Wrexham v Birmingham result
Team pages: Wrexham · Birmingham
The model’s pre-match pick
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Birmingham won 2–1 at Racecourse Ground in the Championship on Friday 28 August. Wrexham are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
Birmingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: Phil Neumann (13’, assisted by Alexander Cochrane; 63’, assisted by A. Priske); Wrexham: Callum Doyle (54’, assisted by L. O'Brien).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phil Neumann’s goal on 63 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Wrexham 1.42, Birmingham 1.62, from 9 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Wrexham: Bailey-Tye Cadamarteri (90+3’); Birmingham: Alexander Cochrane (7’) and Bright Osayi-Samuel (50’).
What it changes
Wrexham move down from 14th to 16th (three league matches played).
Birmingham move up from ninth to fourth (three league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phil Neumann (Birmingham) 10.9, Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 7.8 and Christoph Klarer (Birmingham) 5.4 led the match.
Head-to-head
Birmingham are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Wrexham, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Wrexham or Birmingham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.
Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham · Championship
- Venue: Racecourse Ground · Wrexham
- Referee: Robert Jones, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Wrexham 0 · draws 2 · Birmingham 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Wrexham 0W 3D 2L · Birmingham 1W 3D 1L
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Wrexham for / against | Line | Birmingham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.63 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Robert Jones, England.
Wrexham
Wrexham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 2 | 90180 min | 73.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Ward | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ward n 8 | 89.9 | 2.5 |
Wrexham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle | 3 | 90270 min | 62 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 155 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| D. Hyam | 3 | 90270 min | 51.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 155 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
| Z. Vyner | 3 | 90270 min | 41.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.7 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. O'Brien | 3 | 90270 min | 93 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 155 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| G. Thomason | 3 | 90269 min | 51.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 | 103.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.9 | P. Neumann |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.4 | B. Osayi-Samuel |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | J. Solis |
| Z. Vyner n 8 | 81.5 | 0.6 | 0 | C. Klarer |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 89.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 2.8 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| Z. Vyner n 8 | 81.5 | 1.5 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 89.9 | 2.5 |
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Wrexham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Broadhead | 3 | 75226 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 52 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 72.8 /90 |
| K. Moore | 3 | 51153 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| S. Smith | 3 | 39117 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 53.8 /90 | 32.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Cadamarteri | 2 | 2039 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 24.6 /90 |
| D. Keillor-Dunn | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Z. Vyner n 8 | 81.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 89.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Vyner n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Birmingham
Birmingham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | 3 | 92276 min | 72.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Allsop | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 66 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90.8 | 1.9 |
| R. Allsop n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Birmingham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Klarer | 4 | 92366 min | 51.2 /90 | 92.2 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 307.4 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | 4 | 80321 min | 102.8 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 226.2 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| P. Neumann | 4 | 73291 min | 41.2 /90 | 103.1 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 216.5 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Cochrane | 4 | 64254 min | 72.5 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 176 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Laird | 2 | 3569 min | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.9 /90 | 33.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Z. Vyner |
| J. Solis n 8 | 73.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | L. O'Brien |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 86.6 | 1 | 1.8 | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 69.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | C. Doyle |
| P. Neumann n 8 | 81.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | D. Hyam |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Solis n 8 | 73.5 | 1.5 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90.8 | 1 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 86.6 | 1.3 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 69.5 | 3.1 |
| P. Neumann n 8 | 81.4 | 1.4 |
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Birmingham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Priske | 4 | 67267 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Gray | 4 | 38150 min | 21.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 53 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 31.8 /90 |
| J. Solis | 4 | 92366 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 51.2 /90 |
| Carlos Vicente | 4 | 84334 min | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 41.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| Paik Seung-Ho | 4 | 73290 min | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Solis n 8 | 73.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 86.6 | 1 | 0.3 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 69.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| P. Neumann n 8 | 81.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Solis n 8 | 73.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 86.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 69.5 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Neumann n 8 | 81.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Wrexham | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Possession | 38% |
| 1.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 494 | Passes | 311 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 66% |
Wrexham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Z. Vyner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Hyam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Doyle | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| B. Whiteman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. O'Brien | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Moore | 79 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ekomié | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| O. Rathbone | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| N. Broadhead | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Smith sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| I. Kaboré sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| R. Longman sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Windass sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Cadamarteri sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
Birmingham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Neumann | 90 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8.6 |
| C. Klarer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Cochrane | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| T. Iwata | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Solis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| Carlos Vicente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Priske | 82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Stansfield | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Gray | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Roberts sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Paik Seung-Ho sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Vázquez sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Laird sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| D. Fry sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Wrexham v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-12 Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham
- 2025-10-03 Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham
- 2025-01-23 Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham
- 2024-09-16 Birmingham 3–1 Wrexham
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Birmingham?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Birmingham was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Unibet).
- What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Birmingham?
- In their last 4 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Birmingham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Wrexham and Birmingham?
- Recent form — Wrexham 0W 3D 2L; Birmingham 1W 3D 1L.
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