This Matchweek

WatfordCharlton

Watford v Charlton result

Full-time · Watford 2–0 Charlton

Championship · · Vicarage Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Watford 2–0 Charlton — Watford won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home cards yellow under 3.5.

Free pick
Home cards yellow under 3.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Watford beat Charlton 2–0 at Vicarage Road in the Championship on Saturday 17 October. Charlton are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Watford: Luca Kjerrumgaard (58’) and Jordan Zemura (90’, assisted by Rocco Vata).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luca Kjerrumgaard’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Watford 2.87, Charlton 1.31, from 22 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Watford: Myron Boadu (17’), Iker Bravo (31’) and Jordan Zemura (79’); Charlton: Danny McNamara (10’), Oliver Skipp (32’), Tyreece Campbell (44’), Conor Coventry (47’) and Alan Mwamba (90+2’).

What it changes

Watford move up from 22nd to 20th (11 league matches played). Watford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Charlton stay 13th after this result (11 league matches played). Charlton have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Charlton have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Arthur Okonkwo (Charlton) 6.3, Luca Kjerrumgaard (Watford) 5.7 and Edouard Kayembe (Watford) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Watford cards yellow under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Watford next host Middlesbrough on 7 November 2026.

Charlton next host Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Watford: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Charlton: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Watford 2–0 Charlton · Championship
  • Venue: Vicarage Road · Watford
  • Referee: Thomas Bramall
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Watford 0 · draws 1 · Charlton 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Watford 1W 0D 4L · Charlton 0W 4D 1L

Watford 2–0 Charlton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWatford for / againstLineCharlton for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Thomas Bramall.

Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Ravaglia11911002 min413.7 /90191.7 /9010.1 /90
D. Bachmann19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 890
4.47/7
D. Bachmann n 890
2.96/5

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pollock11911002 min151.3 /90121.1 /90161.4 /90423.8 /90141.3 /9020.2 /90
K. Keben1187957 min161.5 /9050.5 /90131.2 /90373.5 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
O. Traoré972646 min111.5 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90223.1 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Zemura961553 min122 /90101.6 /9010.2 /90335.4 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
S. Coulibaly464256 min31.1 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90113.9 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hector Kyprianou n 890
1.47/3
1.35/4
Conor Coventry
O. Maamma n 857.5
1.45/2
0.83/1
—
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
1.53/2
1.54/1
—
M. Pollock n 890
0.95/2
0.53/1
L. Jones
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
1.67/5
O. Maamma n 857.5
2.37/4
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
2.25/2
M. Pollock n 890
1.18/1
K. Keben n 884.4
0.95/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Doumbia1164708 min20.3 /9000 /90162 /9091.1 /9081 /9020.3 /90
Rocco Vata933295 min00 /9000 /90113.4 /9051.5 /9072.1 /9041.2 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard762433 min10.2 /9000 /90102.1 /9030.6 /9051 /9020.4 /90
S. Mavididi542210 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9073 /90
M. Boadu335106 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
O. Maamma n 857.5
1.45/2
0.42/0
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
1.23/2
13/1
M. Pollock n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.11/0
00/0
O. Maamma n 857.5
00/0
00/0
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
0.52/0
00/0
M. Pollock n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
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Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo990810 min293.2 /90111.2 /9000 /90
W. Mannion293185 min41.9 /9021 /9000 /90
T. Brooks19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 890
2.67/3
W. Mannion n 890.6
3.45/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Jones12891070 min60.5 /90191.6 /90151.3 /90655.5 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
D. McNamara1178861 min131.4 /9080.8 /9060.6 /90474.9 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
I. Mesík1065647 min192.6 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90395.4 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90
A. Bell982738 min192.3 /90111.3 /9060.7 /90425.1 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Billy Dawson Koumetio678470 min51 /9020.4 /9051 /90315.9 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jones n 890
0.64/1
0.63/2
M. Pollock
M. Leaburn n 876.1
2.76/5
1.64/2
—
Conor Coventry n 881.8
2.18/4
0.43/0
Hector Kyprianou
K. Ahearne-Grant n 883.1
0.43/0
0.85/1
—
D. McNamara n 877
0.94/2
0.63/1
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
0.42/1
M. Leaburn n 876.1
1.36/3
Conor Coventry n 881.8
1.98/5
K. Ahearne-Grant n 883.1
0.43/0
D. McNamara n 877
1.65/4
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Leaburn1263759 min00 /9000 /9091.1 /9020.2 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
Micah Mbick637222 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9000 /9000 /9052 /90
M. Godden265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Kelman21835 min00 /9000 /9012.6 /9012.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Conor Coventry1184929 min00 /9010.1 /9020.2 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
0.52/1
0.32/0
M. Leaburn n 876.1
14/3
0.11/0
Conor Coventry n 881.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 883.1
1.26/2
0.75/0
D. McNamara n 877
00/0
00/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Leaburn n 876.1
00/0
00/0
Conor Coventry n 881.8
00/0
00/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 883.1
0.32/0
00/0
D. McNamara n 877
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WatfordCharlton
51%Possession49%
2.87Expected goals (xG)1.31
22Shots14
10Shots on target3
9Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box11
4Corners3
0Offsides1
10Fouls21
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
3Saves8
360Passes359

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Ravaglia9000000006.7
Hector Kyprianou9000001306.6
K. Keben9000200106.9
E. Kayembe9000323007.2
S. Coulibaly9000100207.7
M. Pollock9000000207.5
Iker Bravo86001143Y7.2
L. Kjerrumgaard7610212008.2
M. Bola7600211107.3
M. Boadu66003011Y6.5
K. Diatta6600220107.7
J. Zemura24101111Y7.6
M. Payero2400410107.1
Branimir Mlačić1400000007
M. Doumbia1400110006.6
Rocco Vata401001006.9

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Ramsay9000301206.6
I. Mesík9000103206.4
M. Leaburn9000310206.6
Billy Dawson Koumetio9000200206.5
L. Jones9000000207
A. Okonkwo9000000007.2
T. Campbell77001010Y5.9
D. McNamara63000020Y6.3
K. Ahearne-Grant6300000105.5
Conor Coventry62000002Y5.9
O. Skipp45000001Y6
A. Mwamba45000002Y5.8
S. Carey2800102006.4
C. Kelman2700321006.6
H. Knibbs2700000106.1
M. Alli1300000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Watford v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WatfordWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CharltonDDLDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Watford 0 · 1 draw · Charlton 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Watford 1–1 Charlton
  • 2025-08-09 Charlton 1–0 Watford
League standing · 2026/27
Watford#20 pos14 pts14 pl-10 GD
Charlton#21 pos14 pts14 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Watford scored0.93
Charlton scored0.79
Watford conceded1.64
Charlton conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Watford v Charlton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Charlton was Home cards yellow under 3.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Charlton?
In their last 2 meetings, Watford won 0, Charlton won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Charlton?
Recent form — Watford 1W 0D 4L; Charlton 0W 4D 1L.

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