Southampton v Middlesbrough prediction

Championship · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Middlesbrough, Championship on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Southampton host Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Southampton have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.13. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Southampton have conceded 15 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Middlesbrough have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.33. Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton (seventh) and Middlesbrough (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 110 rating points above Middlesbrough (Southampton 1719, Middlesbrough 1609, after at least 112 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough.

Team news

Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, J. Stephens, J. Bree, K. Schlotterbeck, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (3.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Leo Scienza (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1564 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Scienza averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1108 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Middlesbrough XI (3-4-2-1): R. Vítek, A. Phillips, A. Malanda, N. Borges, A. Morris, S. Berhalter, R. McGree, A. Cozier-Duberry, C. Brittain, T. Conway, W. Lankshear — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aidan Morris (5.1 per match over 16 appearances, two goals) and Amario Cozier-Duberry (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and five assists) have been Middlesbrough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Middlesbrough (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aidan Morris averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1420 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Amario Cozier-Duberry averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 876 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship
Head-to-head (last 6): Southampton 1 · draws 3 · Middlesbrough 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Southampton 2W 2D 1L · Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L

Southampton v Middlesbrough (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 6.13

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 6.88

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Southampton for / against	Line	Middlesbrough for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	20 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	17	901536 min	573.3 /90	160.9 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	3.8 7/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
James Bree	17	871474 min	171 /90	171 /90	90.5 /90	442.7 /90	90.5 /90	20.1 /90
Ryan Manning	15	771161 min	70.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90	372.9 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
J. Stephens	12	911086 min	90.7 /90	110.9 /90	151.2 /90	292.4 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	12	901077 min	141.2 /90	161.3 /90	151.3 /90	635.3 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
Nathan Wood	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.6 7/3	—
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.4 6/2	1.9 6/3	—
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.9 4/1	1 3/2	—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.8 4/2
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.1 2/2
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1
Leo Scienza n 8	73.8	0.9 5/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cyle Larin	12	64765 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	313.6 /90	151.8 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
L. Dobbin	9	69617 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90	60.9 /90
D. Mubama	6	42250 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
B. Brereton	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Cameron Archer	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	2.2 7/4	0.8 4/1
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Vítek	15	901350 min	291.9 /90	171.1 /90	00 /90
S. Brynn	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 8	90	1.8 4/2
S. Brynn n 8	90	2.3 5/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Brittain	18	871563 min	331.9 /90	150.9 /90	40.2 /90	875 /90	160.9 /90	20.1 /90
A. Malanda	16	891427 min	161 /90	140.9 /90	60.4 /90	774.9 /90	90.6 /90	20.1 /90
Neto Borges	15	791188 min	171.3 /90	90.7 /90	60.5 /90	554.2 /90	120.9 /90	20.2 /90
L. Ayling	14	751043 min	181.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90	564.8 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
A. Phillips	13	74957 min	131.2 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	474.4 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Brittain n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 2/1	—
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	63.5	1.6 5/3	1.1 5/1	—
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Morris n 8	90	0.8 4/1	1.1 6/3	—
W. Lankshear n 8	80	1.1 5/2	1.4 6/3	—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Brittain n 8	90	2 7/4
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	63.5	2.3 6/3
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.8 3/3
A. Morris n 8	90	4 8/7
W. Lankshear n 8	80	0 0/0
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Lankshear	16	731169 min	151.2 /90	00 /90	423.2 /90	282.2 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
K. Joseph	12	47569 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	152.4 /90	81.3 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90
J. Sarmiento	9	54487 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.4 /90	61.1 /90	71.3 /90	81.5 /90
D. Strelec	3	50151 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90
Sebastian Berhalter	17	691176 min	30.2 /90	30.2 /90	201.5 /90	80.6 /90	443.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brittain n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.6 4/1
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	63.5	1.8 5/2	0.7 3/1
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.4 3/0
A. Morris n 8	90	1.3 5/4	0.8 4/2
W. Lankshear n 8	80	3.4 7/7	2.4 7/5
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Morris n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
W. Lankshear n 8	80	1.1 6/2	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SouthamptonDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

MiddlesbroughDWWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Southampton 1 · 3 draws · Middlesbrough 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-05-12 Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough
2026-05-09 Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton
2026-01-04 Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton
2025-09-27 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
2024-03-29 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
2023-09-23 Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton

League standing · 2026/27

Southampton#7 pos24 pts15 pl+14 GD

Middlesbrough#2 pos29 pts15 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Southampton scored1.93

Middlesbrough scored2

Southampton conceded1

Middlesbrough conceded1.27

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Middlesbrough?: In their last 6 meetings, Southampton won 1, Middlesbrough won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Middlesbrough?: Recent form — Southampton 2W 2D 1L; Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L.

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