This Matchweek

SouthamptonQPR

Southampton v QPR result

Full-time · Southampton 4–1 QPR

Championship · · St. Mary's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · QPR

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 4–1 QPR — Southampton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton beat QPR 4–1 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 31 October. Southampton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Kuryu Matsuki (11’), Cameron Bragg (55’, assisted by Ryan Manning), Keven Schlotterbeck (66’, assisted by Ryan Manning) and Welington (90+5’); QPR: Richard Kone (68’, assisted by K. Dembélé).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kuryu Matsuki’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Southampton 1.25, QPR 0.78, from 19 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — QPR: Jonathan Varane (72’), Kealey Adamson (83’) and James Dunne (86’).

What it changes

Southampton have scored 29 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Southampton have conceded 14 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

QPR have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). QPR have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Manning (Southampton) 8.8, Cameron Bragg (Southampton) 8.4 and Richard Kone (QPR) 7.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Southampton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with QPR, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 4–1 QPR · Championship
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
  • Referee: Tim Robinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Southampton 4 · draws 0 · QPR 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southampton 3W 1D 1L · QPR 2W 2D 1L

Southampton 4–1 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Tim Robinson.

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz14901266 min503.6 /90161.1 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
47/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
James Bree14871220 min151.1 /90131 /9090.7 /90342.5 /9090.7 /9020.1 /90
Ryan Manning1281967 min40.4 /90111 /9010.1 /90302.8 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
K. Schlotterbeck1090897 min111.1 /90151.5 /90151.5 /90535.3 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Stephens991816 min50.6 /9080.9 /90151.7 /90222.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Nathan Wood790630 min111.6 /9050.7 /9060.9 /90365.1 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
James Bree n 884.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
R. Edwards
Finn Azaz n 888.3
0.64/1
1.45/3
—
Leo Scienza n 869.3
0.52/1
2.88/6
—
K. Matsuki n 865
1.66/2
1.66/2
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Bree n 884.3
0.95/2
Finn Azaz n 888.3
16/2
Leo Scienza n 869.3
1.15/2
K. Matsuki n 865
0.92/2
Ryan Manning n 875.1
0.11/0
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cyle Larin1264765 min80.9 /9000 /90313.6 /90151.8 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90
L. Dobbin672431 min10.2 /9000 /9081.7 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9051 /90
D. Mubama536179 min00 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
B. Brereton16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Cameron Archer12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 884.3
0.53/1
0.32/0
Finn Azaz n 888.3
15/3
0.64/1
Leo Scienza n 869.3
1.95/4
1.35/2
K. Matsuki n 865
1.76/4
1.25/2
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 888.3
0.32/0
0.42/1
Leo Scienza n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. Matsuki n 865
0.53/0
00/0
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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles12901080 min322.7 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 890
36/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Edwards12901080 min131.1 /90181.5 /9070.6 /90423.5 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
J. Dunne1186948 min70.7 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90494.7 /9030.3 /9000 /90
K. Adamson1068679 min152 /90121.6 /9030.4 /90293.8 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Clarke-Salter972649 min50.7 /9060.8 /9050.7 /90182.5 /9091.2 /9040.6 /90
A. Mbengue776533 min61 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90284.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Edwards n 890
0.11/0
0.64/1
James Bree
P. Charles n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.11/0
0.52/1
—
Glen Kamara n 874.9
1.57/2
2.46/5
—
H. Vale n 876.8
0.42/1
0.94/2
—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
0.94/2
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.54/0
Glen Kamara n 874.9
1.15/2
H. Vale n 876.8
2.38/5
K. Adamson n 868.4
2.16/4
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burrell874595 min20.3 /9010.2 /90111.7 /9060.9 /90121.8 /9040.6 /90
R. Kone746322 min30.8 /9010.3 /90113.1 /9072 /9061.7 /9000 /90
K. Saito661363 min10.2 /9000 /9071.7 /9010.2 /9071.7 /9051.2 /90
A. Lloyd554271 min10.3 /9000 /9093 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9051.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli453211 min00 /9000 /9062.6 /9052.1 /9010.4 /9031.3 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.95/2
0.42/1
Glen Kamara n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
H. Vale n 876.8
1.24/2
0.11/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.31/1
00/0
Glen Kamara n 874.9
00/0
00/0
H. Vale n 876.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonQPR
54%Possession46%
1.25Expected goals (xG)0.78
19Shots12
9Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
6Blocked shots7
12Shots inside the box9
9Corners4
5Offsides1
7Fouls15
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
499Passes417

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Finn Azaz9000214106.5
James Bree9000000006.6
K. Schlotterbeck9010220107.7
Leo Scienza9000411107.1
J. Stephens9000000006.7
Daniel Peretz9000000006.8
Cameron Bragg8910211408.2
Ryan Manning8902214108.2
L. Dobbin8700210006.4
K. Matsuki8610410007.4
J. Ward-Prowse7500000106.7
F. Downes1500000006.3
Samuel Edozie400000006.2
D. Mubama300001006.6
Welington110110007.2
Barnaby Williams100000006.2

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Varane90001013Y6.4
K. Adamson90000012Y5.7
J. Dunne90001001Y5.9
R. Edwards9000001006.1
R. Kone9010312007.9
P. Charles9000000006.7
Glen Kamara8700200106.4
B. Kemper7600001205.9
P. Smyth7600312106.5
K. Poku5900200006.3
H. Vale5900002206.1
K. Dembélé3101002005.6
K. Saito3100000106
Dennis Cirkin1400000105.8
A. Lloyd1400000106.3
I. Chair300000005.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
QPRDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Southampton 4 · 0 draws · QPR 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-02-24 Southampton 5–0 QPR
  • 2025-11-05 QPR 1–2 Southampton
  • 2023-12-23 QPR 0–1 Southampton
  • 2023-08-26 Southampton 2–1 QPR
League standing · 2026/27
Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD
QPR#11 pos21 pts14 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Southampton scored2.07
QPR scored1.57
Southampton conceded1
QPR conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v QPR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v QPR was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and QPR?
In their last 4 meetings, Southampton won 4, QPR won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and QPR?
Recent form — Southampton 3W 1D 1L; QPR 2W 2D 1L.

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