SouthamptonBristol City

Southampton v Bristol City result

Full-time · Southampton 2–2 Bristol City

Championship · · St. Mary's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Bristol City

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 2–2 Bristol City — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton and Bristol City drew 2–2 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April. Southampton are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Bristol City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Bristol City: Samuel Bell (5’, assisted by Scott Twine; 63’, assisted by Tomi Horvat); Southampton: Cyle Larin (29’, assisted by Ryan Manning) and Ross Stewart (74’, assisted by Tom Fellows).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ross Stewart’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Southampton out-shot Bristol City 10 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.97 xG to 0.74 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

E. Bell showed six yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Southampton: Shea Charles (28’), Flynn Downes (62’) and Cyle Larin (80’); Bristol City: C. Pring (76’), Sam Morsy (90+1’) and Robert Dickie (90+8’).

What it changes

Southampton move up from fourth to third (44 league matches played).

Bristol City move down from 10th to 11th (44 league matches played).

Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tomi Horvat (Bristol City) 6.8, Ross Stewart (Southampton) 5.4 and Samuel Bell (Bristol City) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Bristol City next travel to Middlesbrough on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 2–2 Bristol City · Championship
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
  • Referee: E. Bell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Southampton 1 · draws 0 · Bristol City 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southampton 5W 0D 0L · Bristol City 2W 1D 2L

Southampton 2–2 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineBristol City for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: E. Bell.

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz20901800 min593 /90160.8 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.56/5
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ryan Manning43803437 min671.8 /90421.1 /90120.3 /901724.5 /90290.8 /9060.2 /90
Taylor Harwood-Bellis42893753 min380.9 /90370.9 /90330.8 /902385.7 /90310.7 /90100.2 /90
Nathan Wood32842677 min301 /90240.8 /90301 /901123.8 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
J. Stephens31872706 min301 /90331.1 /90291 /90842.8 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
James Bree17851446 min281.7 /9080.5 /9050.3 /90513.2 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 884.3
1.16/2
1.26/3
—
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
1.14/3
—
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.95/2
1.46/4
—
F. Downes n 869.4
1.97/3
14/2
—
Leo Scienza n 860.8
0.63/0
2.26/3
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
2.98/8
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
1.14/3
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.85/3
F. Downes n 869.4
1.56/2
Leo Scienza n 860.8
0.94/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer23481103 min50.4 /9030.2 /90231.9 /90131.1 /90121 /90131.1 /90
Ross Stewart23451041 min80.7 /9030.3 /90232 /90171.5 /90131.1 /9010.1 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Cyle Larin1453740 min50.6 /9010.1 /90141.7 /9091.1 /9060.7 /9060.7 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.55/4
0.95/2
F. Downes n 869.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Leo Scienza n 860.8
1.98/2
0.94/1
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 869.4
0.32/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 860.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek38903420 min1263.3 /90451.2 /9000 /90
M. O’Leary590450 min81.6 /9051 /9000 /90
J. Lumley390270 min31 /9031 /9000 /90
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 890
4.68/7

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Dickie33862851 min321 /90411.3 /90300.9 /902056.5 /90150.5 /9040.1 /90
Neto Borges33772529 min662.3 /90461.6 /90130.5 /901595.7 /90301.1 /9070.2 /90
G. Tanner32862747 min812.7 /90301 /90240.8 /901745.7 /90120.4 /9010 /90
Z. Vyner30862592 min451.6 /90281 /90200.7 /901133.9 /90230.8 /9040.1 /90
R. Atkinson26741922 min341.6 /90321.5 /90130.6 /901607.5 /9050.2 /9010 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Randell n 885.8
0.53/1
1.45/3
—
S. Twine n 870
0.63/1
1.96/2
—
E. Riis n 878.8
1.36/3
0.64/0
—
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Sykes n 869.4
0.84/1
1.15/2
—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Randell n 885.8
16/2
S. Twine n 870
1.46/3
E. Riis n 878.8
0.96/0
M. Sykes n 869.4
1.86/3
R. McCrorie n 877.1
1.96/5
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Twine44713144 min110.3 /9090.3 /90571.6 /90290.8 /90742.1 /90110.3 /90
E. Riis44683013 min120.4 /9030.1 /90601.8 /90300.9 /90280.8 /90180.5 /90
S. Armstrong34481644 min40.2 /9000 /90372 /90191 /9050.3 /90150.8 /90
Anis Mehmeti31822543 min90.3 /9060.2 /90541.9 /90291 /90511.8 /90421.5 /90
Y. Hirakawa1638614 min20.3 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9030.4 /9071 /9081.2 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Randell n 885.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Twine n 870
1.94/3
1.44/3
E. Riis n 878.8
1.36/3
0.74/1
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Sykes n 869.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Randell n 885.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Twine n 870
0.21/0
00/0
E. Riis n 878.8
00/0
00/0
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Sykes n 869.4
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonBristol City
54%Possession46%
1.97Expected goals (xG)0.74
10Shots8
4Shots on target5
2Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box3
7Corners3
5Offsides1
14Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves2
524Passes451
85%Pass accuracy85%

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000007.3
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000000106.7
Nathan Wood9000000006.3
Ryan Manning9001001106.3
Shea Charles90002111Y5.9
Cyle Larin90101111Y7.2
F. Downes87000002Y6.7
James Bree7100000006.3
Finn Azaz7100000206.5
K. Matsuki5700001006.5
Cameron Archer5700110007.2
Leo Scienza sub3300000106.5
Tom Fellows sub3301001007
Caspar Jander sub1900002107.7
Ross Stewart sub1910211108
Cameron Bragg sub1200000006.3

Bristol City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Vítek9000000007.6
R. McCrorie9000000006.2
N. Eile9000000206.9
Neto Borges9000000106.9
C. Pring90000001Y6
J. Knight9000000207.2
Sam Morsy90001002Y7
S. Twine9000001406.3
D. Burgzorg9000211106.9
T. Horvat8101332107.2
S. Bell7210112007.3
M. Sykes sub1800000006.3
R. Dickie sub9000000Y7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Bristol CityLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Southampton 1 · 0 draws · Bristol City 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-21 Bristol City 3–1 Southampton
  • 2024-02-13 Bristol City 3–1 Southampton
  • 2023-11-29 Southampton 1–0 Bristol City
League standing · 2025/26
Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD
Bristol City#12 pos62 pts46 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Southampton scored1.78
Bristol City scored1.28
Southampton conceded1.22
Bristol City conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v Bristol City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Bristol City was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Bristol City?
In their last 3 meetings, Southampton won 1, Bristol City won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Bristol City?
Recent form — Southampton 5W 0D 0L; Bristol City 2W 1D 2L.

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