Watford v Cardiff prediction

Championship · Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT · Vicarage Road

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Watford · Cardiff · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Cardiff, Championship on Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Watford host Cardiff in the Championship on Tuesday 16 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Cardiff are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Watford, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Watford have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75. Watford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Cardiff have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 2.00. Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford (20th) and Cardiff (18th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cardiff the stronger side, 144 rating points above Watford (Cardiff 1447, Watford 1303, after at least 244 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 October 2026, finished Cardiff 5–1 Watford.

Team news

Predicted Watford XI (4-2-3-1): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, M. Bola, B. Mlačić, E. Kayembe, H. Kyprianou, I. Bravo, M. Payero, O. Maamma, M. Boadu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.3 per match over 16 appearances, one goal) and Iker Bravo (3.2 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1681 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Iker Bravo averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1087 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, J. Bagan, P. Ng, W. Fish, C. Scanlon, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, J. Colwill, C. Willock, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.5 per match over 16 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and Ollie Tanner (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Ollie Tanner averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1196 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT · Championship · Vicarage Road
Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 0 · draws 2 · Cardiff 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Watford 2W 0D 3L · Cardiff 2W 2D 1L

Watford v Cardiff (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.88

Goals

against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.5

Corners

against 6.25 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Watford for / against	Line	Cardiff for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Ravaglia	15	911362 min	513.4 /90	201.3 /90	10.1 /90
D. Bachmann	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90	00 /90

Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	3.8 7/7

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Pollock	15	911362 min	181.2 /90	201.3 /90	201.3 /90	654.3 /90	171.1 /90	30.2 /90
K. Keben	15	881317 min	201.4 /90	110.8 /90	141 /90	483.3 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
J. Zemura	12	57681 min	162.1 /90	141.9 /90	10.1 /90	445.8 /90	121.6 /90	30.4 /90
O. Traoré	11	66722 min	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90	222.7 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
M. Bola	7	59416 min	81.7 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	296.3 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1 6/2	1.6 7/5	—
M. Pollock n 8	90	1 6/2	0.5 3/1	—
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
K. Keben n 8	90	1 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.8 5/1	—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1.8 6/6
M. Pollock n 8	90	1 6/2
K. Keben n 8	90	1 5/2
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.8 7/5
Iker Bravo n 8	70.5	0.8 3/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Doumbia	14	55771 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	172 /90	101.2 /90	80.9 /90	40.5 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard	9	65581 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
Rocco Vata	9	33295 min	00 /90	00 /90	113.4 /90	51.5 /90	72.1 /90	41.2 /90
M. Boadu	7	54379 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
Hector Kyprianou	16	871395 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	110.7 /90	50.3 /90	110.7 /90	70.5 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.4 6/3	0.3 1/1
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Trott	16	901440 min	543.4 /90	211.3 /90	00 /90

Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Trott n 8	90	4 7/5

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joel Bagan	16	891419 min	362.3 /90	110.7 /90	110.7 /90	694.4 /90	130.8 /90	40.3 /90
P. Ng	15	891332 min	292 /90	161.1 /90	60.4 /90	885.9 /90	171.1 /90	50.3 /90
G. Osho	11	89975 min	111 /90	70.6 /90	151.4 /90	363.3 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
C. Scanlon	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90	244.8 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
K. Bielik	7	83583 min	71.1 /90	101.5 /90	40.6 /90	456.9 /90	60.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	1.3 5/4	0.4 3/0	—
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0.5 3/1	1.5 6/4	—
J. Moylan n 8	86	1.2 5/2	2.5 8/6	—
C. Willock n 8	54.6	0.4 2/0	0.6 3/0	—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	2.6 7/5
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	1 4/2
J. Moylan n 8	86	1.2 5/2
C. Willock n 8	54.6	1.4 4/2
P. Ng n 8	87.8	2.3 8/5
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Salech	13	831083 min	60.5 /90	20.2 /90	332.7 /90	211.7 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90
I. Davies	4	41163 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
C. Robinson	3	51154 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
A. Robertson	16	881410 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	80.5 /90	40.3 /90	261.7 /90	70.4 /90
J. Moylan	16	771235 min	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	352.6 /90	201.5 /90	181.3 /90	171.2 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
J. Moylan n 8	86	2.6 7/4	1.8 6/4
C. Willock n 8	54.6	1 4/1	0.8 4/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Moylan n 8	86	1 4/3	0.4 3/0
C. Willock n 8	54.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Watford v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WatfordLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

CardiffWDWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Watford 0 · 2 draws · Cardiff 4 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-13 Cardiff 5–1 Watford
2025-01-14 Cardiff 1–1 Watford
2024-12-29 Watford 1–2 Cardiff
2024-02-03 Watford 0–1 Cardiff
2023-10-07 Cardiff 1–1 Watford
2023-04-19 Watford 1–3 Cardiff

League standing · 2026/27

Watford#20 pos14 pts14 pl-10 GD

Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Watford scored0.93

Cardiff scored1.57

Watford conceded1.64

Cardiff conceded1.64

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Cardiff?: In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 0, Cardiff won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Cardiff?: Recent form — Watford 2W 0D 3L; Cardiff 2W 2D 1L.

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