SouthamptonIpswich

Southampton v Ipswich result

Full-time · Southampton 2–2 Ipswich

Championship · · St. Mary's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 2–2 Ipswich — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton and Ipswich drew 2–2 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 28 April. Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Ipswich: Wes Burns (48’, assisted by Ivan Azón) and Jack Clarke (87’); Southampton: Ryan Manning (58’) and Cyle Larin (80’, assisted by Ryan Manning).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Clarke’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Ipswich out-shot Southampton 19 to 18 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

T. Kirk showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ipswich: Jacob Greaves (57’) and Ivan Azón (75’).

What it changes

Southampton move down from third to fifth (45 league matches played).

Ipswich stay second after this result (45 league matches played).

Southampton are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Ipswich are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Manning (Southampton) 9.7, Cyle Larin (Southampton) 6.6 and Jack Clarke (Ipswich) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Southampton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ipswich.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton or Ipswich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 2–2 Ipswich · Championship
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
  • Referee: T. Kirk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Southampton 1 · draws 2 · Ipswich 2 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southampton 3W 1D 1L · Ipswich 2W 2D 1L

Southampton 2–2 Ipswich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.78 yellows
Referee · T. Kirk
22.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: T. Kirk — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz22901980 min663 /90200.9 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
2.96/5
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Taylor Harwood-Bellis44893933 min410.9 /90390.9 /90350.8 /902475.7 /90350.8 /90110.3 /90
Ryan Manning44803527 min681.7 /90421.1 /90120.3 /901754.5 /90290.7 /9060.2 /90
Nathan Wood34842857 min300.9 /90240.8 /90341.1 /901153.6 /90230.7 /9050.2 /90
J. Stephens31872706 min301 /90331.1 /90291 /90842.8 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
James Bree19851606 min311.7 /9080.4 /9050.3 /90563.1 /90181 /9010.1 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.62/1
1.15/2
Dara O'Shea
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.95/2
1.16/2
Darnell Furlong
Finn Azaz n 885
0.84/2
1.36/3
—
F. Downes n 872
2.37/4
0.63/1
—
Leo Scienza n 855.8
0.63/0
2.47/2
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
1.35/3
Ryan Manning n 884.3
2.78/7
Finn Azaz n 885
1.75/4
F. Downes n 872
1.66/3
Leo Scienza n 855.8
14/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Ross Stewart25451121 min90.7 /9030.2 /90262.1 /90191.5 /90141.1 /9010.1 /90
Cameron Archer24481160 min50.4 /9030.2 /90241.9 /90141.1 /90120.9 /90131 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Cyle Larin1654859 min60.6 /9010.1 /90151.6 /90101 /9080.8 /9060.6 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 885
1.76/4
1.16/2
F. Downes n 872
0.32/0
0.32/0
Leo Scienza n 855.8
1.46/1
0.83/1
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Finn Azaz n 885
0.43/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 872
0.32/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 855.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Christian Walton35893126 min922.6 /90351 /9010 /90
Alex Palmer12851014 min232 /90121.1 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 890
3.17/4
Alex Palmer n 881.8
2.67/3

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea45894005 min260.6 /90420.9 /90441 /902325.2 /90180.4 /9000 /90
Darnell Furlong38883345 min401.1 /90491.3 /9080.2 /901634.4 /90471.3 /90100.3 /90
Leif Davis35852987 min290.9 /90290.9 /9040.1 /901474.4 /90210.6 /9040.1 /90
Cédric Kipré31872711 min321.1 /90321.1 /90150.5 /901324.4 /90200.7 /90100.3 /90
Jacob Greaves23892037 min301.3 /90271.2 /90140.6 /901697.5 /90221 /9040.2 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.43/0
1.47/4
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Azor Matusiwa n 878.6
0.63/1
15/2
—
Jack Clarke n 856.5
1.44/3
25/3
—
Darnell Furlong n 886
1.26/2
0.84/2
Ryan Manning
George Hirst n 845.9
0.72/1
1.56/0
—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
16/2
Azor Matusiwa n 878.6
1.47/1
Jack Clarke n 856.5
1.45/2
Darnell Furlong n 886
14/2
George Hirst n 845.9
0.52/0
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
George Hirst36572058 min100.4 /9020.1 /90502.2 /90271.2 /90190.8 /90100.4 /90
Ivan Azón33511685 min50.3 /9030.2 /90482.6 /90231.2 /90120.6 /9070.4 /90
Chuba Akpom2145935 min20.2 /9000 /90141.3 /9060.6 /90131.3 /9060.6 /90
S. Szmodics1351665 min00 /9000 /90111.5 /9070.9 /9050.7 /9060.8 /90
Azor Matusiwa44863779 min10 /9030.1 /9050.1 /9020 /90320.8 /90150.4 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
Azor Matusiwa n 878.6
00/0
00/0
Jack Clarke n 856.5
1.45/2
0.83/1
Darnell Furlong n 886
0.85/1
0.43/0
George Hirst n 845.9
2.25/2
1.23/1
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Azor Matusiwa n 878.6
00/0
0.32/0
Jack Clarke n 856.5
0.63/0
00/0
Darnell Furlong n 886
0.11/0
0.11/0
George Hirst n 845.9
0.52/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonIpswich
51%Possession49%
1.01Expected goals (xG)1.92
18Shots19
4Shots on target9
5Shots off target8
9Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box12
5Corners9
2Offsides2
18Fouls19
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves2
356Passes352
77%Pass accuracy76%

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000008
James Bree9000001106.9
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000000006.3
Nathan Wood9000000006.7
Ryan Manning9011213108.7
Shea Charles9000100107.3
Caspar Jander9000001507.2
Finn Azaz9000102006.3
Leo Scienza9000103007.3
Cyle Larin8110430107.6
Tom Fellows6900001206.9
Samuel Edozie sub2100000006.5
Ross Stewart sub900000106.2

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Christian Walton9000000006.3
Darnell Furlong9000210006.9
Dara O'Shea9000001007.3
Jacob Greaves90000003Y7.2
Leif Davis9000003007.5
Dan Neil9000002406.6
Azor Matusiwa8200002207.2
Marcelino Núñez7500000306.3
Ivan Azón75012130Y7.2
Wes Burns6710411007.2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace6700320106.7
Kasey McAteer sub2300221006.2
Jack Clarke sub2310420107.9
Jens-Lys Cajuste sub1500000106.7
George Hirst sub1500001006.9
Chuba Akpom sub800001007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
IpswichWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Southampton 1 · 2 draws · Ipswich 2 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2025-08-17 Ipswich 1–1 Southampton
  • 2025-02-01 Ipswich 1–2 Southampton
  • 2024-09-21 Southampton 1–1 Ipswich
  • 2024-04-01 Ipswich 3–2 Southampton
  • 2023-09-19 Southampton 0–1 Ipswich
League standing · 2025/26
Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD
Ipswich#2 pos84 pts46 pl+33 GD
Goals per game
Southampton scored1.78
Ipswich scored1.74
Southampton conceded1.22
Ipswich conceded1.02

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v Ipswich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Ipswich was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Ipswich?
In their last 5 meetings, Southampton won 1, Ipswich won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Ipswich?
Recent form — Southampton 3W 1D 1L; Ipswich 2W 2D 1L.

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