Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Estádio São Januário

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Palmeiras · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras, Copa Do Brasil on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vasco DA Gama host Palmeiras in Copa Do Brasil on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Vasco DA Gama have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50.

Four of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Palmeiras have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palmeiras the stronger side, 30 rating points above Vasco DA Gama (Palmeiras 2046, Vasco DA Gama 2016, after at least 49 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 November 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.

Team news

Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-2-3-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, Cuiabano, G. Pereira, T. Mendes, A. Lescano, S. Sosa, F. Colidio, Jair, B. Duarte — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.0 per match over 34 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Coutinho (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 2548 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Coutinho averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 639 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Palmeiras XI (4-2-3-1): C. Miguel, Murilo, G. Gomez, A. Barboza, B. Fuchs, L. Evangelista, M. Freitas, A. Giay, J. Piquerez, A. Pereira, J. Lopez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lopez (4.9 per match over 49 appearances, 18 goals and 11 assists) and Allan Elias (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, five goals and six assists) have been Palmeiras’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Palmeiras (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lopez averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 3751 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Allan Elias averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2552 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Copa Do Brasil · Estádio São Januário
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 1 · draws 0 · Palmeiras 5 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 2W 0D 3L · Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L

Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.86

Corners

against 5.75 / 5.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.13 / 5.86

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 3.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.63 / 2.57

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Vasco DA Gama for / against	Line	Palmeiras for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	2.13 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.86 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.57 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.86 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.63 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.43 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama Goalkeeper

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Jardim	52	914738 min	1342.5 /90	591.1 /90	00 /90
Daniel Fuzato	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	1.9 6/2

Vasco DA Gama Defensive

Vasco DA Gama — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Robert Renan	45	914074 min	701.5 /90	751.7 /90	190.4 /90	1884.2 /90	430.9 /90	40.1 /90
Puma Rodríguez	36	732619 min	321.1 /90	230.8 /90	70.2 /90	1304.5 /90	120.4 /90	40.1 /90
Cuiabano	34	752548 min	993.5 /90	582 /90	70.2 /90	2268 /90	501.8 /90	50.2 /90
Paulo Henrique	32	712276 min	632.5 /90	251 /90	50.2 /90	1807.1 /90	361.4 /90	50.2 /90
Lucas Piton	31	662033 min	371.6 /90	221 /90	40.2 /90	843.7 /90	271.2 /90	20.1 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1.1 4/2	0.4 2/1	—
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	1 4/3	1.6 5/2	—
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	0.7 3/1	1.3 4/3	—
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/0	—
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Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1.9 6/5
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0.7 3/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	2.3 6/6
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	1.3 6/2
David n 8	32.1	0.4 1/0
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Vasco DA Gama Attacking

Vasco DA Gama — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
David	35	481668 min	50.3 /90	40.2 /90	341.8 /90	150.8 /90	291.6 /90	160.9 /90
Claudio Spinelli	30	521559 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	583.3 /90	271.6 /90	90.5 /90	50.3 /90
Brenner	28	451259 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	282 /90	141 /90	171.2 /90	20.1 /90
Marino Hinestroza	24	451070 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	30.3 /90	171.4 /90	292.4 /90
Bruno Duarte	13	59764 min	30.4 /90	20.2 /90	141.6 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	2.1 6/4	1 4/2
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	2.2 7/4	0.6 4/0
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Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Palmeiras

Palmeiras Goalkeeper

Palmeiras — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Carlos Miguel	49	914482 min	1302.6 /90	320.6 /90	00 /90
Marcelo Lomba	2	102203 min	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90

Palmeiras — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Carlos Miguel n 8	89	2.8 6/3

Palmeiras Defensive

Palmeiras — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Murilo	45	883980 min	571.3 /90	451 /90	300.7 /90	1884.3 /90	561.3 /90	60.1 /90
G. Gomez	42	873657 min	411 /90	441.1 /90	340.8 /90	1674.1 /90	370.9 /90	70.2 /90
A. Giay	36	802881 min	802.5 /90	260.8 /90	160.5 /90	1805.6 /90	501.6 /90	110.3 /90
Arthur Gabriel	33	642101 min	612.6 /90	381.6 /90	70.3 /90	1134.8 /90	341.5 /90	50.2 /90
Khellven	22	691522 min	382.2 /90	150.9 /90	80.5 /90	734.3 /90	241.4 /90	30.2 /90
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Palmeiras — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Carlos Miguel n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Marlon Freitas n 8	75.8	0.9 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
J. Lopez n 8	63.6	1.1 3/2	1.2 4/2	—
Andreas Pereira n 8	68.5	0.5 2/1	0.7 2/1	—
Murilo n 8	88	1.8 8/5	0.1 1/0	—
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Palmeiras — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marlon Freitas n 8	75.8	2.8 7/6
J. Lopez n 8	63.6	1.4 5/2
Andreas Pereira n 8	68.5	1.3 7/1
Murilo n 8	88	2 7/5
J. Arias n 8	63.5	1.1 6/0
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Palmeiras Attacking

Palmeiras — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Lopez	47	753512 min	180.5 /90	110.3 /90	992.5 /90	441.1 /90	591.5 /90	641.6 /90
R. Sosa	31	521615 min	80.4 /90	30.2 /90	382.1 /90	181 /90	261.4 /90	271.5 /90
Vitor Roque	28	521444 min	40.2 /90	20.1 /90	533.3 /90	231.4 /90	100.6 /90	191.2 /90
Luighi	8	42334 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.7 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Paulinho	6	32193 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90
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Palmeiras — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Miguel n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Freitas n 8	75.8	2.1 6/3	0.9 5/1
J. Lopez n 8	63.6	3.4 8/7	0.9 5/0
Andreas Pereira n 8	68.5	1.6 5/3	0.7 3/1
Murilo n 8	88	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Palmeiras — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palmeiras before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Carlos Miguel n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Freitas n 8	75.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Lopez n 8	63.6	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
Andreas Pereira n 8	68.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Murilo n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vasco DA GamaLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

PalmeirasLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vasco DA Gama 1 · 0 draws · Palmeiras 5 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-11-01 Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
2026-08-23 Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama
2026-03-12 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras
2025-10-01 Palmeiras 3–0 Vasco DA Gama
2025-05-04 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras
2024-09-22 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras

Goals per game

Vasco DA Gama scored1.6

Palmeiras scored1.8

Vasco DA Gama conceded2.2

Palmeiras conceded0.4

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Palmeiras?: In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, Palmeiras won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Palmeiras?: Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 2W 0D 3L; Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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