Watford v Charlton result
Team pages: Watford · Charlton
The model’s pre-match pick
Watford 1–1 Charlton — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Watford and Charlton drew 1–1 at Vicarage Road in the Championship on Monday 6 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Charlton, from fewer shots (14 to 31), created the better chances, 2.11 xG to 1.29 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Charlton: Matthew Godden (62’); Watford: Nestory Irankunda (74’, assisted by Imrân Louza).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nestory Irankunda’s goal on 74 minutes.
Discipline
A. Kitchen showed four yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Watford: N. Mendy (34’) and Egil Selvik (90+15’); Charlton: Greg Docherty (33’) and Harrison Clarke (38’).
What it changes
Watford have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Watford have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Charlton have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Charlton have conceded 58 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Charlton are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nestory Irankunda (Watford) 7.9, Imrân Louza (Watford) 7.6 and Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford) 5.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Watford or Charlton (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Watford next host Middlesbrough on 7 November 2026.
Charlton next host Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Watford: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Charlton: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Watford 1–1 Charlton · Championship
- Venue: Vicarage Road · Watford
- Referee: A. Kitchen
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Watford 0 · draws 0 · Charlton 1 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Watford 1W 2D 2L · Charlton 2W 1D 2L
Watford 1–1 Charlton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Watford for / against | Line | Charlton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8.63 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Kitchen — 2.55 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.64 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Watford
Watford Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | 35 | 893105 min | 972.8 /90 | 411.2 /90 | 10 /90 |
| N. Baxter | 8 | 84675 min | 131.7 /90 | 141.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| N. Baxter n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 |
Watford Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bola | 34 | 852880 min | 331 /90 | 461.4 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 1153.6 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| J. Ngakia | 31 | 802477 min | 1104 /90 | 341.2 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 1826.6 /90 | 281 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| M. Pollock | 29 | 832414 min | 240.9 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 240.9 /90 | 1515.6 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| J. Abankwah | 27 | 842261 min | 371.5 /90 | 261 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 1265 /90 | 351.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| K. Keben | 26 | 751955 min | 231.1 /90 | 211 /90 | 100.5 /90 | 934.3 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 85.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 80.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | S. Carey |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | — |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 69.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 85.3 | 1.3 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 80.1 | 0.4 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 1.4 |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 69.8 | 1.1 |
| J. Ngakia n 8 | 80.8 | 4.9 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 37 | 702577 min | 90.3 /90 | 10 /90 | 481.7 /90 | 301 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| M. Doumbia | 23 | 611405 min | 50.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 241.5 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 211.3 /90 | 90.6 /90 |
| K. Baah | 20 | 39771 min | 20.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 131.5 /90 |
| Vivaldo Semedo | 17 | 47807 min | 30.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 212.3 /90 | 121.3 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| J. Grieves | 3 | 3090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 85.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 80.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 69.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 85.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 80.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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Charlton
Charlton Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski | 34 | 903060 min | 942.8 /90 | 431.3 /90 | 10 /90 |
| W. Mannion | 8 | 90720 min | 313.9 /90 | 111.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| W. Mannion n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Charlton Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones | 40 | 873494 min | 401 /90 | 531.4 /90 | 491.3 /90 | 3258.4 /90 | 491.3 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| K. Ramsay | 33 | 852812 min | 551.8 /90 | 441.4 /90 | 210.7 /90 | 1605.1 /90 | 411.3 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| A. Bell | 31 | 802488 min | 311.1 /90 | 311.1 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 1354.9 /90 | 190.7 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| M. Gillesphey | 25 | 781948 min | 281.3 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 180.8 /90 | 843.9 /90 | 170.8 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| R. Burke | 11 | 67741 min | 91.1 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 404.9 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell n 8 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | — |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| S. Carey n 8 | 89.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | L. Kjerrumgaard |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 65.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 44.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell n 8 | 65.5 | 0.7 |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.1 | 1.1 |
| S. Carey n 8 | 89.9 | 0.8 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 65.3 | 2.6 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 44.6 | 1.5 |
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Charlton Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell | 41 | 672757 min | 30.1 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 361.2 /90 | 110.4 /90 | 361.2 /90 | 411.3 /90 |
| M. Leaburn | 36 | 592111 min | 30.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 291.2 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 150.6 /90 |
| C. Kelman | 31 | 491532 min | 60.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 171 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| I. Olaofe | 15 | 51770 min | 00 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 101.2 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 101.2 /90 |
| L. Dykes | 14 | 811139 min | 30.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 191.5 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 131 /90 | 70.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell n 8 | 65.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| S. Carey n 8 | 89.9 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 65.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 44.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell n 8 | 65.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.1 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Carey n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 65.3 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 44.6 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Watford | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.11 |
| 31 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 18 | Shots inside the box | 12 |
| 17 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 9 |
| 363 | Passes | 216 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.7 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Goglichidze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Keben | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Mendy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| I. Louza | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| G. Chakvetadze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| N. Irankunda | 81 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| M. Doumbia | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Pétris | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Amin Nabizada sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Baah sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Vivaldo Semedo sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Ince sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Charlton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mannion | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. Ramsay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Jones | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Bell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Clarke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| G. Docherty | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| Tyreece Campbell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Coady | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Dykes | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Chambers | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Carey | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Godden sub | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Rankin-Costello sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Fevrier sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Gillesphey sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Watford v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-09 Charlton 1–0 Watford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Watford v Charlton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Charlton was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Charlton?
- In their last 1 meetings, Watford won 0, Charlton won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Watford and Charlton?
- Recent form — Watford 1W 2D 2L; Charlton 2W 1D 2L.
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