
S. McLoughlin n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Alebiosu n 890
00/0
0.32/0
R. Morishita n 888.3
00/0
0.43/0
B. Tóth n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonBlackburn
59%Possession41%
2.23Expected goals (xG)0.28
16Shots8
7Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
5Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box4
7Corners4
0Offsides1
8Fouls5
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves4
621Passes432
88%Pass accuracy81%

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000007.2
Tom Fellows9000001106.5
J. Stephens9000100307.9
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000000107.9
Shea Charles9000110308.3
Cyle Larin9010221107.7
Cameron Archer8711221108.2
Ryan Manning7110113208.3
K. Matsuki7100211006
Cameron Bragg7100001106.9
James Bree4500101107.3
Nathan Wood sub4500000107.2
Welington sub1900001006.9
F. Downes sub1900000106.7
Leo Scienza sub1901101007
Jay Robinson sub30000010–

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000007.9
Tom Atcheson9000110105.9
S. McLoughlin90001101Y6.3
T. Gardner-Hickman90000012Y6.9
Kristi Montgomery9000001106.3
Yuri Ribeiro9000000106.9
H. Pickering7800002106.5
M. Baradji7300000006.9
M. Jørgensen7300000006.2
R. Alebiosu4500000006.3
N. Redmond4500000106.3
R. Morishita sub4500101006.7
Y. Ohashi sub4500210106.2
R. Hedges sub1700000006.5
O. Afolayan sub1700001006.7
E. Cashin sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BlackburnWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Southampton 1 · 1 draw · Blackburn 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Blackburn 2–1 Southampton
  • 2024-04-06 Blackburn 0–0 Southampton
  • 2023-12-16 Southampton 4–0 Blackburn
League standing · 2025/26
Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD
Blackburn#20 pos52 pts46 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Southampton scored1.78
Blackburn scored0.91
Southampton conceded1.22
Blackburn conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v Blackburn?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Blackburn was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Blackburn?
In their last 3 meetings, Southampton won 1, Blackburn won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Blackburn?
Recent form — Southampton 5W 0D 0L; Blackburn 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+