West Brom v Birmingham result

Full-time · West Brom 0–1 Birmingham

Championship · · The Hawthorns

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: West Brom · Birmingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

West Brom 0–1 Birmingham — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total offsides under 5.5.

Free pick
Total offsides under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham won 1–0 at The Hawthorns in the Championship on Saturday 10 October. Birmingham have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Birmingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: A. Priske (41’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Priske’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: West Brom 1.05, Birmingham 2.55, from 14 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Gavin Ward, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — West Brom: Rabby Nzingoula (8’) and Jimmy Morgan (89’); Birmingham: Alexander Cochrane (31’), Carlos Vicente (75’), Jay Stansfield (79’) and Bright Osayi-Samuel (89’).

What it changes

It is Birmingham’s first win over West Brom since 6 October 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). West Brom are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Priske (Birmingham) 7.0, Phil Neumann (Birmingham) 5.6 and Christopher Mepham (West Brom) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total offsides under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

West Brom next travel to Preston on 24 October 2026.

Birmingham next travel to Cardiff on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Brom: Preston v West Brom, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Cardiff v Birmingham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: West Brom 0–1 Birmingham · Championship
  • Venue: The Hawthorns · West Bromwich
  • Referee: Gavin Ward, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 1 · draws 2 · Birmingham 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Brom 2W 2D 1L · Birmingham 1W 3D 1L

West Brom 0–1 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.08 yellows
Referee · Gavin Ward, England
1.42 home / 1.67 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Brom for / againstLineBirmingham for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Gavin Ward, England — 3.08 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 18.67 fouls over 12 matches (1.42 to the home side, 1.67 to the away side).

West Brom
West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Stewart n 512.6
2.92/0
4.32/1
—
R. Nzingoula n 845.8
2.25/3
25/2
—
Tobias Christopher Collyer n 826.1
2.24/1
0.92/0
—
Jimmy Morgan n 873.6
27/4
2.98/5
—
B. Pereira n 861
25/3
1.76/2
—
West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Morgan n 381.7
2.23/1
1.52/1
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.24/1
0.92/0
A. Heggebø n 855.3
1.65/3
0.63/0
Oliver Bostock n 836
1.33/1
0.62/0
I. Price n 885.6
1.26/3
0.86/0
West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Morgan n 381.7
0.72/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 873.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Harry Whitwell n 866.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Felix Horn Myhre n 860.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Heggebø n 855.3
0.42/0
00/0
West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Styles n 881.3
3.97/5
Harry Whitwell n 866.5
3.76/6
R. Nzingoula n 845.8
2.76/3
Felix Horn Myhre n 860.5
2.67/4
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.63/2
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Ingram n 893.8
4.48/7
M. O’Leary n 890
3.47/6
Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Laird n 816.5
2.73/1
22/1
—
K. Fujimoto n 821.9
2.64/1
12/0
—
A. Priske n 874.9
27/4
1.47/2
—
L. Vázquez n 824.1
1.94/0
2.33/2
—
J. Stansfield n 877.1
1.65/3
0.11/0
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Gray n 838.1
2.13/2
1.23/1
A. Priske n 874.9
25/3
0.84/1
L. Millar n 871.5
1.97/3
0.83/1
J. Stansfield n 877.1
1.86/5
15/2
M. Ducksch n 826
1.73/1
1.33/0
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Millar n 871.5
0.32/0
0.63/1
D. Gray n 838.1
0.62/0
0.31/0
A. Priske n 874.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
P. Roberts n 850.3
00/0
0.42/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 848.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Laird n 816.5
2.73/1
B. Osayi-Samuel n 880.8
2.45/5
A. Cochrane n 874.6
27/4
Carlos Vicente n 875.5
1.95/5
Paik Seung-Ho n 848.3
1.95/2
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890
2.66/5
R. Allsop n 893.8
2.36/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West BromBirmingham
54%Possession46%
1.05Expected goals (xG)2.55
14Shots15
2Shots on target7
8Shots off target2
4Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box13
7Corners9
0Offsides2
8Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves2
494Passes419
85%Pass accuracy80%

West Brom player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. O’Leary9000000009
C. Mepham9000110208.3
C. Styles9000101407
B. Pereira9000101006.6
N. Phillips9000002306.9
O. Diakité9000300107.2
R. Nzingoula90000043Y6.6
Jimmy Morgan90000012Y6.7
Tobias Christopher Collyer8000000006.9
Felix Horn Myhre7900100106.7
A. Heggebø7000100006.2
B. Stewart sub2000110006.7
I. Price sub1100100106.7
Harry Whitwell sub1000001307.2

Birmingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Beadle9000000007.3
B. Osayi-Samuel90000001Y7.3
P. Neumann9000211209
C. Klarer9000000107.5
A. Cochrane90000001Y7.2
T. Iwata9000100406.9
Carlos Vicente85001102Y6.9
J. Stansfield85002205Y7
J. Solis6900000207.2
A. Priske6910111007.2
L. Millar5500003207.2
P. Roberts sub3500001106.9
M. Bird sub2100001106.7
M. Ducksch sub2100001006.9
D. Gray sub1000110006.5
T. Gardner-Hickman sub1000110006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind West Brom v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West BromDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BirminghamDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Brom 1 · 2 draws · Birmingham 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Birmingham 0–0 West Brom
  • 2025-11-26 West Brom 1–1 Birmingham
  • 2024-02-03 West Brom 1–0 Birmingham
  • 2023-10-06 Birmingham 3–1 West Brom
  • 2023-02-10 Birmingham 2–0 West Brom
  • 2022-09-14 West Brom 2–3 Birmingham
League standing · 2026/27
West Brom#5 pos20 pts11 pl+3 GD
Birmingham#4 pos20 pts11 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
West Brom scored1.36
Birmingham scored1.82
West Brom conceded1.09
Birmingham conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for West Brom v Birmingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Birmingham was Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Birmingham?
In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 1, Birmingham won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Birmingham?
Recent form — West Brom 2W 2D 1L; Birmingham 1W 3D 1L.

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