SwanseaSouthampton

Swansea v Southampton result

Full-time · Swansea 1–2 Southampton

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Swansea · Southampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Swansea 1–2 Southampton — Southampton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton won 2–1 at Swansea in the Championship on Saturday 18 April. Southampton are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton came from behind: Swansea led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Swansea: Marko Stamenić (20’, assisted by Žan Vipotnik); Southampton: Shea Charles (57’, assisted by Leo Scienza) and Cameron Archer (90’, assisted by Caspar Jander).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cameron Archer’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Swansea 1.19, Southampton 1.19, from 10 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Langford showed four yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swansea: Gonçalo Franco (23’) and M. Widell (25’); Southampton: Finn Azaz (18’) and Flynn Downes (25’).

What it changes

Swansea move down from 13th to 14th (43 league matches played). Swansea have scored 57 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Swansea have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton stay fourth after this result (43 league matches played). Southampton have scored 82 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Southampton have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Caspar Jander (Southampton) 5.5, Shea Charles (Southampton) 5.2 and Marko Stamenić (Swansea) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Southampton are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Swansea, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Swansea next host West Brom on 21 November 2026.

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swansea: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swansea 1–2 Southampton · Championship
  • Referee: O. Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swansea 0 · draws 1 · Southampton 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swansea 1W 2D 2L · Southampton 5W 0D 0L

Swansea 1–2 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5
Corners
against 6.63 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · O. Langford
18.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwansea for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: O. Langford — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 18.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Vigouroux42903780 min1303.1 /90541.3 /9000 /90
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 890
2.85/5

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Burgess45904050 min400.9 /90591.3 /90511.1 /902355.2 /90130.3 /9080.2 /90
J. Tymon44873816 min521.2 /90491.2 /9060.1 /901192.8 /90190.4 /9090.2 /90
E. Galbraith42803378 min651.7 /90471.3 /9070.2 /901854.9 /90320.9 /9070.2 /90
B. Cabango41903675 min721.8 /90471.2 /90300.7 /902405.9 /90240.6 /9080.2 /90
J. Key27772090 min361.6 /90200.9 /9070.3 /90813.5 /90231 /9040.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Burgess n 890
0.11/0
0.95/2
—
J. Tymon n 887.3
0.53/1
0.42/1
—
Ronald n 859.6
1.54/2
2.66/5
—
Gonçalo Franco n 862.5
1.67/1
2.57/4
—
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
0.63/1
J. Tymon n 887.3
1.96/5
Ronald n 859.6
2.37/4
Gonçalo Franco n 862.5
3.87/7
E. Galbraith n 880.8
1.36/3
See more players · Pro

Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Vipotnik41692812 min210.7 /9020.1 /90601.9 /90321 /90260.8 /9050.2 /90
L. Cullen30511515 min40.2 /9000 /90241.4 /90130.8 /90140.8 /9020.1 /90
Z. Inoussa26461197 min00 /9020.2 /90120.9 /9060.5 /90171.3 /90302.3 /90
A. Idah1746779 min30.3 /9020.2 /90101.2 /9060.7 /90131.5 /9040.5 /90
Gustavo Gomes1148529 min00 /9010.2 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.7 /90111.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 887.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
Ronald n 859.6
0.42/0
00/0
Gonçalo Franco n 862.5
0.74/0
0.42/0
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 887.3
00/0
0.32/0
Ronald n 859.6
00/0
0.21/0
Gonçalo Franco n 862.5
00/0
00/0
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz19901710 min573 /90150.8 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.96/6
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ryan Manning42803347 min651.7 /90421.1 /90110.3 /901684.5 /90290.8 /9060.2 /90
Taylor Harwood-Bellis41893663 min350.9 /90360.9 /90330.8 /902315.7 /90310.8 /90100.2 /90
J. Stephens31872706 min301 /90331.1 /90291 /90842.8 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
Nathan Wood31832587 min301 /90240.8 /90291 /901093.8 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
Welington1758982 min322.9 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90716.5 /90211.9 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 884.3
1.27/2
1.37/3
—
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.32/0
1.45/4
—
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.64/1
1.87/5
—
F. Downes n 875
27/4
0.83/2
—
Leo Scienza n 859
0.63/0
2.56/4
—
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
2.88/7
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.83/2
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.96/3
F. Downes n 875
1.57/2
Leo Scienza n 859
1.15/1
See more players · Pro

Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer23481103 min50.4 /9030.2 /90231.9 /90131.1 /90121 /90131.1 /90
Ross Stewart2244973 min80.7 /9030.3 /90211.9 /90161.5 /90131.2 /9010.1 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Cyle Larin1355718 min50.6 /9010.1 /90141.8 /9091.1 /9060.8 /9060.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
1.76/4
16/2
F. Downes n 875
0.32/0
0.32/0
Leo Scienza n 859
2.18/3
1.14/2
See more players · Pro
Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 887.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 875
0.32/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 859
0.42/0
0.42/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SwanseaSouthampton
44%Possession56%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.19
10Shots16
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots7
6Shots inside the box14
4Corners12
0Offsides1
3Fouls7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
408Passes504
76%Pass accuracy84%

Swansea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Vigouroux9000000006.9
B. Cabango9000000106.7
C. Burgess9000000106.9
J. Tymon9000001006.2
Gonçalo Franco90001021Y6.2
Eom Ji-Sung9000101306.9
M. Stamenić7310110007
Z. Vipotnik6801002007.2
Sam Parker6000000206.6
L. Cullen6000111006.2
M. Widell60003100Y6.9
J. Ward sub3000000106.6
M. Yalcouyé sub3000001206.6
Gustavo Gomes sub3000000206.9
A. Idah sub2200000006.3
J. Fulton sub1700000006.5

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000006.9
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000000307.7
Nathan Wood9000000006.7
Ryan Manning9000002207
Caspar Jander9001002206.9
Finn Azaz90000020Y6
K. Matsuki8900102107.2
Leo Scienza8901111006.3
James Bree8800210106.3
Ross Stewart6800210106.5
F. Downes45000010Y6.5
Shea Charles sub4510221008
Cyle Larin sub2200000006.5
Cameron Archer sub1010110007.5
J. Stephens sub10000000–
Samuel Edozie sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swansea v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SwanseaLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
SouthamptonWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swansea 0 · 1 draw · Southampton 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Southampton 0–0 Swansea
  • 2025-01-12 Southampton 3–0 Swansea
  • 2024-01-20 Swansea 1–3 Southampton
  • 2023-12-26 Southampton 5–0 Swansea
  • 2022-01-08 Swansea 2–3 Southampton
  • 2018-05-08 Swansea 0–1 Southampton
League standing · 2025/26
Swansea#11 pos64 pts46 pl-2 GD
Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD
Goals per game
Swansea scored1.24
Southampton scored1.78
Swansea conceded1.28
Southampton conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Swansea v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swansea v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Southampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Swansea won 0, Southampton won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swansea and Southampton?
Recent form — Swansea 1W 2D 2L; Southampton 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+