Southampton v Burnley prediction

Championship · Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Burnley · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Burnley, Championship on Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Southampton host Burnley in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Burnley have conceded 31 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Burnley are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Southampton have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.13. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Southampton have conceded 15 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Burnley have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 2.33. Burnley have scored 22 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

Southampton (seventh) and Burnley (22nd) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 367 rating points above Burnley (Southampton 1719, Burnley 1352, after at least 107 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Burnley are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Southampton. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2025, finished Southampton 0–1 Burnley.

Team news

Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, J. Stephens, J. Bree, K. Schlotterbeck, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (3.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Leo Scienza (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1564 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Scienza averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1108 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, Igor, L. Pires, K. Walker, H. Ekdal, J. Laurent, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, M. Edwards, M. Alleyne, J. Vardy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, five assists) and Largie Ramazani (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 866 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Largie Ramazani averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 909 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship
Head-to-head (last 6): Southampton 2 · draws 1 · Burnley 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Southampton 2W 2D 1L · Burnley 0W 2D 3L

Southampton v Burnley (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.13

Corners

against 4.63 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Southampton for / against	Line	Burnley for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	17	901536 min	573.3 /90	160.9 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	3.8 7/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
James Bree	17	871474 min	171 /90	171 /90	90.5 /90	452.7 /90	90.5 /90	20.1 /90
Ryan Manning	15	771161 min	70.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90	362.8 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
J. Stephens	12	911086 min	90.7 /90	110.9 /90	151.2 /90	292.4 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	12	901077 min	141.2 /90	161.3 /90	151.3 /90	635.3 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
Nathan Wood	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.6 7/3	—
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.4 6/2	1.7 6/3	—
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.9 4/1	1 3/2	—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.8 4/2
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.1 2/2
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1
Leo Scienza n 8	73.8	0.9 5/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cyle Larin	12	64765 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	313.6 /90	151.8 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
L. Dobbin	9	69617 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90	60.9 /90
D. Mubama	6	42250 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
B. Brereton	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Cameron Archer	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	2.2 7/4	0.8 4/1
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Coudert	8	90720 min	273.4 /90	91.1 /90	00 /90
M. Weiß	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	162.3 /90	00 /90

Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 8	90	3.4 7/6
M. Weiß n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Walker	13	871125 min	241.9 /90	151.2 /90	90.7 /90	504 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90
Igor	10	88878 min	111.1 /90	101 /90	80.8 /90	293 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Pires	10	75750 min	293.5 /90	182.2 /90	10.1 /90	556.6 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90
H. Ekdal	8	76607 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	71 /90	324.7 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
Connor Roberts	8	71566 min	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	172.7 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0	—
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1	0.7 3/2	—
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	1.6 5/4	1.3 5/2	—
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	0.5 2/0	1.1 4/0	—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	2 7/6
K. Walker n 8	84.4	2.7 8/5
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	1.2 6/2
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	1.6 7/4
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	1.3 3/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni	9	55497 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	162.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90
A. Hountondji	7	59412 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	92 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
J. Vardy	7	50351 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Broja	4	38150 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
Z. Flemming	2	84168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	126.4 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	2.3 6/4	1 4/2
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	3.4 5/4	1.3 4/1
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SouthamptonDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

BurnleyLLDDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Southampton 2 · 1 draw · Burnley 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-02-08 Southampton 0–1 Burnley
2022-04-21 Burnley 2–0 Southampton
2021-10-23 Southampton 2–2 Burnley
2021-04-04 Southampton 3–2 Burnley
2020-09-26 Burnley 0–1 Southampton
2020-02-15 Southampton 1–2 Burnley

League standing · 2026/27

Southampton#7 pos24 pts15 pl+14 GD

Burnley#22 pos10 pts15 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Southampton scored1.93

Burnley scored1.47

Southampton conceded1

Burnley conceded2.07

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Burnley?: In their last 6 meetings, Southampton won 2, Burnley won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Burnley?: Recent form — Southampton 2W 2D 1L; Burnley 0W 2D 3L.

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