Wolves v Cardiff result
The model’s pre-match pick
Wolves 3–0 Cardiff — Wolves won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Wolves beat Cardiff 3–0 at Molineux Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 31 October. Wolves have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Wolves led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Wolves: Fer López (10’, assisted by Hugo Bueno), Adam Armstrong (15’, assisted by Rafiki Saïd) and Ladislav Krejčí (58’, assisted by Kieran Trippier).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fer López’s goal on 10 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wolves 1.66, Cardiff 0.96, from 13 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Wolves: Adam Armstrong (26’), André (42’), Fer López (50’) and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (62’); Cardiff: Joel Bagan (56’) and Rubin Colwill (90+2’).
What it changes
Wolves have scored 25 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wolves have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Wolves are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Trippier (Wolves) 8.4, Hugo Bueno (Wolves) 8.1 and Joel Colwill (Cardiff) 7.3 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.
Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Wolves 3–0 Cardiff · Championship
- Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
- Referee: Josh Smith
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Wolves 2 · draws 0 · Cardiff 2 · 2.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Wolves 2W 1D 2L · Cardiff 3W 1D 1L
Wolves 3–0 Cardiff (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Wolves for / against | Line | Cardiff for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Josh Smith.
Wolves
Wolves Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Sá | 12 | 901080 min | 262.2 /90 | 141.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Bentley | 2 | 90180 min | 63 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| João Virgínia | 1 | 9090 min | 55 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| José Sá n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| D. Bentley n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Wolves Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Djiga | 13 | 801034 min | 90.8 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 433.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Hugo Bueno | 12 | 83992 min | 191.7 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 474.3 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Toti Gomes | 10 | 81811 min | 30.3 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 343.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Tchatchoua | 9 | 79707 min | 121.5 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 283.6 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| K. Trippier | 8 | 69553 min | 132.1 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 274.4 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mane n 8 | 54.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | — |
| André n 8 | 87.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | A. Robertson |
| N. Djiga n 8 | 81.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Armstrong n 8 | 75.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | — |
| M. Munetsi n 8 | 70 | 1.4 | 0.3 | A. Robertson |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mane n 8 | 54.3 | 2.3 |
| André n 8 | 87.9 | 3.8 |
| N. Djiga n 8 | 81.9 | 0.8 |
| A. Armstrong n 8 | 75.6 | 0.6 |
| M. Munetsi n 8 | 70 | 2.3 |
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Wolves Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Armstrong | 13 | 70915 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 151.5 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| R. Jiménez | 9 | 48435 min | 30.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 163.3 /90 | 51 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| T. Chirewa | 4 | 50199 min | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 52.3 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 52.3 /90 |
| S. Neave | 3 | 69207 min | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 41.7 /90 | 20.9 /90 |
| M. Mane | 14 | 62863 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 181.9 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 252.6 /90 | 192 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mane n 8 | 54.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| André n 8 | 87.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| N. Djiga n 8 | 81.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| A. Armstrong n 8 | 75.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| M. Munetsi n 8 | 70 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mane n 8 | 54.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| André n 8 | 87.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| N. Djiga n 8 | 81.9 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Armstrong n 8 | 75.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| M. Munetsi n 8 | 70 | 0.2 | 0 |
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Cardiff
Cardiff Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 14 | 901260 min | 463.3 /90 | 211.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan | 14 | 891239 min | 302.2 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 604.4 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| P. Ng | 13 | 901170 min | 241.8 /90 | 131 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 765.8 /90 | 171.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| G. Osho | 11 | 89975 min | 111 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 363.3 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Bielik | 7 | 83583 min | 71.1 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 456.9 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| C. Scanlon | 6 | 54321 min | 30.8 /90 | 82.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 174.8 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 89.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | M. Munetsi |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86 | 0.9 | 2.2 | — |
| C. Willock n 8 | 58.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Robertson n 8 | 89.9 | 0.9 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.4 | 2.4 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86 | 1.6 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 58.3 | 1.2 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
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Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech | 11 | 82903 min | 60.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 303 /90 | 191.9 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| I. Davies | 4 | 41163 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Robinson | 3 | 51154 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| A. Robertson | 14 | 891248 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 241.7 /90 | 70.5 /90 |
| J. Moylan | 14 | 751055 min | 70.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 312.6 /90 | 161.4 /90 | 171.5 /90 | 161.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 89.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 58.3 | 1 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Robertson n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 87.4 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 86 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| C. Willock n 8 | 58.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Wolves | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Possession | 61% |
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 9 | Saves | 1 |
| 303 | Passes | 499 |
Wolves Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trippier | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Hugo Bueno | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Krejčí | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Y. Mosquera | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Munetsi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| José Sá | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| André | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| A. Armstrong | 76 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| Rafiki Saïd | 67 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Fer López | 66 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 8.2 |
| J. Bellegarde | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.1 |
| J. James | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Gomes | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Mane | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Chirewa | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| T. Doyle | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.3 |
| J. Colwill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Moylan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Trott | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| O. Tanner | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| W. Fish | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| A. Robertson | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| C. Willock | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Scanlon | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Cian Ashford | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Colwill | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 5.8 |
| R. Kpakio | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| D. Turnbull | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Wolves v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2019-03-02 Wolves 2–0 Cardiff
- 2018-11-30 Cardiff 2–1 Wolves
- 2018-04-06 Cardiff 0–1 Wolves
- 2017-08-19 Wolves 1–2 Cardiff
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Cardiff?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Cardiff was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Cardiff?
- In their last 4 meetings, Wolves won 2, Cardiff won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Wolves and Cardiff?
- Recent form — Wolves 2W 1D 2L; Cardiff 3W 1D 1L.
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