Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Palmeiras · Vasco DA Gama · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama, Copa Do Brasil on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Palmeiras host Vasco DA Gama in Copa Do Brasil on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Four of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Palmeiras have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.29.

Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Vasco DA Gama have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vasco DA Gama the stronger side, 120 rating points above Palmeiras (Vasco DA Gama 2091, Palmeiras 1971, after at least 48 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama.

Team news

Predicted Palmeiras XI (4-4-2): C. Miguel, A. Barboza, G. Gomez, Murilo, B. Fuchs, L. Evangelista, M. Freitas, A. Giay, A. Pereira, J. Lopez, R. Sosa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lopez (4.9 per match over 47 appearances, 17 goals and 10 assists) and Allan Elias (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, five goals and six assists) have been Palmeiras’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Palmeiras (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lopez averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 3624 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Allan Elias averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 2534 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-3-3): L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, Cuiabano, P. Rodríguez, A. Lescano, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, B. Duarte, M. Hinestroza, Brenner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.2 per match over 31 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Coutinho (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 2352 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Coutinho averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 560 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Copa Do Brasil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Palmeiras 5 · draws 0 · Vasco DA Gama 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L · Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L

Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.38 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.14 / 6

Corners

against 5.71 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

7 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 3.43 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.14 / 1.25

Cards

against 3 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Palmeiras for / against	Line	Vasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.29 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.43 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.14 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Palmeiras

Palmeiras Goalkeeper

Palmeiras — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Carlos Miguel	47	924310 min	1252.6 /90	310.6 /90	00 /90
Marcelo Lomba	2	102203 min	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90

Palmeiras — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Carlos Miguel n 8	90	2.9 7/3

Palmeiras Defensive

Palmeiras — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Murilo	43	893816 min	521.2 /90	411 /90	300.7 /90	1794.2 /90	531.3 /90	60.1 /90
G. Gomez	40	883522 min	401 /90	421.1 /90	320.8 /90	1644.2 /90	350.9 /90	70.2 /90
A. Giay	35	802796 min	772.5 /90	260.8 /90	160.5 /90	1755.6 /90	501.6 /90	110.4 /90
Arthur Gabriel	31	652000 min	592.7 /90	381.7 /90	60.3 /90	1105 /90	331.5 /90	50.2 /90
Khellven	21	691440 min	372.3 /90	130.8 /90	80.5 /90	714.4 /90	221.4 /90	30.2 /90
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Palmeiras — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Carlos Miguel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Marlon Freitas n 8	82	0.7 5/0	0.3 1/1	—
J. Lopez n 8	68.6	1.5 3/3	1.5 5/2	—
Andreas Pereira n 8	77.1	0.6 3/1	0.9 3/2	—
Murilo n 8	90	1.5 7/4	0.1 1/0	—
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Palmeiras — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marlon Freitas n 8	82	2.6 8/6
J. Lopez n 8	68.6	1.3 5/2
Andreas Pereira n 8	77.1	1.3 7/2
Murilo n 8	90	1.6 7/3
J. Arias n 8	64	0.7 4/0
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Palmeiras Attacking

Palmeiras — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Lopez	45	753385 min	170.5 /90	100.3 /90	942.5 /90	431.1 /90	561.5 /90	631.7 /90
R. Sosa	31	521615 min	80.4 /90	30.2 /90	382.1 /90	181 /90	261.4 /90	271.5 /90
Vitor Roque	26	521343 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	483.2 /90	201.3 /90	100.7 /90	181.2 /90
Luighi	8	42334 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.7 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Paulinho	6	32193 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90
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Palmeiras — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Miguel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Freitas n 8	82	2.2 7/4	1 6/1
J. Lopez n 8	68.6	3.9 8/7	1.3 6/2
Andreas Pereira n 8	77.1	1.2 4/3	0.7 3/2
Murilo n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.5 3/1
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Palmeiras — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Carlos Miguel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Freitas n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Lopez n 8	68.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Andreas Pereira n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Murilo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama Goalkeeper

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Jardim	49	914468 min	1272.6 /90	521 /90	00 /90
Daniel Fuzato	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	1.6 4/2

Vasco DA Gama Defensive

Vasco DA Gama — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Robert Renan	43	913894 min	701.6 /90	671.5 /90	200.5 /90	1844.3 /90	421 /90	40.1 /90
Puma Rodríguez	34	722440 min	301.1 /90	200.7 /90	80.3 /90	1214.5 /90	100.4 /90	40.1 /90
Cuiabano	31	762352 min	953.6 /90	542.1 /90	60.2 /90	2128.1 /90	451.7 /90	50.2 /90
Paulo Henrique	31	712186 min	572.3 /90	251 /90	50.2 /90	1737.1 /90	361.5 /90	50.2 /90
Lucas Piton	29	681959 min	371.7 /90	211 /90	40.2 /90	843.9 /90	241.1 /90	10 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1 3/2	0.4 2/1	—
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0.8 3/2	2 5/3	—
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	0.8 4/1	1.7 5/4	—
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0	—
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Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	2.4 8/6
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0.8 4/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	2.2 6/6
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	1.6 5/3
David n 8	32.9	0.3 1/0
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Vasco DA Gama Attacking

Vasco DA Gama — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
David	34	491650 min	50.3 /90	40.2 /90	331.8 /90	150.8 /90	271.5 /90	160.9 /90
Claudio Spinelli	30	521559 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	583.3 /90	271.6 /90	90.5 /90	50.3 /90
Brenner	25	451117 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	272.2 /90	131 /90	161.3 /90	20.2 /90
Marino Hinestroza	23	441010 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	171.5 /90	292.6 /90
Bruno Duarte	10	61613 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	142.1 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	1.2 5/2	0.5 2/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	2.1 6/4	1 4/2
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	2.7 6/5	0.5 3/0
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Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PalmeirasWWLWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Vasco DA GamaDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Palmeiras 5 · 0 draws · Vasco DA Gama 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-08-23 Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama
2026-03-12 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras
2025-10-01 Palmeiras 3–0 Vasco DA Gama
2025-05-04 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras
2024-09-22 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras
2024-06-14 Palmeiras 2–0 Vasco DA Gama

Goals per game

Palmeiras scored1.2

Vasco DA Gama scored1

Palmeiras conceded0.4

Vasco DA Gama conceded1.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama?: In their last 6 meetings, Palmeiras won 5, Vasco DA Gama won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama?: Recent form — Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L; Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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